3454 Americo Dr · West Palm Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$217,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
13x12 rear porch w/roll ups, private back yd., water sofenting system, cool interior villa, 4 fans, a/c system '03; service contract through 10/08, newer w/dryer, micro/dwasher & ref., roof 2 yrs. old, M.Bath totally re-done w/step in shower
Key facts
- Gated community
- Fitness center
- Community amenities
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Senior community
- Financial info: Pets allowed with possible restrictions (breed, number, size limits)
- HOA & community: Has association; Monthly association fee of $393; Association includes cable, grounds maintenance, security, common areas, golf, and recreation facilities; Community amenities: clubhouse, pool, spa/hot tub, fitness center, tennis courts, golf course, bocce, shuffleboard, billiard/game room, library, community room, jogging path, sidewalks, street lights, manager on site
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking (2 spaces total); 2 open parking spaces
- Security: Gated community with guard; On-site security/guard
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Three-phase electric; Cable available
- Home design: Villa; Single-story; Faces south; Resale property
- Construction: Block/CBS construction; Composition/shingle roof; Built as a villa
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Screened patio/porch; Patio and porch areas; Sidewalks; Paved road access; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric cooling (central air)
- Interior features: Bedroom layout is stacked; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Laundry closet inside unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $218k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $175 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $218k).
- Recommended offer: $191k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.8% in West Palm Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#75 in FL, #1,255 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Egret Lake Elementary School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,709 of 2,144 statewide, top 81%, 569 students, 80% FRL); Bear Lakes Middle School (math 19% / reading 33%, grade F, #506 of 571 statewide, top 89%, 842 students, 74% FRL); Palm Beach Lakes High School (math 17% / reading 26%, grade F, #546 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 2,688 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 52% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 473 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,508/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 2548% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($191k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $95k; list at $218k implies a 129% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.45%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.02% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-31,184
- Equity at exit
- $32,430
- IRR
- -13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-40,135
- Equity at exit
- $18,805
Cash invested: $60,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33417
- Home prices YoY
- -29.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.0%
- Active inventory
- 473
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,508 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,141
- Tax from tax record
- −$182 /mo · $2,190/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$393
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$527
- Net cashflow
- $175
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,375
- Closing costs
- $6,525
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3810 Rowena Cir West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1505 | $3,150 | $2.09 | 14d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 3810 Rowena Cir West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1505 | $3,000 | $1.99 | 8d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2820 Tennis Club Dr #408 West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1610 | $3,800 | $2.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1211 Pine Sage Cir West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1367 | $3,200 | $2.34 | 5d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 149 Stratford N West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 978 | $1,650 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4567 Brook Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1528 | $3,000 | $1.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4385 Willow Brook Cir West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1468 | $3,200 | $2.18 | 22d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 3760 N Jog Rd West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1375 | $2,500 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3490 Briar Bay Blvd West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $1,800 | $1.96 | 4d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3490 Briar Bay Blvd #104 West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 883 | $1,799 | $2.04 | 14d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1912 Stratford Way West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1350 | $3,000 | $2.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3810 N Jog Rd West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $1,950 | $2.16 | 8d | 2 | 1.04mi |
| 3512 Briar Bay Blvd #105 West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 883 | $2,000 | $2.27 | 8d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4400 Portofino Way West Palm Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1222 | $2,528 | $2.07 | 18d | 60 | 1.29mi |
| 105 E Wellington Dr #105 West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $1,850 | $1.74 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 306 Wellington B West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $1,800 | $1.69 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2936 Hidden Hills Rd #1504 West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1607 | $2,400 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3472 Commodore Ct West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1671 | $2,900 | $1.74 | 4d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2904 Hidden Hills Rd Unit 904 West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1379 | $2,200 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 3464 Commodore Ct West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1671 | $3,300 | $1.97 | 17d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 6516 Morgan Hill Trl #1809 West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1086 | $2,050 | $1.89 | 3d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 2912 Hidden Hills Rd #1205 West Palm Beach, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1423 | $2,400 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $393 · $4,716/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-03statusdays on market $217,500 Pending 144 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $217,500 Active Under Contract 143 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $217,500 Active Under Contract 142 DOM
-
2026-05-25historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-14price $217,500
-
2026-03-30price $229,500
-
2026-03-11price $229,000
-
2026-02-13price $234,500
-
2026-01-09$239,500 Active
-
2008-03-04soldstatus $95,000
-
2008-02-28soldstatus $95,000 245-char remark
Show marketing remark (245 chars)
13x12 rear porch w/roll ups, private back yd., water sofenting system, cool interior villa, 4 fans, a/c system '03; service contract through 10/08, newer w/dryer, micro/dwasher & ref., roof 2 yrs. old, M.Bath totally re-done w/step in shower
-
2008-02-06historical 245-char remark
Show marketing remark (245 chars)
13x12 rear porch w/roll ups, private back yd., water sofenting system, cool interior villa, 4 fans, a/c system '03; service contract through 10/08, newer w/dryer, micro/dwasher & ref., roof 2 yrs. old, M.Bath totally re-done w/step in shower
-
2007-06-26$119,900 245-char remark
Show marketing remark (245 chars)
13x12 rear porch w/roll ups, private back yd., water sofenting system, cool interior villa, 4 fans, a/c system '03; service contract through 10/08, newer w/dryer, micro/dwasher & ref., roof 2 yrs. old, M.Bath totally re-done w/step in shower
-
2000-09-29soldstatus $61,900 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
EZ SHOW * CALL OWNER 471-9255 MRS.PENCHANSKY FOR APPOINTMENT MIRRORED LIVING ROOM * TILED FRONT PORCH, BACK PORCH WITH ROLL UP SHUTTERS ''FARBAR * ''''AS IS'''' RIDER, FREE GOLF FOR RESIDENTS * OVERR 55 ADULT COMMUNITY''
-
2000-07-07historical 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
EZ SHOW * CALL OWNER 471-9255 MRS.PENCHANSKY FOR APPOINTMENT MIRRORED LIVING ROOM * TILED FRONT PORCH, BACK PORCH WITH ROLL UP SHUTTERS ''FARBAR * ''''AS IS'''' RIDER, FREE GOLF FOR RESIDENTS * OVERR 55 ADULT COMMUNITY''
-
2000-07-01$61,900 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
EZ SHOW * CALL OWNER 471-9255 MRS.PENCHANSKY FOR APPOINTMENT MIRRORED LIVING ROOM * TILED FRONT PORCH, BACK PORCH WITH ROLL UP SHUTTERS ''FARBAR * ''''AS IS'''' RIDER, FREE GOLF FOR RESIDENTS * OVERR 55 ADULT COMMUNITY''
-
1982-07-01soldstatus $45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,190 · $182/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,190 · $182/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,100
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,183
- − Property taxes
- −$2,190
- − Insurance
- −$1,088
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,408
- − Management
- −$2,408
- − HOA
- −$4,716
- − Depreciation
- −$6,327
- Taxable loss
- −$1,220
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$293
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,391/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — West Palm Beach
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #75
- US rank
- #1255
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,079
- Household income
- $51,605
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2548.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 34% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 16% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 5% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 10% Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 34% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 58% English-only · Spanish 24% French/Haitian/Cajun 11% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.62%
- Current HPI
- 335.8396
- Rent YoY
- ▬ 0.02%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+383.3% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Contingent — Beaches MLS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $217,500 Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-30 Price Changed $229,500 Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $229,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-02-13 Price Changed $234,500 Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-09 Listed $239,500 Beaches MLS
- 2008-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2008-02-28 Sold (MLS) $95,000 Beaches MLS
- 2008-02-06 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2007-06-26 Listed $119,900 Beaches MLS
- 2000-09-29 Sold (MLS) $61,900 Beaches MLS
- 2000-07-07 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2000-07-01 Listed $61,900 Beaches MLS
- 1982-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,190 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…