CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
12161 Broad St
D Composite 41.84
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.0/30.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$174,900

12161 Broad St · Rouzerville, PA 17268
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 946 sqft · Other · 28 Days on market
Built 1942 5,227 sqft lot $185/sqft · 31% below area Est $254k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great starter home or investment opportunity - cute home situated just outside of Waynesboro featuring 2 bedrooms, large Kitchen area, bright living room, finished attic space, replacement windows, and lovely fenced in yard. Convenient location close to shopping & restaurants.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Built 1942
  • Listed 28 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-106 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $156k (10.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (31.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (31.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#1,013 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Waynesboro Area SD (town): math 36% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #283 of 539 in PA (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hooverville El Sch (math 42% / reading 62%, grade C-, #586 of 1,518 statewide, top 42%, 324 students, 55% FRL); Waynesboro Area Ms (math 27% / reading 48%, grade F, #292 of 512 statewide, top 58%, 990 students, 54% FRL); Waynesboro Area Shs (math 69% / reading 24%, grade D-, #173 of 437 statewide, top 40%, 1,439 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 36% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 234 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 633 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $52k; list at $175k implies a 236% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $120,728 (31.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
5.56%
Cash-on-cash
-2.61%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
12.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$253,592
List price
$174,900
Delta
-31.03%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.7%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-35,195
Equity at exit
$26,078
10-year hold
IRR
-14.1%
Equity multiple
0.19×
Total profit
$-39,676
Equity at exit
$15,122

Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17268

Active inventory
234
Price-to-rent
12.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,207 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$917
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $842/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$254
Net cashflow
$-106

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,342
Max offer price $156,092
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-7 -5% $-57 +0% $-106 +5% $-156 +10% $-205
Rent -10% $-202 -5% $-154 +0% $-106 +5% $-59 +10% $-11
Rate -1.0pp $-18 -0.5pp $-62 base $-106 +0.5pp $-152 +1.0pp $-198

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,725
Closing costs
$5,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12935 Washington Twp Blvd Waynesboro, PA 2.0–3.0 1.5 1201 $933 $0.78 14d 2 0.77mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    listed $174,900 Active 283-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Great starter home or investment opportunity - cute home situated just outside of Waynesboro featuring 2 bedrooms, large Kitchen area, bright living room, finished attic space, replacement windows, and lovely fenced in yard. Convenient location close to shopping & restaurants.

  2. 2026-04-20
    historical $174,900 283-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Great starter home or investment opportunity - cute home situated just outside of Waynesboro featuring 2 bedrooms, large Kitchen area, bright living room, finished attic space, replacement windows, and lovely fenced in yard. Convenient location close to shopping & restaurants.

  3. 2007-12-13
    historical
  4. 2007-09-26
    historical
  5. 2007-06-13
    listed
  6. 2007-06-13
    listed $139,900
  7. 2002-08-09
    soldstatus $52,000
  8. 2002-05-14
    historical
  9. 2000-09-28
    listed $52,000
  10. 1999-10-30
    historical
  11. 1998-10-02
    listed

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$842 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,803 · $150/mo
Expected delta
+$961/yr (+$80/mo · 114.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,487
− Mortgage interest
−$9,797
− Property taxes
−$842
− Insurance
−$874
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,159
− Management
−$1,159
− Depreciation
−$5,088
Taxable loss
−$4,432
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,064
After-tax cash flow
$-214/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waynesboro Area SD
NCES district ID
4225110
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$50,445
Composite
37.79/100
National rank
#4342
State rank
#283 of 539 in PA

Livability — Rouzerville

Score
67/100
State rank
#1013
US rank
#11193

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Franklin County · 56,916 people
City population
56
Metro
Chambersburg-Waynesboro, PA
Population (ZIP)
29,362
Household income
$73,161
Rent vs Own
28.8% rent · 71.2% own
Severe rent burden
539.0

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
157,827 people
By 2030
158,933 · +0.7%
By 2040
159,060 · +0.8%
By 2050
155,132 · -1.7%
By 2075
138,545 · -12.2%
By 2100
112,321 · -28.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.0) · D 28.1% · R 71.1%
2008→2024 swing
-10.4pp toward R · 2008: -32.6pp · 2024: -43.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.0 2020: R+43.1 2016: R+46.5 2012: R+38.5 2008: R+32.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -113.20%
Current HPI
189.6931
Rent YoY
Metro
Chambersburg-Waynesboro, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+236.3% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $174,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-20 Coming Soon $174,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-12-13 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-09-26 Delisted MRIS
  • 2007-06-13 Listed $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-06-13 Listed MRIS
  • 2002-08-09 Sold (MLS) $52,000 MRIS
  • 2002-05-14 Delisted MRIS
  • 2000-09-28 Listed $52,000 MRIS
  • 1999-10-30 Delisted MRIS
  • 1998-10-02 Listed MRIS

Property tax history

+12.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $842 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…