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2000 Palm St 🌊 Lakefront
C- Composite 52.88
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.5/30.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

2000 Palm St · St. Cloud, FL 34769
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 784 sqft · Manufactured public records · 38 Days on market
Built 2013 6,011 sqft lot Est $129k · 17% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Out of M/H Community

Key facts

  • Central location
  • Spacious kitchen
  • Extended driveway

Tags

CORNER LOTCENTRAL LOCATIONMATURE TREESEXTENDED DRIVEWAYCOVERED FRONT ENTRYSPACIOUS KITCHEN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot about 0.14 acre (approx. 50 x 120); Asphalt/paved road access
  • Financial info: Homestead: yes; No lease restrictions
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Public utilities
  • Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); Residential property; One story; Faces south; Entry level: One
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built area about 784 sq ft
  • Exterior features: Lighting; Rain gutters; Sidewalk

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; 5 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $398 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 4.0% in St. Cloud — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Osceola (suburban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #60 of 73 in FL (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 260 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,813 units permitted in Osceola County in 2024 (3,072 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Osceola County population projected at +73% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $20k; list at $150k implies a 650% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,500 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  4. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  5. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
9.48%
Cash-on-cash
11.38%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$128,576
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1821 Jersey Ave 0.07mi 2/1.0 828 (+6%) 6mo $85,000 $103 78
2008 Palm St 0.04mi 2/2.0 672 (-14%) 10mo $110,000 $164 65
2010 Oak St 0.06mi 2/1.0 672 (-14%) 6mo $120,000 $179 64

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.35% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.1%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-1,670
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
6.9%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$20,368
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34769

Home prices YoY
-24.6%
Rents YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
260
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,631 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$41 /mo · $492/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$342
Net cashflow
$398

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,127
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $483 -5% $441 +0% $398 +5% $356 +10% $313
Rent -10% $269 -5% $334 +0% $398 +5% $463 +10% $527
Rate -1.0pp $474 -0.5pp $436 base $398 +0.5pp $359 +1.0pp $320

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1400 Dakota Ave Saint Cloud, FL 2.0 1.0 690 $1,650 $2.39 24d 1 0.23mi
2400 16th St Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1040 $1,799 $1.73 18d 1 0.27mi
1818 Minnesota Ave Unit B St Cloud, FL 1.0 1.5 700 $1,600 $2.29 24d 1 0.30mi
1871 Cactus Ct Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 900 $1,400 $1.56 18d 1 0.32mi
1423 Montana Ave Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1062 $1,895 $1.78 13d 1 0.52mi
1423 Montana Ave Unit 1423 St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1062 $1,895 $1.78 15d 1 0.52mi
1404 Montana Ave Saint Cloud, FL 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,800 $1.80 24d 1 0.57mi
1031 Columbia Ave Apt K St Cloud, FL 1.0 1.0 650 $950 $1.46 21d 1 0.71mi
608 Missouri Ave Saint Cloud, FL 2.0 1.0 956 $1,395 $1.46 4d 1 0.72mi
607 Alabama Ave Saint Cloud, FL 2.0 2.0 952 $2,000 $2.10 15d 1 0.74mi
517 Jersey Ave Saint Cloud, FL 1.0 1.0 600 $1,250 $2.08 8d 1 0.75mi
821 Pennsylvania Ave Saint Cloud, FL 3.0 1.0 1048 $1,695 $1.62 8d 1 0.80mi
616 Massachusetts Ave Unit A St Cloud, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $999 $1.11 22d 1 0.81mi
616 Massachusetts Ave Unit A St Cloud, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $999 $1.11 24d 1 0.81mi
706 New York Ave Saint Cloud, FL 1.0 1.0 750 $1,425 $1.90 24d 1 0.81mi
1007 Florida Ave Saint Cloud, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $1,350 $1.69 17d 2 0.81mi
712 Michigan Ct #3 Saint Cloud, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,600 $1.78 4d 1 0.83mi
714 Michigan Ct #4 Saint Cloud, FL 2.0 1.0 784 $1,350 $1.72 17d 1 0.83mi
720 Michigan Ct #4 Saint Cloud, FL 2.0 1.0 784 $1,295 $1.65 24d 1 0.84mi
720 Michigan Ct #2 Saint Cloud, FL 2.0 1.0 784 $1,199 $1.53 24d 1 0.84mi
715 Michigan Ct #3 Saint Cloud, FL 2.0 1.0 784 $1,300 $1.66 24d 1 0.86mi
521 Montana Ave Saint Cloud, FL 2.0 2.0 1010 $1,495 $1.48 3d 1 0.89mi
521 Montana Ave Saint Cloud, FL 2.0 2.0 1010 $1,495 $1.48 24d 1 0.89mi
736 Michigan Ct #4 Saint Cloud, FL 2.0 1.0 784 $1,300 $1.66 13d 1 0.90mi
731 Michigan Ct St Cloud, FL 2.0 1.0 784 $1,350 $1.72 8d 1 0.92mi
698 Michigan Ct #1 Saint Cloud, FL 2.0 1.0 784 $1,225 $1.56 22d 1 0.92mi
733 Michigan Ct St Cloud, FL 2.0 1.0 784 $1,295 $1.65 24d 1 0.93mi
437 Columbia Ave St Cloud, FL 2.0 2.0 1103 $1,800 $1.63 24d 1 0.98mi
3010 Camber Dr Saint Cloud, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1007 $1,971 $1.96 3d 18 1.04mi
212 Tennessee Ave Saint Cloud, FL 2.0 1.0 1009 $1,700 $1.68 24d 1 1.10mi
3100 Soldier City Way St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1085 $1,875 $1.73 4d 6 1.12mi
1400 Carolina Ave Saint Cloud, FL 2.0 1.5 920 $1,495 $1.62 24d 1 1.14mi
3528 Bay Ct Saint Cloud, FL 2.0 1.0 884 $1,495 $1.69 24d 1 1.14mi
3065 Soldier City Way Unit 202 St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1125 $1,800 $1.60 21d 1 1.15mi
201 Georgia Ave Saint Cloud, FL 2.0 2.0 915 $1,500 $1.64 8d 1 1.15mi
3075 Soldier City Way Unit 202 St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1125 $1,800 $1.60 21d 1 1.16mi
3075 Soldier City Way Unit 102 St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1045 $1,800 $1.72 24d 1 1.16mi
3075 Soldier City Way Unit 103 St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1045 $1,850 $1.77 24d 1 1.16mi
3075 Soldier City Way Unit 101 St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1045 $1,850 $1.77 5d 1 1.16mi
3085 Soldier City Way Unit 203 St Cloud, FL 3.0 2.0 1045 $1,850 $1.77 24d 1 1.17mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $150,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $150,000 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 18 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 17 DOM
  16. 2026-05-14
    listed $150,000 Active
  17. 2026-04-15
    historical
  18. 2026-03-19
    price $164,900
  19. 2026-01-30
    price $169,900
  20. 2026-01-22
    listed $179,900 Active
  21. 2010-03-01
    soldstatus $20,000 20-char remark
    Show marketing remark (20 chars)

    Out of M/H Community

  22. 2009-11-25
    listed $24,900 20-char remark
    Show marketing remark (20 chars)

    Out of M/H Community

  23. 1998-07-02
    soldstatus $37,000
  24. 1980-04-01
    soldstatus $8,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$492 · $41/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,245 · $104/mo
Expected delta
+$753/yr (+$63/mo · 152.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,571
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$492
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,566
− Management
−$1,566
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$2,431
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$583
After-tax cash flow
$4,196/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Osceola
NCES district ID
1201470
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$45,528
Composite
35.7/100
National rank
#4865
State rank
#60 of 73 in FL

Livability — St. Cloud

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Cloud, FL
County
Osceola County · 410,217 people
City population
29,247
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
30,204
Household income
$67,148
Rent vs Own
33.1% rent · 66.9% own
Severe rent burden
1138.0

Population outlook (Osceola County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
447,624 people
By 2030
511,823 · +14.3%
By 2040
642,986 · +43.6%
By 2050
774,552 · +73.0%
By 2075
1,078,144 · +140.9%
By 2100
1,269,660 · +183.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 17% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 21% Dominican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Russian 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
66% English-only · Spanish 31% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Osceola

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: -1.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.4 2020: D+13.8 2016: D+25.0 2012: D+24.5 2008: D+19.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -106.08%
Current HPI
324.6715
Rent YoY
▲ 1.35%
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1775.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $150,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-15 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $164,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-30 Price Changed $169,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $179,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-03-01 Sold (MLS) $20,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-11-25 Listed $24,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1998-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
  • 1980-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $492 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…