15607 Grassy Willow Dr · Huntertown, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.2/15.0
- Cash flow +13.3/30.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$295,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* * REDUCED & READY TO SELL * * Tucked away in Willow Run on a tree lined lot is a beautiful 4-Bedroom that does not lack for space or lay-out options. Step inside the vaulted entryway, and behind glass French doors find the first of two Living Spaces ~ a spacious Den/Formal Dining Room/ Home Office. Continue on to the Great Room and adjacent Eat-in Kitchen which comes fully loaded with upscale Stainless Steel appliances and offers easy access to the back patio. Wrapping up the Homes main level is a private Laundry Room already fitted with a Washer & Dryer and main floor Half Bath tucked behind a pocket door. The Upper Level is comprised of a large Master Suite with a walk-in closet and en suite PLUS Three Guestrooms and their shared Full Bathroom. The location could not be better; located in the highly desirable NWA School District and near the Parkview Regional Hospital, Parkview Family YMCA, Pufferbelly Trail, easy highway access, and all of the dining & shopping options nearby Lima & Dupont roads have to offer. Schedule your tour Today & be moved into your new Home before the New Year!
Key facts
- 7,841 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2011
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Willow Run subdivision
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $189 (about $15.75/month)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built home; 2 stories
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Slab foundation; Built as a site-built home
- Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 133
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric range
- Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric range; Central air conditioning; Natural gas forced-air heating
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $295k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1 ($9/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $235k (20.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $235k (20.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.1% in Huntertown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#159 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Northwest Allen County Schools (rural): math 51% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #25 of 301 in IN (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Huntertown Elementary School (math 44% / reading 36%, grade F, #494 of 994 statewide, top 50%, 506 students, 38% FRL); Carroll Middle School (math 39% / reading 55%, grade D+, #65 of 330 statewide, top 21%, 994 students, 29% FRL); Carroll High School (math 59% / reading 86%, grade B+, #10 of 369 statewide, top 3%, 2,554 students, 21% FRL) — zoned schools average 29% FRL vs 11% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 148 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,861 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (576 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Allen County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.01%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $347,024
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15607 Grassy Willow Dr | 0.00mi | 4/2.5 | 1,886 (0%) | 1mo | $286,000 | $152 | 97 |
| 1217 Lebaron Cv | 0.12mi | 4/2.5 | 1,951 (+3%) | 4mo | $326,000 | $167 | 83 |
| 1008 Ravenwillow Dr | 0.10mi | 4/2.5 | 1,744 (-8%) | 3mo | $296,000 | $170 | 79 |
| 814 Larkwillow Ct | 0.39mi | 4/2.5 | 1,911 (+1%) | 1mo | $299,000 | $156 | 76 |
| 15836 Impala Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,740 (-8%) | 2mo | $320,000 | $184 | 75 |
| 910 Honey Willow Blvd | 0.13mi | 4/2.5 | 2,083 (+10%) | 1mo | $332,000 | $159 | 74 |
| 1480 Monte Carlo Dr | 0.32mi | 4/2.5 | 2,003 (+6%) | 1mo | $389,900 | $195 | 72 |
| 1372 Marsh Deer Run | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 | 1,621 (-14%) | 0mo | $360,000 | $222 | 69 |
| 14983 Windwood Ct | 0.54mi | 4/2.5 | 1,924 (+2%) | 1mo | $318,000 | $165 | 69 |
| 15435 Verano Pl | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,857 (-2%) | 1mo | $397,500 | $214 | 65 |
| 1455 Herdsman Blvd | 0.27mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,640 (-13%) | 1mo | $362,900 | $221 | 58 |
| 1466 Monte Carlo Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,604 (-15%) | 1mo | $334,900 | $209 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-47,831
- Equity at exit
- $43,985
- IRR
- -8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-41,895
- Equity at exit
- $25,506
Cash invested: $82,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46748
- Home prices YoY
- -22.2%
- Active inventory
- 148
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,354 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,547
- Tax from tax record
- −$173 /mo · $2,074/yr
- Insurance
- −$123
- HOA
- −$16
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$494
- Net cashflow
- $1
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $168 | -5% $84 | +0% $1 | +5% $-83 | +10% $-166 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-185 | -5% $-92 | +0% $1 | +5% $94 | +10% $187 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $149 | -0.5pp $76 | base $1 | +0.5pp $-76 | +1.0pp $-153 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,750
- Closing costs
- $8,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14784 Gul St Fort Wayne, IN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1459 | $1,895 | $1.30 | 15d | 4 | 0.71mi |
| 1298 Switchfoot Dr Huntertown, IN | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1990 | $2,700 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 17146 Apostle Island Cv Huntertown, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1534 | $2,300 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 562 Highfields Cv Fort Wayne, IN | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2413 | $2,700 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $16 · $192/yr
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-10status Pending
-
2026-05-08$295,000 Active
-
2024-02-02soldstatus $269,900 Closed 1138-char remark
Show marketing remark (1138 chars)
* * REDUCED & READY TO SELL * * Tucked away in Willow Run on a tree lined lot is a beautiful 4-Bedroom that does not lack for space or lay-out options. Step inside the vaulted entryway, and behind glass French doors find the first of two Living Spaces ~ a spacious Den/Formal Dining Room/ Home Office. Continue on to the Great Room and adjacent Eat-in Kitchen which comes fully loaded with upscale Stainless Steel appliances and offers easy access to the back patio. Wrapping up the Homes main level is a private Laundry Room already fitted with a Washer & Dryer and main floor Half Bath tucked behind a pocket door. The Upper Level is comprised of a large Master Suite with a walk-in closet and en suite PLUS Three Guestrooms and their shared Full Bathroom. The location could not be better; located in the highly desirable NWA School District and near the Parkview Regional Hospital, Parkview Family YMCA, Pufferbelly Trail, easy highway access, and all of the dining & shopping options nearby Lima & Dupont roads have to offer. Schedule your tour Today & be moved into your new Home before the New Year!
-
2024-01-04status Pending 1138-char remark
Show marketing remark (1138 chars)
* * REDUCED & READY TO SELL * * Tucked away in Willow Run on a tree lined lot is a beautiful 4-Bedroom that does not lack for space or lay-out options. Step inside the vaulted entryway, and behind glass French doors find the first of two Living Spaces ~ a spacious Den/Formal Dining Room/ Home Office. Continue on to the Great Room and adjacent Eat-in Kitchen which comes fully loaded with upscale Stainless Steel appliances and offers easy access to the back patio. Wrapping up the Homes main level is a private Laundry Room already fitted with a Washer & Dryer and main floor Half Bath tucked behind a pocket door. The Upper Level is comprised of a large Master Suite with a walk-in closet and en suite PLUS Three Guestrooms and their shared Full Bathroom. The location could not be better; located in the highly desirable NWA School District and near the Parkview Regional Hospital, Parkview Family YMCA, Pufferbelly Trail, easy highway access, and all of the dining & shopping options nearby Lima & Dupont roads have to offer. Schedule your tour Today & be moved into your new Home before the New Year!
-
2024-01-02$269,900 Active 1138-char remark
Show marketing remark (1138 chars)
* * REDUCED & READY TO SELL * * Tucked away in Willow Run on a tree lined lot is a beautiful 4-Bedroom that does not lack for space or lay-out options. Step inside the vaulted entryway, and behind glass French doors find the first of two Living Spaces ~ a spacious Den/Formal Dining Room/ Home Office. Continue on to the Great Room and adjacent Eat-in Kitchen which comes fully loaded with upscale Stainless Steel appliances and offers easy access to the back patio. Wrapping up the Homes main level is a private Laundry Room already fitted with a Washer & Dryer and main floor Half Bath tucked behind a pocket door. The Upper Level is comprised of a large Master Suite with a walk-in closet and en suite PLUS Three Guestrooms and their shared Full Bathroom. The location could not be better; located in the highly desirable NWA School District and near the Parkview Regional Hospital, Parkview Family YMCA, Pufferbelly Trail, easy highway access, and all of the dining & shopping options nearby Lima & Dupont roads have to offer. Schedule your tour Today & be moved into your new Home before the New Year!
-
2023-12-23status Pending
-
2023-12-18$269,900 Active
-
2023-12-04$274,900 Active
-
2017-09-01soldstatus $167,000
-
2017-06-20$168,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,074 · $173/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,291 · $191/mo
- Expected delta
- +$217/yr (+$18/mo · 10.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,246
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,525
- − Property taxes
- −$2,074
- − Insurance
- −$1,475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,260
- − Management
- −$2,260
- − HOA
- −$192
- − Depreciation
- −$8,582
- Taxable loss
- −$5,121
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,229
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,238/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northwest Allen County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1808250
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $78,952
- Composite
- 49.26/100
- National rank
- #2027
- State rank
- #25 of 301 in IN
Livability — Huntertown
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #159
- US rank
- #7771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Huntertown, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,933
Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 394,020 people
- By 2030
- 405,128 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 423,476 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 435,137 · +10.4%
- By 2075
- 450,293 · +14.3%
- By 2100
- 424,101 · +7.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 7% Swedish 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allen
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.5) · D 42.9% · R 55.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.3pp · 2024: -12.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.5 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+19.6 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+4.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.59%
- Current HPI
- 212.6029
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+75.6% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Pending — IRMLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $295,000 IRMLS
- 2024-02-02 Sold (MLS) $269,900 IRMLS
- 2024-01-04 Pending — IRMLS
- 2024-01-02 Listed $269,900 IRMLS
- 2023-12-23 Pending — IRMLS
- 2023-12-18 Listed $269,900 IRMLS
- 2023-12-04 Listed $274,900 IRMLS
- 2017-09-01 Sold (MLS) $167,000 IRMLS
- 2017-06-20 Listed $168,000 IRMLS
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2024): $2,074 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…