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3230 Cumberland Rd #10
C Composite 58.4
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,000

3230 Cumberland Rd #10 · Ocean Springs, MS 39564
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,050 sqft · Condo · 298 Days on market
Built 1972 Fair condition $123/sqft · 6% below area Est $138k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This charming 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath end unit condo is ideally located near Downtown Ocean Springs, making it perfect as a vacation home, primary residence, or investment property. Come enjoy living on the beautiful Ms Gulf Coast which offers lots of great seafood and restaurants, beaches, golf, casinos, entertainment, fishing and boating and much more. This community offers several amenities which includes: tennis courts, picnic area, gym, swimming pool, club house, putting green and a marina with boat slips that are available to purchase. The HOA covers maintenance of the common grounds, landscaping, pest control, water/sewage, building upkeep, club house, pool, as well as exterior building insurance and flood insurance. Come enjoy this cozy and quiet community nestled back along the bayou!

Key facts

  • Picnic area
  • Tennis courts
  • Swimming pool

Tags

END UNIT CONDONEAR DOWNTOWN OCEAN SPRINGSTENNIS COURTSPICNIC AREAGYMSWIMMING POOL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $129k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $57 ($683/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.2% in Ocean Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#2 in MS, #420 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, cost of living A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Ocean Springs School District (suburban): math 64% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #1 of 130 in MS (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 714 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 516 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 298 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 23% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $113,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 298 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  6. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  7. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  8. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  9. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
7.44%
Cash-on-cash
4.10%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$137,750
List price
$129,000
Delta
-6.35%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.9%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-19,976
Equity at exit
$19,234
10-year hold
IRR
-12.2%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-23,391
Equity at exit
$11,154

Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39564

Home prices YoY
-26.8%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
714
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,804 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$676
Tax est. 1.5%
$161 /mo · $1,935/yr
Insurance
$54
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA est. from 5 same-building comps
$410
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$379
Net cashflow
$57

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,732
Max offer price $129,000
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,250
Closing costs
$3,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2501 Bienville Blvd Unit 432 Ocean Springs, MS 2.0 2.0 1095 $2,300 $2.10 43d 1 0.74mi
2501 Bienville Blvd Ocean Springs, MS 1.0 1.0 855 $1,900 $2.22 13d 1 0.83mi
2501 Bienville Blvd Ocean Springs, MS 2.0 2.0 1156 $2,000 $1.73 43d 1 0.83mi
3500 Groveland Rd Ocean Springs, MS 2.0–3.0 2.0 1173 $1,350 $1.15 13d 1 0.98mi
212 Maple Dr Ocean Springs, MS 3.0 1.5 1092 $1,475 $1.35 13d 1 0.99mi
623 Camellia Pointe Blvd Ocean Springs, MS 2.0 2.0 1333 $2,200 $1.65 43d 1 1.09mi
600 Bechtel Blvd Ocean Springs, MS 2.0 2.0 944 $1,500 $1.59 13d 1 1.24mi
230 Saratoga Dr Ocean Springs, MS 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,800 $1.24 43d 1 1.26mi
230 Saratoga Dr Ocean Springs, MS 3.0 2.0 1380 $1,850 $1.34 13d 1 1.26mi
422 Whispering Pine Dr Ocean Springs, MS 3.0 2.0 1075 $1,795 $1.67 13d 1 1.26mi
237 Saratoga Dr Ocean Springs, MS 3.0 2.0 1295 $2,150 $1.66 13d 1 1.30mi
246 Woodland Cir Ocean Springs, MS 3.0 1.0 984 $1,475 $1.50 43d 1 1.32mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Likely covers
waterlandscapinginsurancepoolgym
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,000 Active 298 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,000 Active 297 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,000 Active 296 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,000 Active 295 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $129,000 Active 293 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,000 Active 292 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $129,000 Active 290 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,000 Active 289 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,000 Active 288 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,000 Active 287 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,000 Active 282 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,000 Active 281 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,000 Active 280 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $129,000 Active 279 DOM
  15. 2026-01-20
    price $129,000 800-char remark
    Show marketing remark (800 chars)

    This charming 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath end unit condo is ideally located near Downtown Ocean Springs, making it perfect as a vacation home, primary residence, or investment property. Come enjoy living on the beautiful Ms Gulf Coast which offers lots of great seafood and restaurants, beaches, golf, casinos, entertainment, fishing and boating and much more. This community offers several amenities which includes: tennis courts, picnic area, gym, swimming pool, club house, putting green and a marina with boat slips that are available to purchase. The HOA covers maintenance of the common grounds, landscaping, pest control, water/sewage, building upkeep, club house, pool, as well as exterior building insurance and flood insurance. Come enjoy this cozy and quiet community nestled back along the bayou!

  16. 2025-10-01
    price $134,000 800-char remark
    Show marketing remark (800 chars)

    This charming 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath end unit condo is ideally located near Downtown Ocean Springs, making it perfect as a vacation home, primary residence, or investment property. Come enjoy living on the beautiful Ms Gulf Coast which offers lots of great seafood and restaurants, beaches, golf, casinos, entertainment, fishing and boating and much more. This community offers several amenities which includes: tennis courts, picnic area, gym, swimming pool, club house, putting green and a marina with boat slips that are available to purchase. The HOA covers maintenance of the common grounds, landscaping, pest control, water/sewage, building upkeep, club house, pool, as well as exterior building insurance and flood insurance. Come enjoy this cozy and quiet community nestled back along the bayou!

  17. 2025-08-24
    listed $138,000 Active 800-char remark
    Show marketing remark (800 chars)

    This charming 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath end unit condo is ideally located near Downtown Ocean Springs, making it perfect as a vacation home, primary residence, or investment property. Come enjoy living on the beautiful Ms Gulf Coast which offers lots of great seafood and restaurants, beaches, golf, casinos, entertainment, fishing and boating and much more. This community offers several amenities which includes: tennis courts, picnic area, gym, swimming pool, club house, putting green and a marina with boat slips that are available to purchase. The HOA covers maintenance of the common grounds, landscaping, pest control, water/sewage, building upkeep, club house, pool, as well as exterior building insurance and flood insurance. Come enjoy this cozy and quiet community nestled back along the bayou!

  18. 2023-06-22
    soldstatus Closed 826-char remark
    Show marketing remark (826 chars)

    This end unit townhouse style condo is perfect for someone looking to downsize, have as an investment property or vacation home! It's centrally located to all that Downtown Ocean Springs has to offer and just a short drive to anywhere else you'd like to go along the Gulf Coast. This 2 bedroom unit comes with 1yr old stainless steel appliances in the kitchen, tile downstairs and new carpet upstairs. This nicely maintained community includes tennis courts, picnic area, gym, swimming pool, club house, putting green and a marina with boat slips that are available to purchase. HOA covers maintenance of the common grounds, landscaping, pest control, water/sewage, building upkeep, club house, pool, as well as exterior building insurance and flood insurance. Come enjoy this quite community nestled back along the bayou!

  19. 2023-06-09
    status Pending 826-char remark
    Show marketing remark (826 chars)

    This end unit townhouse style condo is perfect for someone looking to downsize, have as an investment property or vacation home! It's centrally located to all that Downtown Ocean Springs has to offer and just a short drive to anywhere else you'd like to go along the Gulf Coast. This 2 bedroom unit comes with 1yr old stainless steel appliances in the kitchen, tile downstairs and new carpet upstairs. This nicely maintained community includes tennis courts, picnic area, gym, swimming pool, club house, putting green and a marina with boat slips that are available to purchase. HOA covers maintenance of the common grounds, landscaping, pest control, water/sewage, building upkeep, club house, pool, as well as exterior building insurance and flood insurance. Come enjoy this quite community nestled back along the bayou!

  20. 2023-06-02
    price $130,000 826-char remark
    Show marketing remark (826 chars)

    This end unit townhouse style condo is perfect for someone looking to downsize, have as an investment property or vacation home! It's centrally located to all that Downtown Ocean Springs has to offer and just a short drive to anywhere else you'd like to go along the Gulf Coast. This 2 bedroom unit comes with 1yr old stainless steel appliances in the kitchen, tile downstairs and new carpet upstairs. This nicely maintained community includes tennis courts, picnic area, gym, swimming pool, club house, putting green and a marina with boat slips that are available to purchase. HOA covers maintenance of the common grounds, landscaping, pest control, water/sewage, building upkeep, club house, pool, as well as exterior building insurance and flood insurance. Come enjoy this quite community nestled back along the bayou!

  21. 2023-04-24
    listed $135,000 Active 826-char remark
    Show marketing remark (826 chars)

    This end unit townhouse style condo is perfect for someone looking to downsize, have as an investment property or vacation home! It's centrally located to all that Downtown Ocean Springs has to offer and just a short drive to anywhere else you'd like to go along the Gulf Coast. This 2 bedroom unit comes with 1yr old stainless steel appliances in the kitchen, tile downstairs and new carpet upstairs. This nicely maintained community includes tennis courts, picnic area, gym, swimming pool, club house, putting green and a marina with boat slips that are available to purchase. HOA covers maintenance of the common grounds, landscaping, pest control, water/sewage, building upkeep, club house, pool, as well as exterior building insurance and flood insurance. Come enjoy this quite community nestled back along the bayou!

  22. 2022-04-22
    soldstatus Closed
  23. 2022-04-14
    status Pending
  24. 2022-04-12
    listed $113,000 Active
  25. 2015-04-29
    soldstatus
  26. 2014-05-15
    listed $65,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,643
− Mortgage interest
−$7,226
− Property taxes
−$1,935
− Insurance
−$1,442
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,731
− Management
−$1,731
− HOA
−$4,920
− Depreciation
−$3,753
Taxable loss
−$1,096
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$263
After-tax cash flow
$946/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath condo requires moderate repairs and maintenance, including painting and landscaping, to improve its condition and value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Painting — Painted siding shows some wear
  • Minor Landscaping — Some overgrown vegetation

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting — Improves curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Resale Kitchen appliances — Stainless steel appliances are a desirable feature for potential buyers
  • Resale Bathroom fixtures — Upgrading standard fixtures can increase appeal and value
  • Resale Flooring — Replacing worn-out flooring can improve the overall look and feel of the home

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Painting · Painted siding shows some wear Minor $500–3,000
Landscaping · Some overgrown vegetation Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting — Improves curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Resale Kitchen appliances — Stainless steel appliances are a desirable feature for potential buyers
  • Resale Bathroom fixtures — Upgrading standard fixtures can increase appeal and value
  • Resale Flooring — Replacing worn-out flooring can improve the overall look and feel of the home

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ocean Springs School District
NCES district ID
2803360
Math proficiency
64% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$60,485
Composite
53.35/100
National rank
#1477
State rank
#1 of 130 in MS

Livability — Ocean Springs

Score
86/100
State rank
#2
US rank
#420

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ocean Springs, MS
County
Jackson County · 82,196 people
City population
43,240
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
Population (ZIP)
43,240
Household income
$78,596
Rent vs Own
27.8% rent · 72.2% own
Severe rent burden
734.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
146,926 people
By 2030
148,442 · +1.0%
By 2040
149,631 · +1.8%
By 2050
148,723 · +1.2%
By 2075
147,845 · +0.6%
By 2100
144,510 · -1.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.5% · R 69.4% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+34.6 2016: R+39.9 2012: R+36.1 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.77%
Current HPI
204.2244
Rent YoY
▲ 1.31%
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+98.5% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-20 Price Changed $129,000 MLSU
  • 2025-10-01 Price Changed $134,000 MLSU
  • 2025-08-24 Listed $138,000 MLSU
  • 2023-06-22 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2023-06-09 Pending MLSU
  • 2023-06-02 Price Changed $130,000 MLSU
  • 2023-04-24 Listed $135,000 MLSU
  • 2022-04-22 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2022-04-14 Pending MLSU
  • 2022-04-12 Listed $113,000 MLSU
  • 2015-04-29 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2014-05-15 Listed $65,000 MLSU

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…