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199 E Main St
D+ Composite 49.15
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.9/15.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$155,000

199 E Main St · Coats, NC 27521
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 830 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 36 Days on market
Built 1935 7,405 sqft lot Est $176k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Attention first-time home buyers and investors. Adorable cottage on double lot in Downtown Coats. Roof replaced in 2019. Vinyl windows. Two good size bedroom and full bath. Large Living Room. Eat in Kitchen. Great yard for fun and games. Storage for bikes and toys. Nice quiet neighborhood!

Key facts

  • Manageable yard
  • Gardening potential
  • Natural light

Tags

NATURAL LIGHTMANAGEABLE YARDGARDENING POTENTIALHEART OF COATS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story house; One-level living
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Brick/mortar foundation; Shingle roof; Built as a house
  • Exterior features: Porch; Storage; Chain-link fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $91 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (14.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (14.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.4% in Coats — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#430 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Harnett County Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #130 of 178 in NC (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Coats Elementary (math 23% / reading 25%, grade F, #1,153 of 1,410 statewide, top 82%, 671 students, 72% FRL); Coats-Erwin Middle (math 27% / reading 38%, grade F, #312 of 475 statewide, top 66%, 606 students, 68% FRL); Triton High (math 41% / reading 49%, grade D-, #350 of 535 statewide, top 66%, 1,287 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 51% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 2,080 units permitted in Harnett County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harnett County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $155k implies a 107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,238 (14.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
7.00%
Cash-on-cash
2.51%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$175,960
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
125 S Isabella St 0.14mi 2/1.0 838 (+1%) 17mo $175,000 $209 77
191 N Poole St 0.54mi 2/1.0 850 (+2%) 0mo $179,900 $212 71
145 E Jay St 0.39mi 2/2.0 889 (+7%) 1mo $199,900 $225 65
219 E Erwin St 0.44mi 2/1.0 861 (+4%) 21mo $175,000 $203 55
457 E Stewart St 0.48mi 2/1.0 868 (+5%) 20mo $210,300 $242 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.4%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-19,383
Equity at exit
$23,111
10-year hold
IRR
-3.3%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-9,640
Equity at exit
$13,402

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27521

Home prices YoY
-16.1%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,322 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$76 /mo · $917/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$278
Net cashflow
$91

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,207
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $179 -5% $135 +0% $91 +5% $47 +10% $3
Rent -10% $-14 -5% $39 +0% $91 +5% $143 +10% $195
Rate -1.0pp $169 -0.5pp $130 base $91 +0.5pp $51 +1.0pp $10

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-14
    status $155,000 Pending 36 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $155,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $155,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $155,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $155,000 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-05
    days on market $155,000 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $155,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $155,000 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $155,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $155,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-05-30
    days on market $155,000 Active 25 DOM
  12. 2026-05-15
    status Active
  13. 2026-05-02
    status Pending
  14. 2026-04-22
    listed $155,000 Active
  15. 2020-09-11
    soldstatus $75,000 Closed 291-char remark
    Show marketing remark (291 chars)

    Attention first-time home buyers and investors. Adorable cottage on double lot in Downtown Coats. Roof replaced in 2019. Vinyl windows. Two good size bedroom and full bath. Large Living Room. Eat in Kitchen. Great yard for fun and games. Storage for bikes and toys. Nice quiet neighborhood!

  16. 2020-09-11
    soldstatus $75,000 291-char remark
    Show marketing remark (291 chars)

    Attention first-time home buyers and investors. Adorable cottage on double lot in Downtown Coats. Roof replaced in 2019. Vinyl windows. Two good size bedroom and full bath. Large Living Room. Eat in Kitchen. Great yard for fun and games. Storage for bikes and toys. Nice quiet neighborhood!

  17. 2020-09-11
    soldstatus $75,000
    Show marketing remark (291 chars)

    Attention first-time home buyers and investors. Adorable cottage on double lot in Downtown Coats. Roof replaced in 2019. Vinyl windows. Two good size bedroom and full bath. Large Living Room. Eat in Kitchen. Great yard for fun and games. Storage for bikes and toys. Nice quiet neighborhood!

  18. 2020-08-28
    status Pending 291-char remark
    Show marketing remark (291 chars)

    Attention first-time home buyers and investors. Adorable cottage on double lot in Downtown Coats. Roof replaced in 2019. Vinyl windows. Two good size bedroom and full bath. Large Living Room. Eat in Kitchen. Great yard for fun and games. Storage for bikes and toys. Nice quiet neighborhood!

  19. 2020-08-14
    listed $108,000 Active 291-char remark
    Show marketing remark (291 chars)

    Attention first-time home buyers and investors. Adorable cottage on double lot in Downtown Coats. Roof replaced in 2019. Vinyl windows. Two good size bedroom and full bath. Large Living Room. Eat in Kitchen. Great yard for fun and games. Storage for bikes and toys. Nice quiet neighborhood!

  20. 2020-08-14
    listed $108,000 291-char remark
    Show marketing remark (291 chars)

    Attention first-time home buyers and investors. Adorable cottage on double lot in Downtown Coats. Roof replaced in 2019. Vinyl windows. Two good size bedroom and full bath. Large Living Room. Eat in Kitchen. Great yard for fun and games. Storage for bikes and toys. Nice quiet neighborhood!

  21. 2015-11-19
    soldstatus $50,000 391-char remark
    Show marketing remark (391 chars)

    Great little find! If your just starting out or investment property. This home is ready to go. Simply adorable home, well maintained on double corner lot. 2 spacious bedrooms with double closets in master. Nice and spacious family room. Kitchen and bath have new vinyl flooring. New carpet and fresh paint, vinyl windows, through out. Nice storage building. Beautiful trees accent this home.

  22. 2015-11-19
    soldstatus $50,000
    Show marketing remark (391 chars)

    Great little find! If your just starting out or investment property. This home is ready to go. Simply adorable home, well maintained on double corner lot. 2 spacious bedrooms with double closets in master. Nice and spacious family room. Kitchen and bath have new vinyl flooring. New carpet and fresh paint, vinyl windows, through out. Nice storage building. Beautiful trees accent this home.

  23. 2015-11-19
    soldstatus $50,000 391-char remark
    Show marketing remark (391 chars)

    Great little find! If your just starting out or investment property. This home is ready to go. Simply adorable home, well maintained on double corner lot. 2 spacious bedrooms with double closets in master. Nice and spacious family room. Kitchen and bath have new vinyl flooring. New carpet and fresh paint, vinyl windows, through out. Nice storage building. Beautiful trees accent this home.

  24. 2015-11-19
    soldstatus $50,000
    Show marketing remark (391 chars)

    Great little find! If your just starting out or investment property. This home is ready to go. Simply adorable home, well maintained on double corner lot. 2 spacious bedrooms with double closets in master. Nice and spacious family room. Kitchen and bath have new vinyl flooring. New carpet and fresh paint, vinyl windows, through out. Nice storage building. Beautiful trees accent this home.

  25. 2015-07-13
    listed $62,000 391-char remark
    Show marketing remark (391 chars)

    Great little find! If your just starting out or investment property. This home is ready to go. Simply adorable home, well maintained on double corner lot. 2 spacious bedrooms with double closets in master. Nice and spacious family room. Kitchen and bath have new vinyl flooring. New carpet and fresh paint, vinyl windows, through out. Nice storage building. Beautiful trees accent this home.

  26. 2015-07-13
    listed $65,000
    Show marketing remark (391 chars)

    Great little find! If your just starting out or investment property. This home is ready to go. Simply adorable home, well maintained on double corner lot. 2 spacious bedrooms with double closets in master. Nice and spacious family room. Kitchen and bath have new vinyl flooring. New carpet and fresh paint, vinyl windows, through out. Nice storage building. Beautiful trees accent this home.

  27. 2015-07-13
    listed $62,000 391-char remark
    Show marketing remark (391 chars)

    Great little find! If your just starting out or investment property. This home is ready to go. Simply adorable home, well maintained on double corner lot. 2 spacious bedrooms with double closets in master. Nice and spacious family room. Kitchen and bath have new vinyl flooring. New carpet and fresh paint, vinyl windows, through out. Nice storage building. Beautiful trees accent this home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$917 · $76/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,271 · $106/mo
Expected delta
+$354/yr (+$30/mo · 38.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 73% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,869
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$917
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,269
− Management
−$1,269
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable loss
−$1,554
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$373
After-tax cash flow
$1,463/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harnett County Schools
NCES district ID
3702010
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$45,400
Composite
29.88/100
National rank
#6397
State rank
#130 of 178 in NC

Livability — Coats

Score
63/100
State rank
#430
US rank
#15847

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Coats, NC
County
Harnett County · 125,715 people
City population
6,549
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
Population (ZIP)
6,549
Household income
$61,590
Rent vs Own
31.8% rent · 68.2% own
Severe rent burden
163.0

Population outlook (Harnett County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
153,758 people
By 2030
166,581 · +8.3%
By 2040
192,741 · +25.4%
By 2050
218,332 · +42.0%
By 2075
275,422 · +79.1%
By 2100
313,511 · +103.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 14% Native American 9% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Harnett

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.1) · D 36.9% · R 62.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-8.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -25.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.1 2020: R+22.4 2016: R+24.1 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+16.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -42.32%
Current HPI
220.9205
Rent YoY
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+150.0% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Relisted TMLS
  • 2026-05-02 Pending TMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $155,000 TMLS
  • 2020-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2020-09-11 Sold (MLS) $75,000 AMLSNC
  • 2020-09-11 Sold (MLS) $75,000 TMLS
  • 2020-08-28 Pending TMLS
  • 2020-08-14 Listed $108,000 AMLSNC
  • 2020-08-14 Listed $108,000 TMLS
  • 2015-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2015-11-19 Sold (MLS) $50,000 AMLSNC
  • 2015-11-19 Sold (MLS) $50,000 LPRMLS
  • 2015-11-19 Sold (MLS) $50,000 TMLS
  • 2015-07-13 Listed $62,000 AMLSNC
  • 2015-07-13 Listed $65,000 LPRMLS
  • 2015-07-13 Listed $62,000 TMLS

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $917 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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