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B- Composite 67.72
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.8/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,500

600 Raintree Blvd #85 · Williamsburg, CO 81212
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured public records · 77 Days on market
Built 1997 Est $64k · at est. $640/mo HOA · 36% of rent ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home located in the desirable Lamplighter Mobile Home Park in Canon City, CO. Built in 1997, this move-in ready home features a new roof, spacious open floor plan with a seamless flow between the living room, dining area, and kitchen—ideal for comfortable everyday living and entertaining. The home offers ample natural light, functional living space, and a thoughtful layout. Enjoy a fully fenced yard, perfect for pets, outdoor relaxation, or gardening while taking advantage of Colorado’s sunny climate. Situated in a friendly, established community, Lamplighter Mobile Home Park provides a convenient Canon City location close to shoppi

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Manufactured home
  • Convenient location

Tags

MANUFACTURED HOMELAMPLIGHTER MOBILE HOME PARKOPEN FLOOR PLANFULLY FENCED YARDCONVENIENT LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a monthly fee of $640

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Exterior features: Enclosed patio/porch; Landscaped grounds; Has a view

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating with forced air (natural gas); Wall and window cooling units
  • Interior features: Wood window frames; Double-pane windows; Free-standing fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $66k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $361 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $66k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#356 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Fremont Re-2 (town): math 25% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #48 of 86 in CO (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 10 active listings in the ZIP; 139 units permitted in Fremont County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $453 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fremont County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 36% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,570 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.69%
Cap rate
12.91%
Cash-on-cash
23.62%
DSCR
2.05
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$64,448
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
600 Raintree Blvd 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,088 (-10%) 9mo $58,000 $53 75

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.6%
Equity multiple
1.62×
Total profit
$11,352
Equity at exit
$9,766
10-year hold
IRR
23.5%
Equity multiple
2.93×
Total profit
$35,363
Equity at exit
$5,663

Cash invested: $18,340 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 81212

Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,760 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$343
Tax from tax record
$18 /mo · $220/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$640
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$370
Net cashflow
$361

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,303
Max offer price $65,500
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,375
Closing costs
$1,965
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$640 · $7,680/yr

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,500 Active 77 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,500 Active 76 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,500 Active 75 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,500 Active 74 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $65,500 Active 73 DOM
  6. 2026-05-17
    price $65,500
  7. 2026-03-18
    listed $67,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$220 · $18/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$360 · $30/mo
Expected delta
+$140/yr (+$12/mo · 63.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥93°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,116
− Mortgage interest
−$3,669
− Property taxes
−$220
− Insurance
−$328
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,689
− Management
−$1,689
− HOA
−$7,680
− Depreciation
−$1,905
Taxable income
$3,935
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$944
After-tax cash flow
$3,387/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fremont Re-2
NCES district ID
0803960
Math proficiency
25% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$42,196
Composite
27.06/100
National rank
#7050
State rank
#48 of 86 in CO

Livability — Williamsburg

Score
54/100
State rank
#356
US rank
#23823

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Williamsburg, CO
County
Fremont County · 32,292 people
Metro
Ca-¦on City, CO
Population (ZIP)
32,292
Household income
$64,235
Rent vs Own
27.0% rent · 73.0% own
Severe rent burden
780.0

Population outlook (Fremont County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
46,291 people
By 2030
46,017 · -0.6%
By 2040
45,295 · -2.2%
By 2050
43,881 · -5.2%
By 2075
39,981 · -13.6%
By 2100
31,943 · -31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Fremont

2024 margin
Solid R (+38.4) · D 29.6% · R 68.0% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-9.2pp toward R · 2008: -29.2pp · 2024: -38.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+38.4 2020: R+39.7 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+31.8 2008: R+29.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -213.34%
Current HPI
189.8942
Rent YoY
▲ 2.20%
Metro
Ca-¦on City, CO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Price Changed $65,500 RGAR
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $67,500 RGAR

Property tax history

+4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $220 · +148.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…