903 Haney Ave · El Dorado, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 40.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.5/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,240
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Give us a call for a showing of this 3 bedroom 2 bath home located on Haney Avenue in El Dorado Arkansas. This home has a nice privacy fenced back yard. This home is nicely located between schools, shopping, and the Spudnut Shoppe. * * * Exclusive Agency Listing. Deed Shall be Conveyed by Special Warranty Deed or its Equivalent.
Key facts
- 0.39 acre lot
- Built 1960
- Listed 149 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $84k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $460 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $84k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 4.1% in El Dorado — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#65 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute C-, schools D, employment D.
- El Dorado School District (town): math 32% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #134 of 238 in AR (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $582 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Union County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $78k (48%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 40% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.40%
- DSCR
- 2.04
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $99,735
- List price
- $84,240
- Delta
- -15.54%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716 N Yocum Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 | 1,556 (+3%) | 4mo | $45,000 | $29 | 80 |
| 904 W 7th | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,581 (+5%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $38 | 72 |
| 1016 W 7th St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,466 (-3%) | 9mo | $158,000 | $108 | 70 |
| 911 Crawford St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,624 (+8%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $92 | 69 |
| 1513 W Faulkner St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,537 (+2%) | 7mo | $169,000 | $110 | 68 |
| 1120 W Faulkner St | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,520 (+1%) | 10mo | $126,000 | $83 | 66 |
| 1005 W 6th St | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,648 (+9%) | 6mo | $95,000 | $58 | 66 |
| 107 Reed Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,422 (-6%) | 10mo | $140,000 | $98 | 55 |
| 710 W Elm St | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 1,418 (-6%) | 3mo | $95,000 | $67 | 54 |
| 1421 Emmett | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,295 (-14%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $97 | 47 |
| 801 W Oak St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,698 (+13%) | 1mo | $45,000 | $27 | 40 |
| 1708 W Cedar St | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,669 (+11%) | 10mo | $173,000 | $104 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $15,610
- Equity at exit
- $12,560
- IRR
- 25.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.17×
- Total profit
- $51,172
- Equity at exit
- $7,284
Cash invested: $23,587 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71730
- Home prices YoY
- -18.5%
- Active inventory
- 125
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,209 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$442
- Tax from tax record
- −$19 /mo · $224/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $460
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,060
- Closing costs
- $2,527
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 28 events
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2026-06-19days on market $84,240 Active 150 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $84,240 Active 149 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $84,240 Active 148 DOM
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2026-06-16statusdays on market $84,240 Active 147 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $84,240 Price Change 146 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $84,240 Price Change 144 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $84,240 Price Change 143 DOM
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2026-06-09pricestatusdays on market $84,240 Price Change 140 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $103,680 Active 139 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $103,680 Active 138 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $103,680 Active 137 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $103,680 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $103,680 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $103,680 Active 132 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $103,680 Active 131 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $103,680 Active 130 DOM
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2026-05-07price $103,680 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
Give us a call for a showing of this 3 bedroom 2 bath home located on Haney Avenue in El Dorado Arkansas. This home has a nice privacy fenced back yard. This home is nicely located between schools, shopping, and the Spudnut Shoppe. * * * Exclusive Agency Listing. Deed Shall be Conveyed by Special Warranty Deed or its Equivalent.
-
2026-04-03price $123,120 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
Give us a call for a showing of this 3 bedroom 2 bath home located on Haney Avenue in El Dorado Arkansas. This home has a nice privacy fenced back yard. This home is nicely located between schools, shopping, and the Spudnut Shoppe. * * * Exclusive Agency Listing. Deed Shall be Conveyed by Special Warranty Deed or its Equivalent.
-
2026-03-10price $142,560 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
Give us a call for a showing of this 3 bedroom 2 bath home located on Haney Avenue in El Dorado Arkansas. This home has a nice privacy fenced back yard. This home is nicely located between schools, shopping, and the Spudnut Shoppe. * * * Exclusive Agency Listing. Deed Shall be Conveyed by Special Warranty Deed or its Equivalent.
-
2026-01-16$162,000 New Listing 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
Give us a call for a showing of this 3 bedroom 2 bath home located on Haney Avenue in El Dorado Arkansas. This home has a nice privacy fenced back yard. This home is nicely located between schools, shopping, and the Spudnut Shoppe. * * * Exclusive Agency Listing. Deed Shall be Conveyed by Special Warranty Deed or its Equivalent.
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2023-01-03soldstatus $124,500
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2022-12-28soldstatus $124,500 205-char remark
Show marketing remark (205 chars)
This beautiful home is perfect for a growing family. It's nestled into a great neighborhood with close proximity to schools, shopping, and entertainment. Call Netasha at 870-866-9958 for a private showing.
-
2022-11-11$122,500 205-char remark
Show marketing remark (205 chars)
This beautiful home is perfect for a growing family. It's nestled into a great neighborhood with close proximity to schools, shopping, and entertainment. Call Netasha at 870-866-9958 for a private showing.
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2021-10-01soldstatus $87,500
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2021-09-30$87,500
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2021-09-29soldstatus $87,500
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2006-02-24soldstatus $70,000
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2003-05-27soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $224 · $19/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $539 · $45/mo
- Expected delta
- +$315/yr (+$26/mo · 140.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 40% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,514
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,719
- − Property taxes
- −$224
- − Insurance
- −$421
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,161
- − Management
- −$1,161
- − Depreciation
- −$2,451
- Taxable income
- $4,377
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,050
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,469/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- El Dorado School District
- NCES district ID
- 0505680
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,122
- Composite
- 27.36/100
- National rank
- #6979
- State rank
- #134 of 238 in AR
Livability — El Dorado
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #65
- US rank
- #8444
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- El Dorado, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,187
Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,422 people
- By 2030
- 35,808 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 32,605 · -12.9%
- By 2050
- 29,688 · -20.7%
- By 2075
- 23,691 · -36.7%
- By 2100
- 17,950 · -52.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Union
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.5) · D 32.5% · R 66.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: -26.1pp · 2024: -33.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.5 2020: R+29.5 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+26.3 2008: R+26.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -35.36%
- Current HPI
- 155.8786
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+245.6% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $103,680 CARMLS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $123,120 CARMLS
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $142,560 CARMLS
- 2026-01-16 Listed $162,000 CARMLS
- 2023-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $124,500 Public Records
- 2022-12-28 Sold (MLS) $124,500 CARMLS
- 2022-11-11 Listed $122,500 CARMLS
- 2021-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $87,500 Public Records
- 2021-09-30 Listed $87,500 CARMLS
- 2021-09-29 Sold (MLS) $87,500 CARMLS
- 2006-02-24 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2003-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $224 · -22.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…