🌊 Lakefront
2000 Palm St · St. Cloud, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.5/30.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Out of M/H Community
Key facts
- Central location
- Spacious kitchen
- Extended driveway
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot about 0.14 acre (approx. 50 x 120); Asphalt/paved road access
- Financial info: Homestead: yes; No lease restrictions
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Public utilities
- Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); Residential property; One story; Faces south; Entry level: One
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built area about 784 sq ft
- Exterior features: Lighting; Rain gutters; Sidewalk
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; 5 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $398 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 4.0% in St. Cloud — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Osceola (suburban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #60 of 73 in FL (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 260 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,813 units permitted in Osceola County in 2024 (3,072 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Osceola County population projected at +73% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $150k implies a 650% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.38%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $128,576
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1821 Jersey Ave | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 828 (+6%) | 6mo | $85,000 | $103 | 78 |
| 2008 Palm St | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 | 672 (-14%) | 10mo | $110,000 | $164 | 65 |
| 2010 Oak St | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-14%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $179 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,670
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $20,368
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34769
- Home prices YoY
- -24.6%
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 260
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,631 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $492/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$342
- Net cashflow
- $398
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $483 | -5% $441 | +0% $398 | +5% $356 | +10% $313 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $269 | -5% $334 | +0% $398 | +5% $463 | +10% $527 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $474 | -0.5pp $436 | base $398 | +0.5pp $359 | +1.0pp $320 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1400 Dakota Ave Saint Cloud, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $1,650 | $2.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2400 16th St Saint Cloud, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,799 | $1.73 | 18d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1818 Minnesota Ave Unit B St Cloud, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 700 | $1,600 | $2.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1871 Cactus Ct Saint Cloud, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 18d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1423 Montana Ave Saint Cloud, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $1,895 | $1.78 | 13d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1423 Montana Ave Unit 1423 St Cloud, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1062 | $1,895 | $1.78 | 15d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1404 Montana Ave Saint Cloud, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1031 Columbia Ave Apt K St Cloud, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $950 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 608 Missouri Ave Saint Cloud, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $1,395 | $1.46 | 4d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 607 Alabama Ave Saint Cloud, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 952 | $2,000 | $2.10 | 15d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 517 Jersey Ave Saint Cloud, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,250 | $2.08 | 8d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 821 Pennsylvania Ave Saint Cloud, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $1,695 | $1.62 | 8d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 616 Massachusetts Ave Unit A St Cloud, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $999 | $1.11 | 22d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 616 Massachusetts Ave Unit A St Cloud, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $999 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 706 New York Ave Saint Cloud, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,425 | $1.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1007 Florida Ave Saint Cloud, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 17d | 2 | 0.81mi |
| 712 Michigan Ct #3 Saint Cloud, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 4d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 714 Michigan Ct #4 Saint Cloud, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,350 | $1.72 | 17d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 720 Michigan Ct #4 Saint Cloud, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,295 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 720 Michigan Ct #2 Saint Cloud, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,199 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 715 Michigan Ct #3 Saint Cloud, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,300 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 521 Montana Ave Saint Cloud, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1010 | $1,495 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 521 Montana Ave Saint Cloud, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1010 | $1,495 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 736 Michigan Ct #4 Saint Cloud, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,300 | $1.66 | 13d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 731 Michigan Ct St Cloud, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,350 | $1.72 | 8d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 698 Michigan Ct #1 Saint Cloud, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,225 | $1.56 | 22d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 733 Michigan Ct St Cloud, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,295 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 437 Columbia Ave St Cloud, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1103 | $1,800 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3010 Camber Dr Saint Cloud, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1007 | $1,971 | $1.96 | 3d | 18 | 1.04mi |
| 212 Tennessee Ave Saint Cloud, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1009 | $1,700 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3100 Soldier City Way St Cloud, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $1,875 | $1.73 | 4d | 6 | 1.12mi |
| 1400 Carolina Ave Saint Cloud, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 920 | $1,495 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3528 Bay Ct Saint Cloud, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,495 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3065 Soldier City Way Unit 202 St Cloud, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,800 | $1.60 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 201 Georgia Ave Saint Cloud, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 915 | $1,500 | $1.64 | 8d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3075 Soldier City Way Unit 202 St Cloud, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1125 | $1,800 | $1.60 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3075 Soldier City Way Unit 102 St Cloud, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1045 | $1,800 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3075 Soldier City Way Unit 103 St Cloud, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1045 | $1,850 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3075 Soldier City Way Unit 101 St Cloud, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1045 | $1,850 | $1.77 | 5d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3085 Soldier City Way Unit 203 St Cloud, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1045 | $1,850 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $150,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $150,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-14$150,000 Active
-
2026-04-15historical
-
2026-03-19price $164,900
-
2026-01-30price $169,900
-
2026-01-22$179,900 Active
-
2010-03-01soldstatus $20,000 20-char remark
Show marketing remark (20 chars)
Out of M/H Community
-
2009-11-25$24,900 20-char remark
Show marketing remark (20 chars)
Out of M/H Community
-
1998-07-02soldstatus $37,000
-
1980-04-01soldstatus $8,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $492 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,245 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$753/yr (+$63/mo · 152.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,571
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$492
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,566
- − Management
- −$1,566
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $2,431
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$583
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,196/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Osceola
- NCES district ID
- 1201470
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,528
- Composite
- 35.7/100
- National rank
- #4865
- State rank
- #60 of 73 in FL
Livability — St. Cloud
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Cloud, FL
- County
- Osceola County · 410,217 people
- City population
- 29,247
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,204
- Household income
- $67,148
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1138.0
Population outlook (Osceola County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,624 people
- By 2030
- 511,823 · +14.3%
- By 2040
- 642,986 · +43.6%
- By 2050
- 774,552 · +73.0%
- By 2075
- 1,078,144 · +140.9%
- By 2100
- 1,269,660 · +183.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 17% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 21% Dominican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Russian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 31% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Osceola
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: -1.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.4 2020: D+13.8 2016: D+25.0 2012: D+24.5 2008: D+19.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -106.08%
- Current HPI
- 324.6715
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.35%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1775.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $150,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-15 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $164,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $169,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-22 Listed $179,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-03-01 Sold (MLS) $20,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-11-25 Listed $24,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
- 1980-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $492 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…