600 Raintree Blvd #85 · Williamsburg, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.8/15.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home located in the desirable Lamplighter Mobile Home Park in Canon City, CO. Built in 1997, this move-in ready home features a new roof, spacious open floor plan with a seamless flow between the living room, dining area, and kitchen—ideal for comfortable everyday living and entertaining. The home offers ample natural light, functional living space, and a thoughtful layout. Enjoy a fully fenced yard, perfect for pets, outdoor relaxation, or gardening while taking advantage of Colorado’s sunny climate. Situated in a friendly, established community, Lamplighter Mobile Home Park provides a convenient Canon City location close to shoppi
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Manufactured home
- Convenient location
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with a monthly fee of $640
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Exterior features: Enclosed patio/porch; Landscaped grounds; Has a view
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating with forced air (natural gas); Wall and window cooling units
- Interior features: Wood window frames; Double-pane windows; Free-standing fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $66k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $361 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $66k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 54/100 on livability (#356 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
- Fremont Re-2 (town): math 25% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #48 of 86 in CO (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 10 active listings in the ZIP; 139 units permitted in Fremont County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $453 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fremont County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 36% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.62%
- DSCR
- 2.05
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $64,448
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 600 Raintree Blvd | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,088 (-10%) | 9mo | $58,000 | $53 | 75 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $11,352
- Equity at exit
- $9,766
- IRR
- 23.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.93×
- Total profit
- $35,363
- Equity at exit
- $5,663
Cash invested: $18,340 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 81212
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 10
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,760 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$343
- Tax from tax record
- −$18 /mo · $220/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$640
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$370
- Net cashflow
- $361
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,375
- Closing costs
- $1,965
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $640 · $7,680/yr
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,500 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,500 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,500 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,500 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $65,500 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-17price $65,500
-
2026-03-18$67,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $220 · $18/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $360 · $30/mo
- Expected delta
- +$140/yr (+$12/mo · 63.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥93°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,116
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,669
- − Property taxes
- −$220
- − Insurance
- −$328
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,689
- − Management
- −$1,689
- − HOA
- −$7,680
- − Depreciation
- −$1,905
- Taxable income
- $3,935
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$944
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,387/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fremont Re-2
- NCES district ID
- 0803960
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,196
- Composite
- 27.06/100
- National rank
- #7050
- State rank
- #48 of 86 in CO
Livability — Williamsburg
- Score
- 54/100
- State rank
- #356
- US rank
- #23823
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Williamsburg, CO
- County
- Fremont County · 32,292 people
- Metro
- Ca-¦on City, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,292
- Household income
- $64,235
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 780.0
Population outlook (Fremont County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,291 people
- By 2030
- 46,017 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 45,295 · -2.2%
- By 2050
- 43,881 · -5.2%
- By 2075
- 39,981 · -13.6%
- By 2100
- 31,943 · -31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 6% Black 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Fremont
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+38.4) · D 29.6% · R 68.0% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.2pp toward R · 2008: -29.2pp · 2024: -38.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+38.4 2020: R+39.7 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+31.8 2008: R+29.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -213.34%
- Current HPI
- 189.8942
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.20%
- Metro
- Ca-¦on City, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-3.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Price Changed $65,500 RGAR
- 2026-03-18 Listed $67,500 RGAR
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $220 · +148.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…