265 Thelma Rd · South Rosemary, NC 27870

$84,300

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 910 sqft · SingleFamily public records

Built 1961

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +29.7/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +7.7/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.2/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

This 910 square foot single family home has 2 bedrooms and 1.0 bathrooms. This home is located at 265 Thelma Rd, Roanoke Rapids, NC 27870.

Key facts

• Built 1961

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $84k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $307 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $84k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#546 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Halifax County Schools (rural): math 6% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #177 of 178 in NC (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 55 units permitted in Halifax County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $583 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Halifax County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $84,300

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.27% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.66%
• Cash-on-cash: 15.59%
• DSCR: 1.69
• GRM: 6.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 6.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.25×
• Total profit: $5,862
• Equity at exit: $12,569

10-year hold

• IRR: 15.7%
• Equity multiple: 2.28×
• Total profit: $30,210
• Equity at exit: $7,289

Cash invested: $23,604 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State North Carolina: 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 27870

• Home prices YoY: -21.1%
• Active inventory: 143
• Price-to-rent: 6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,069 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$442
• Tax from tax record: −$60 /mo · $724/yr
• Insurance: −$35
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$224
• Net cashflow: $307

Break-even live

Break-even rent $680

Max offer price $84,300

Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $354	-5% $331	+0% $307	+5% $283	+10% $259
Rent	-10% $222	-5% $264	+0% $307	+5% $349	+10% $391
Rate	-1.0pp $349	-0.5pp $328	base $307	+0.5pp $285	+1.0pp $263

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $21,075
• Closing costs: $2,529
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 1 events

1. 2026-05-26
   listed $84,300

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $724 · $60/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $724 · $60/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 95% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,824
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,722
• − Property taxes: −$724
• − Insurance: −$422
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,026
• − Management: −$1,026
• − Depreciation: −$2,452
• Taxable income: $2,452
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$588
• After-tax cash flow: $3,092/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Halifax County Schools
• NCES district ID: 3701950
• Math proficiency: 6% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 24% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $29,104
• Composite: 11.7/100
• National rank: #9690
• State rank: #177 of 178 in NC

Livability — South Rosemary

• Score: 59/100
• State rank: #546
• US rank: #19997

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Halifax County · 24,958 people
• Metro: Roanoke Rapids, NC
• Population (ZIP): 24,958
• Household income: $49,502
• Rent vs Own: 41.6% rent · 58.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 822.0

Population outlook (Halifax County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 47,976 people
• By 2030: 45,450 · -5.3%
• By 2040: 39,980 · -16.7%
• By 2050: 34,863 · -27.3%
• By 2075: 25,577 · -46.7%
• By 2100: 18,365 · -61.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
• Race & ethnicity: White 47% Black 40% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Halifax

• 2024 margin: D (+17.7) · D 58.5% · R 40.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -10.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.2pp · 2024: 17.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+17.7 2020: D+21.2 2016: D+26.9 2012: D+32.0 2008: D+28.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -47.78%
• Current HPI: 179.1705
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Roanoke Rapids, NC
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	2	$213B
▸Retail	2	$95B
▸Industrial Conglomerate	1	$38B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$35B
▸Utilities	1	$30B
▸Industrial Machinery	1	$19B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-26 Listed $84,300 FSBO.com

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $724 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.