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12215 Cherrylawn St
B Composite 72.36
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$90,000

12215 Cherrylawn St · Detroit, MI 48204
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,450 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1921 5,227 sqft lot $62/sqft · 82% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 3 bedroom home featuring beautiful hardwood floors throughout, a spacious backyard perfect for entertaining or relaxing, and a screened-in porch to enjoy the outdoors in comfort. Equipped with a new boiler for added efficiency and peace of mind. Great opportunity with plenty of space inside and out! BATVAI

Key facts

  • New boiler
  • Spacious backyard
  • Screened-in porch

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSSPACIOUS BACKYARDSCREENED-IN PORCHNEW BOILER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick exterior
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.12 acres (57.5 x 94.21)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Six total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $252 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 244 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($34k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $88,650 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
9.65%
Cash-on-cash
11.98%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$49,360
List price
$90,000
Delta
82.33%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12303 Cloverlawn St 0.11mi 3/1.5 1,454 (+0%) 4mo $58,500 $40 89
12162 Kentucky St 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,415 (-2%) 4mo $42,000 $30 84
11931 Wisconsin St 0.14mi 3/3.0 1,407 (-3%) 5mo $135,900 $97 77
12629 Washburn St 0.35mi 3/1.0 1,392 (-4%) 7mo $75,000 $54 71
13546 Ilene St 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,440 (-1%) 6mo $32,000 $22 64
13955 Ohio St 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,448 (-0%) 5mo $37,000 $26 62
13586 Indiana St 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,298 (-10%) 2mo $30,000 $23 53
12027 Manor St 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,340 (-8%) 3mo $86,750 $65 52
12625 Monica St 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,600 (+10%) 2mo $48,000 $30 51
12096 Meyers Rd 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,248 (-14%) 0mo $30,000 $24 43
13903 Cloverlawn Ave 0.69mi 3/1.5 1,265 (-13%) 5mo $140,000 $111 41
13581 Cloverlawn St 0.60mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,240 (-14%) 4mo $143,000 $115 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
33.1%
Equity multiple
3.58×
Total profit
$65,112
Equity at exit
$81,079
10-year hold
IRR
28.6%
Equity multiple
8.11×
Total profit
$179,296
Equity at exit
$174,850

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48204

Home prices YoY
18.5%
Active inventory
244
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,223 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$205 /mo · $2,464/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$257
Net cashflow
$252

Break-even live

Break-even rent $905
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12303 Cloverlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1454 $1,400 $0.96 44d 1 0.11mi
12703 Northlawn St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1365 $1,053 $0.77 20d 1 0.24mi
12144 Washburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 15d 1 0.29mi
12650 Griggs St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1628 $1,375 $0.84 24d 1 0.43mi
12468 Mendota St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 24d 1 0.51mi
12468 Mendota St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 44d 1 0.51mi
12415 Monica St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 44d 1 0.59mi
12123 Santa Rosa Dr Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1680 $1,000 $0.60 24d 1 0.64mi
13620 Kentucky St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1248 $1,200 $0.96 5d 1 0.64mi
12032 Santa Rosa Dr Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,423 $1.58 5d 1 0.69mi
13910 Kentucky St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1680 $1,000 $0.60 44d 1 0.70mi
12663 Stoepel St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,050 $0.95 22d 1 0.71mi
12019 Stoepel St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $943 $0.94 5d 1 0.71mi
13979 Cherrylawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1296 $1,334 $1.03 20d 1 0.74mi
13620 Tuller St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1064 $1,374 $1.29 12d 1 0.74mi
14011 Roselawn St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1300 $1,450 $1.12 2d 1 0.79mi
14011 Roselawn St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1300 $1,450 $1.12 17d 1 0.79mi
12775 Plymouth Rd Unit 16 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1009 $825 $0.82 44d 1 0.87mi
10002 Manor Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,150 $1.05 44d 1 0.88mi
10002 Manor Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 44d 1 0.88mi
13965 Mendota St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1222 $1,294 $1.06 17d 1 0.90mi
10359 Violetlawn St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1200 $985 $0.82 44d 1 0.92mi
14242 Ohio St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,000 $0.71 44d 1 0.93mi
10303 Morley St #1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $950 $1.00 44d 1 0.94mi
4336 Buena Vista St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,100 $0.85 44d 1 1.00mi
4341 Glendale St Detroit, MI 4.0 2.5 1832 $1,680 $0.92 5d 1 1.00mi
4287 W Grand St Unit 4289 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,000 $0.80 44d 1 1.07mi
9558 Meyers Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 44d 1 1.09mi
4268 Cortland St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 44d 1 1.12mi
11704 Broadstreet Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,050 $0.88 44d 1 1.12mi
Ohio St Unit 4 Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1400 $750 $0.54 44d 1 1.13mi
4203 Tyler St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $895 $0.94 44d 1 1.13mi
9789 Chenlot St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 5d 1 1.17mi
14550 Northlawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 17d 1 1.18mi
9022 Northlawn St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 24d 1 1.23mi
3824 Tyler St Apt 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,523 $1.69 17d 1 1.27mi
9209 Pinehurst St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1589 $1,500 $0.94 44d 1 1.28mi
14656 Roselawn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 17d 1 1.29mi
3783 Tyler St Unit Lower Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 44d 1 1.30mi
3812 W Grand St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,025 $0.93 17d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    statusdays on market $90,000 Pending 24 DOM
    Show marketing remark (316 chars)

    Charming 3 bedroom home featuring beautiful hardwood floors throughout, a spacious backyard perfect for entertaining or relaxing, and a screened-in porch to enjoy the outdoors in comfort. Equipped with a new boiler for added efficiency and peace of mind. Great opportunity with plenty of space inside and out! BATVAI

  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $90,000 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-04
    days on market $90,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $90,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $90,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $90,000 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $90,000 Active 16 DOM
  8. 2026-05-15
    listed $90,000 Active 317-char remark
    Show marketing remark (316 chars)

    Charming 3 bedroom home featuring beautiful hardwood floors throughout, a spacious backyard perfect for entertaining or relaxing, and a screened-in porch to enjoy the outdoors in comfort. Equipped with a new boiler for added efficiency and peace of mind. Great opportunity with plenty of space inside and out! BATVAI

  9. 2026-05-15
    listed $90,000 Active 316-char remark
    Show marketing remark (316 chars)

    Charming 3 bedroom home featuring beautiful hardwood floors throughout, a spacious backyard perfect for entertaining or relaxing, and a screened-in porch to enjoy the outdoors in comfort. Equipped with a new boiler for added efficiency and peace of mind. Great opportunity with plenty of space inside and out! BATVAI

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,464 · $205/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,464 · $205/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,678
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$2,464
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,174
− Management
−$1,174
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$1,756
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$422
After-tax cash flow
$2,597/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,696
Household income
$34,468
Rent vs Own
45.0% rent · 55.0% own
Severe rent burden
1418.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 36.51%
Current HPI
234.0465
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-08 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $90,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $90,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+10.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,464 · +253.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…