24921 Muirlands Blvd #313 · Lake Forest, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- ARV discount +2.8/15.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautifully updated home in El Toro Estates, one of the premier 55+ gated communities in Lake Forest, where comfort, privacy, and resort-style living come together. Ideally located near the community entrance for convenient access—yet far enough away to avoid traffic—the home also enjoys the rare advantage of having no rear neighbor, creating added privacy and tranquility. Inside, you’ll find a spacious open floor plan featuring 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a large living room, separate family room, and beautiful new flooring throughout. The oversized primary suite offers a peaceful retreat, while the remodeled kitchen features elegant quartz countertops, new appliances, and abundant space for cooking and entertaining. Updated bathrooms and thoughtful improvements make this home both stylish and functional. Step outside to the welcoming front porch, perfect for relaxing and enjoying breathtaking sunset views. The covered carport includes two oversized storage sheds, ideal for tools, hobbies, and extra storage. Mature trees and lush landscaping add charm and shade. This move-in-ready home also features a new roof, recently serviced HVAC system, modern lighting, and refreshed landscaping. The Park allows one additional occupant age 18+. Residents enjoy outstanding amenities including a heated pool and spa, fitness center, elegant clubhouse with banquet facilities, game room with Ping Pong, billiards, and poker tables, community gardens, secured parking for RVs/boats/extra vehicles, ample visitor parking, full-time on-site management, and a dedicated activities coordinator. With affordable low monthly space rent, you can enjoy luxury living at a fraction of the cost. Centrally located near transportation, grocery stores, pharmacies, restaurants, shopping, and everyday services, this is senior living made practical and enjoyable. More than just a home, this is your opportunity to enjoy the next chapter in one of the best 55+ communities in Lake Forest.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Remodeled kitchen
- Front porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $249k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $249k).
- Recommended offer: $234k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 2.1% in Lake Forest — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#387 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing B; Watch: commute C-, amenities F, cost of living F.
- Saddleback Valley Unified (suburban): math 51% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #67 of 517 in CA (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 205 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($126k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($234k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $66k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.73%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $225,299
- List price
- $249,000
- Delta
- 10.52%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24921 Muirlands blvd #78 | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 | 1,570 (+2%) | 3mo | $224,000 | $143 | 93 |
| 24921 Muirlands Blvd #23 | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 | 1,488 (-3%) | 2mo | $199,000 | $134 | 91 |
| 24921 Muirlands Blvd #28 | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-6%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $118 | 86 |
| 24921 Muirlands #13 | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-6%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $122 | 84 |
| 24921 Muirlands Blvd #209 | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-6%) | 1mo | $152,500 | $106 | 83 |
| 24921 Muirlands Blvd #265 | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-6%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $128 | 82 |
| 24921 Muirlands Blvd Spc 114 | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-6%) | 10mo | $207,000 | $144 | 79 |
| 24701 Raymond Ave #120 | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,608 (+4%) | 2mo | $375,000 | $233 | 70 |
| 24701 Raymond Way #81 | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,660 (+8%) | 6mo | $333,000 | $201 | 65 |
| 24701 Raymond Way #39 | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-6%) | 5mo | $202,500 | $141 | 64 |
| 24701 Raymond Way #230 | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 | 1,680 (+9%) | 7mo | $230,000 | $137 | 57 |
| 24701 Raymond Way #170 | 0.36mi | 2/2.0 | 1,728 (+12%) | 9mo | $230,000 | $133 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $30,936
- Equity at exit
- $37,127
- IRR
- 19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.63×
- Total profit
- $113,940
- Equity at exit
- $21,529
Cash invested: $69,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92630
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 205
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,629 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,306
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$311 /mo · $3,735/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$762
- Net cashflow
- $1,146
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,318 | -5% $1,232 | +0% $1,146 | +5% $1,060 | +10% $974 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $860 | -5% $1,003 | +0% $1,146 | +5% $1,290 | +10% $1,433 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,272 | -0.5pp $1,210 | base $1,146 | +0.5pp $1,082 | +1.0pp $1,016 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,250
- Closing costs
- $7,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25092 Farthing St Lake Forest, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 881 | $3,303 | $3.75 | 3d | 5 | 0.61mi |
| 6 Quinn Way Mission Viejo, CA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1716 | $4,100 | $2.39 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 62 Aliso Ridge Loop Mission Viejo, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1560 | $3,795 | $2.43 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 23151 Los Alisos Blvd Mission Viejo, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1091 | $2,654 | $2.43 | 2d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 24621 Overlake Dr Lake Forest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1677 | $4,350 | $2.59 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 24391 Avenida de la Carlota Laguna Hills, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 957 | $3,965 | $4.14 | 2d | 18 | 0.98mi |
| 22835 Islamare Ln Lake Forest, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1860 | $6,600 | $3.55 | 13d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 22892 Plainview Cir Lake Forest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1836 | $5,400 | $2.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 22602 Cottonwood Cir Lake Forest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $4,250 | $3.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 158 Avenida Majorca Unit D Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $3,200 | $2.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 24151 El Tiradore Cir Mission Viejo, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $2,550 | $2.43 | 5d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 169 Avenida Majorca Unit B Laguna Woods, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 22700 Lake Forest Dr Lake Forest, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1008 | $3,248 | $3.22 | 5d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 205 Avenida Majorca Unit A Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $3,600 | $2.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 24299 Paseo De Valencia Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1347 | $3,770 | $2.80 | 22d | 7 | 1.38mi |
| 221 Avenida Majorca Unit D Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1438 | $3,200 | $2.23 | 25d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2022 Via Mariposa E Unit B Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1325 | $3,200 | $2.42 | 19d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 969 Calle Aragon Unit 1B Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1195 | $2,900 | $2.43 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 25885 Trabuco Rd #98 Lake Forest, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1190 | $3,300 | $2.77 | 12d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2269 Via Puerta Unit N Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1057 | $2,700 | $2.55 | 19d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2369 Via Mariposa E Unit 1B Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1340 | $2,950 | $2.20 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2369 Via Mariposa E Unit 3H Laguna Woods, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1663 | $3,750 | $2.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 24362 Woodwalk Rd Lake Forest, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2047 | $4,995 | $2.44 | 5d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 24362 Woodwalk Rd Lake Forest, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2047 | $4,795 | $2.34 | 13d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2022 Via Mariposa E Unit D Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1305 | $4,000 | $3.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2293 Via Puerta Unit O Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1057 | $3,100 | $2.93 | 19d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 2299 Via Puerta Unit F Laguna Woods, CA | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1530 | $3,500 | $2.29 | 19d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $249,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $249,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $249,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $249,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $259,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $259,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $259,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $259,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $259,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $259,000 Active Under Contract 51 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $259,000 Active Under Contract 48 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $259,000 Active Under Contract 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $259,000 Active Under Contract 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $259,000 Active Under Contract 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $259,000 Active Under Contract 44 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $259,000 2012-char remark
Show marketing remark (2012 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully updated home in El Toro Estates, one of the premier 55+ gated communities in Lake Forest, where comfort, privacy, and resort-style living come together. Ideally located near the community entrance for convenient access—yet far enough away to avoid traffic—the home also enjoys the rare advantage of having no rear neighbor, creating added privacy and tranquility. Inside, you’ll find a spacious open floor plan featuring 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a large living room, separate family room, and beautiful new flooring throughout. The oversized primary suite offers a peaceful retreat, while the remodeled kitchen features elegant quartz countertops, new appliances, and abundant space for cooking and entertaining. Updated bathrooms and thoughtful improvements make this home both stylish and functional. Step outside to the welcoming front porch, perfect for relaxing and enjoying breathtaking sunset views. The covered carport includes two oversized storage sheds, ideal for tools, hobbies, and extra storage. Mature trees and lush landscaping add charm and shade. This move-in-ready home also features a new roof, recently serviced HVAC system, modern lighting, and refreshed landscaping. The Park allows one additional occupant age 18+. Residents enjoy outstanding amenities including a heated pool and spa, fitness center, elegant clubhouse with banquet facilities, game room with Ping Pong, billiards, and poker tables, community gardens, secured parking for RVs/boats/extra vehicles, ample visitor parking, full-time on-site management, and a dedicated activities coordinator. With affordable low monthly space rent, you can enjoy luxury living at a fraction of the cost. Centrally located near transportation, grocery stores, pharmacies, restaurants, shopping, and everyday services, this is senior living made practical and enjoyable. More than just a home, this is your opportunity to enjoy the next chapter in one of the best 55+ communities in Lake Forest.
-
2026-04-27price $279,000 2012-char remark
Show marketing remark (2012 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully updated home in El Toro Estates, one of the premier 55+ gated communities in Lake Forest, where comfort, privacy, and resort-style living come together. Ideally located near the community entrance for convenient access—yet far enough away to avoid traffic—the home also enjoys the rare advantage of having no rear neighbor, creating added privacy and tranquility. Inside, you’ll find a spacious open floor plan featuring 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a large living room, separate family room, and beautiful new flooring throughout. The oversized primary suite offers a peaceful retreat, while the remodeled kitchen features elegant quartz countertops, new appliances, and abundant space for cooking and entertaining. Updated bathrooms and thoughtful improvements make this home both stylish and functional. Step outside to the welcoming front porch, perfect for relaxing and enjoying breathtaking sunset views. The covered carport includes two oversized storage sheds, ideal for tools, hobbies, and extra storage. Mature trees and lush landscaping add charm and shade. This move-in-ready home also features a new roof, recently serviced HVAC system, modern lighting, and refreshed landscaping. The Park allows one additional occupant age 18+. Residents enjoy outstanding amenities including a heated pool and spa, fitness center, elegant clubhouse with banquet facilities, game room with Ping Pong, billiards, and poker tables, community gardens, secured parking for RVs/boats/extra vehicles, ample visitor parking, full-time on-site management, and a dedicated activities coordinator. With affordable low monthly space rent, you can enjoy luxury living at a fraction of the cost. Centrally located near transportation, grocery stores, pharmacies, restaurants, shopping, and everyday services, this is senior living made practical and enjoyable. More than just a home, this is your opportunity to enjoy the next chapter in one of the best 55+ communities in Lake Forest.
-
2026-04-22price $299,000 2012-char remark
Show marketing remark (2012 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully updated home in El Toro Estates, one of the premier 55+ gated communities in Lake Forest, where comfort, privacy, and resort-style living come together. Ideally located near the community entrance for convenient access—yet far enough away to avoid traffic—the home also enjoys the rare advantage of having no rear neighbor, creating added privacy and tranquility. Inside, you’ll find a spacious open floor plan featuring 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a large living room, separate family room, and beautiful new flooring throughout. The oversized primary suite offers a peaceful retreat, while the remodeled kitchen features elegant quartz countertops, new appliances, and abundant space for cooking and entertaining. Updated bathrooms and thoughtful improvements make this home both stylish and functional. Step outside to the welcoming front porch, perfect for relaxing and enjoying breathtaking sunset views. The covered carport includes two oversized storage sheds, ideal for tools, hobbies, and extra storage. Mature trees and lush landscaping add charm and shade. This move-in-ready home also features a new roof, recently serviced HVAC system, modern lighting, and refreshed landscaping. The Park allows one additional occupant age 18+. Residents enjoy outstanding amenities including a heated pool and spa, fitness center, elegant clubhouse with banquet facilities, game room with Ping Pong, billiards, and poker tables, community gardens, secured parking for RVs/boats/extra vehicles, ample visitor parking, full-time on-site management, and a dedicated activities coordinator. With affordable low monthly space rent, you can enjoy luxury living at a fraction of the cost. Centrally located near transportation, grocery stores, pharmacies, restaurants, shopping, and everyday services, this is senior living made practical and enjoyable. More than just a home, this is your opportunity to enjoy the next chapter in one of the best 55+ communities in Lake Forest.
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2026-04-17$315,000 Active 2012-char remark
Show marketing remark (2012 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully updated home in El Toro Estates, one of the premier 55+ gated communities in Lake Forest, where comfort, privacy, and resort-style living come together. Ideally located near the community entrance for convenient access—yet far enough away to avoid traffic—the home also enjoys the rare advantage of having no rear neighbor, creating added privacy and tranquility. Inside, you’ll find a spacious open floor plan featuring 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a large living room, separate family room, and beautiful new flooring throughout. The oversized primary suite offers a peaceful retreat, while the remodeled kitchen features elegant quartz countertops, new appliances, and abundant space for cooking and entertaining. Updated bathrooms and thoughtful improvements make this home both stylish and functional. Step outside to the welcoming front porch, perfect for relaxing and enjoying breathtaking sunset views. The covered carport includes two oversized storage sheds, ideal for tools, hobbies, and extra storage. Mature trees and lush landscaping add charm and shade. This move-in-ready home also features a new roof, recently serviced HVAC system, modern lighting, and refreshed landscaping. The Park allows one additional occupant age 18+. Residents enjoy outstanding amenities including a heated pool and spa, fitness center, elegant clubhouse with banquet facilities, game room with Ping Pong, billiards, and poker tables, community gardens, secured parking for RVs/boats/extra vehicles, ample visitor parking, full-time on-site management, and a dedicated activities coordinator. With affordable low monthly space rent, you can enjoy luxury living at a fraction of the cost. Centrally located near transportation, grocery stores, pharmacies, restaurants, shopping, and everyday services, this is senior living made practical and enjoyable. More than just a home, this is your opportunity to enjoy the next chapter in one of the best 55+ communities in Lake Forest.
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2010-10-28historical
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2010-08-10price $59,000
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2010-04-16$79,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,551
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,948
- − Property taxes
- −$3,735
- − Insurance
- −$1,245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,484
- − Management
- −$3,484
- − Depreciation
- −$7,244
- Taxable income
- $10,412
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,499
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,257/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Saddleback Valley Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0633860
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $85,577
- Composite
- 56.05/100
- National rank
- #1185
- State rank
- #67 of 517 in CA
Livability — Lake Forest
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #387
- US rank
- #13130
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lake Forest, CA
- County
- Orange County · 3,096,323 people
- City population
- 80,019
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 67,152
- Household income
- $125,853
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2412.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,477,456 people
- By 2030
- 3,613,117 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 3,835,945 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 3,968,736 · +14.1%
- By 2075
- 4,097,053 · +17.8%
- By 2100
- 3,903,633 · +12.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Hispanic / Latino 27% Asian 19% Two or more races 16% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Spanish 18% Chinese 4% Other Indo-European 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -866.99%
- Current HPI
- 436.6189
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.51%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+227.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $259,000 CRMLS
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $279,000 CRMLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $299,000 CRMLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $315,000 CRMLS
- 2010-10-28 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2010-08-10 Price Changed $59,000 CRMLS
- 2010-04-16 Listed $79,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…