199 E Main St · Coats, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 73.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.5/30.0
- ARV discount +12.9/15.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Attention first-time home buyers and investors. Adorable cottage on double lot in Downtown Coats. Roof replaced in 2019. Vinyl windows. Two good size bedroom and full bath. Large Living Room. Eat in Kitchen. Great yard for fun and games. Storage for bikes and toys. Nice quiet neighborhood!
Key facts
- Manageable yard
- Gardening potential
- Natural light
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story house; One-level living
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Brick/mortar foundation; Shingle roof; Built as a house
- Exterior features: Porch; Storage; Chain-link fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $91 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (14.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $132k (14.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.4% in Coats — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#430 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Harnett County Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #130 of 178 in NC (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Coats Elementary (math 23% / reading 25%, grade F, #1,153 of 1,410 statewide, top 82%, 671 students, 72% FRL); Coats-Erwin Middle (math 27% / reading 38%, grade F, #312 of 475 statewide, top 66%, 606 students, 68% FRL); Triton High (math 41% / reading 49%, grade D-, #350 of 535 statewide, top 66%, 1,287 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 51% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 2,080 units permitted in Harnett County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harnett County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $155k implies a 107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.51%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $175,960
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125 S Isabella St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 838 (+1%) | 17mo | $175,000 | $209 | 77 |
| 191 N Poole St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 850 (+2%) | 0mo | $179,900 | $212 | 71 |
| 145 E Jay St | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 | 889 (+7%) | 1mo | $199,900 | $225 | 65 |
| 219 E Erwin St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 861 (+4%) | 21mo | $175,000 | $203 | 55 |
| 457 E Stewart St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 868 (+5%) | 20mo | $210,300 | $242 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-19,383
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- -3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-9,640
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27521
- Home prices YoY
- -16.1%
- Active inventory
- 47
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,322 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $917/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$278
- Net cashflow
- $91
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $179 | -5% $135 | +0% $91 | +5% $47 | +10% $3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-14 | -5% $39 | +0% $91 | +5% $143 | +10% $195 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $169 | -0.5pp $130 | base $91 | +0.5pp $51 | +1.0pp $10 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-14status $155,000 Pending 36 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $155,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $155,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $155,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $155,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-15status Active
-
2026-05-02status Pending
-
2026-04-22$155,000 Active
-
2020-09-11soldstatus $75,000 Closed 291-char remark
Show marketing remark (291 chars)
Attention first-time home buyers and investors. Adorable cottage on double lot in Downtown Coats. Roof replaced in 2019. Vinyl windows. Two good size bedroom and full bath. Large Living Room. Eat in Kitchen. Great yard for fun and games. Storage for bikes and toys. Nice quiet neighborhood!
-
2020-09-11soldstatus $75,000 291-char remark
Show marketing remark (291 chars)
Attention first-time home buyers and investors. Adorable cottage on double lot in Downtown Coats. Roof replaced in 2019. Vinyl windows. Two good size bedroom and full bath. Large Living Room. Eat in Kitchen. Great yard for fun and games. Storage for bikes and toys. Nice quiet neighborhood!
-
2020-09-11soldstatus $75,000
Show marketing remark (291 chars)
Attention first-time home buyers and investors. Adorable cottage on double lot in Downtown Coats. Roof replaced in 2019. Vinyl windows. Two good size bedroom and full bath. Large Living Room. Eat in Kitchen. Great yard for fun and games. Storage for bikes and toys. Nice quiet neighborhood!
-
2020-08-28status Pending 291-char remark
Show marketing remark (291 chars)
Attention first-time home buyers and investors. Adorable cottage on double lot in Downtown Coats. Roof replaced in 2019. Vinyl windows. Two good size bedroom and full bath. Large Living Room. Eat in Kitchen. Great yard for fun and games. Storage for bikes and toys. Nice quiet neighborhood!
-
2020-08-14$108,000 Active 291-char remark
Show marketing remark (291 chars)
Attention first-time home buyers and investors. Adorable cottage on double lot in Downtown Coats. Roof replaced in 2019. Vinyl windows. Two good size bedroom and full bath. Large Living Room. Eat in Kitchen. Great yard for fun and games. Storage for bikes and toys. Nice quiet neighborhood!
-
2020-08-14$108,000 291-char remark
Show marketing remark (291 chars)
Attention first-time home buyers and investors. Adorable cottage on double lot in Downtown Coats. Roof replaced in 2019. Vinyl windows. Two good size bedroom and full bath. Large Living Room. Eat in Kitchen. Great yard for fun and games. Storage for bikes and toys. Nice quiet neighborhood!
-
2015-11-19soldstatus $50,000 391-char remark
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Great little find! If your just starting out or investment property. This home is ready to go. Simply adorable home, well maintained on double corner lot. 2 spacious bedrooms with double closets in master. Nice and spacious family room. Kitchen and bath have new vinyl flooring. New carpet and fresh paint, vinyl windows, through out. Nice storage building. Beautiful trees accent this home.
-
2015-11-19soldstatus $50,000
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Great little find! If your just starting out or investment property. This home is ready to go. Simply adorable home, well maintained on double corner lot. 2 spacious bedrooms with double closets in master. Nice and spacious family room. Kitchen and bath have new vinyl flooring. New carpet and fresh paint, vinyl windows, through out. Nice storage building. Beautiful trees accent this home.
-
2015-11-19soldstatus $50,000 391-char remark
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Great little find! If your just starting out or investment property. This home is ready to go. Simply adorable home, well maintained on double corner lot. 2 spacious bedrooms with double closets in master. Nice and spacious family room. Kitchen and bath have new vinyl flooring. New carpet and fresh paint, vinyl windows, through out. Nice storage building. Beautiful trees accent this home.
-
2015-11-19soldstatus $50,000
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Great little find! If your just starting out or investment property. This home is ready to go. Simply adorable home, well maintained on double corner lot. 2 spacious bedrooms with double closets in master. Nice and spacious family room. Kitchen and bath have new vinyl flooring. New carpet and fresh paint, vinyl windows, through out. Nice storage building. Beautiful trees accent this home.
-
2015-07-13$62,000 391-char remark
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Great little find! If your just starting out or investment property. This home is ready to go. Simply adorable home, well maintained on double corner lot. 2 spacious bedrooms with double closets in master. Nice and spacious family room. Kitchen and bath have new vinyl flooring. New carpet and fresh paint, vinyl windows, through out. Nice storage building. Beautiful trees accent this home.
-
2015-07-13$65,000
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Great little find! If your just starting out or investment property. This home is ready to go. Simply adorable home, well maintained on double corner lot. 2 spacious bedrooms with double closets in master. Nice and spacious family room. Kitchen and bath have new vinyl flooring. New carpet and fresh paint, vinyl windows, through out. Nice storage building. Beautiful trees accent this home.
-
2015-07-13$62,000 391-char remark
Show marketing remark (391 chars)
Great little find! If your just starting out or investment property. This home is ready to go. Simply adorable home, well maintained on double corner lot. 2 spacious bedrooms with double closets in master. Nice and spacious family room. Kitchen and bath have new vinyl flooring. New carpet and fresh paint, vinyl windows, through out. Nice storage building. Beautiful trees accent this home.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $917 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,271 · $106/mo
- Expected delta
- +$354/yr (+$30/mo · 38.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 73% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,869
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$917
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,269
- − Management
- −$1,269
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable loss
- −$1,554
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$373
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,463/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harnett County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3702010
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,400
- Composite
- 29.88/100
- National rank
- #6397
- State rank
- #130 of 178 in NC
Livability — Coats
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #430
- US rank
- #15847
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Coats, NC
- County
- Harnett County · 125,715 people
- City population
- 6,549
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,549
- Household income
- $61,590
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 163.0
Population outlook (Harnett County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 153,758 people
- By 2030
- 166,581 · +8.3%
- By 2040
- 192,741 · +25.4%
- By 2050
- 218,332 · +42.0%
- By 2075
- 275,422 · +79.1%
- By 2100
- 313,511 · +103.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 14% Native American 9% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Harnett
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.1) · D 36.9% · R 62.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -25.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.1 2020: R+22.4 2016: R+24.1 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+16.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.32%
- Current HPI
- 220.9205
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+150.0% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Relisted — TMLS
- 2026-05-02 Pending — TMLS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $155,000 TMLS
- 2020-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2020-09-11 Sold (MLS) $75,000 AMLSNC
- 2020-09-11 Sold (MLS) $75,000 TMLS
- 2020-08-28 Pending — TMLS
- 2020-08-14 Listed $108,000 AMLSNC
- 2020-08-14 Listed $108,000 TMLS
- 2015-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2015-11-19 Sold (MLS) $50,000 AMLSNC
- 2015-11-19 Sold (MLS) $50,000 LPRMLS
- 2015-11-19 Sold (MLS) $50,000 TMLS
- 2015-07-13 Listed $62,000 AMLSNC
- 2015-07-13 Listed $65,000 LPRMLS
- 2015-07-13 Listed $62,000 TMLS
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $917 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…