48 Wenatchee Ct · Red Feather Lakes, CO
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$385,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
F6L153 Tucked into the side of Black Mountain this turnkey, cozy cabin has panoramic views of the Mummy Range + everything you need to start enjoying the mountain life the minute you walk through the door. Essentials are included from the furniture and bedding to kitchen necessities - even a grill and canoe! Warm wood floors and tongue & groove ceiling make for warm and inviting main floor living. Finished basement has 3rd bedroom (non-conforming) and has tons of possible uses + great storage. Amazing views from the flagstone patio below or the large, covered deck off the main floor. Great storage under the deck too. Cabin is situated on cul-de-sac & on almost 2 acres of sloping land with amazing rock outcroppings. Seasonal water is available during summer months and outfitted with cistern in basement to provide water for year-round use + a sealed vault. Use your canoe for fun or fishing on the many private, stocked lakes/ponds located in CL. Don't wait - this one won't last!
Key facts
- Remodeled kitchen
- Finished basement
- Large covered deck
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located on a private gravel road; Lot features include cul-de-sac location, wooded setting with evergreen and deciduous trees, sloping terrain, rock outcropping, and minimal flood risk
- HOA & community: Has HOA (annual fee applies); Second annual association fee applies; Association fees include common amenities and trash; Associations: Crystal Lakes Road & Rec., Crystal Lakes Water & Sewer; Association transfer fee required
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; No designated parking features listed
- Utilities: City water and cistern; Water meter installed; Septic vault; Electricity available; Propane gas; Satellite available
- Home design: One-level cabin; Not new (previously owned); Main floor bathroom for accessibility; House faces south
- Construction: Frame and stone construction with painted/stained finish; Composition roof; Partially finished basement with crawl space and walk-out access; Built as a residential cabin
- Exterior features: Patio; Deck; Recreation association required
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator; Microwave
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all conforming)
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: One three-quarter bath; One half bath (on lower level); One half bath (other)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air; Wood stove; Two or more heat sources; Wall furnace; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Cathedral ceilings; Open floorplan; Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $385k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $310 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $353k (8.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $353k (8.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.2% in Red Feather Lakes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#344 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment B+, housing B+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime D-, amenities F.
- Poudre School District R-1 (urban): math 45% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #10 of 86 in CO (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Cache La Poudre Elementary School (math 44% / reading 37%, grade F, #342 of 966 statewide, top 36%, 298 students, 32% FRL); Poudre High School (math 36% / reading 59%, grade D, #131 of 381 statewide, top 34%, 1,663 students, 38% FRL).
- Market conditions: 156 active listings in the ZIP; 1,786 units permitted in Larimer County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $518 of equity ($3k loan paydown + $-2k appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
- Larimer County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($379k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.45%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.56% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-1,533
- Equity at exit
- $101,192
- IRR
- 5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.59×
- Total profit
- $63,390
- Equity at exit
- $113,472
Cash invested: $107,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80545
- Home prices YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 156
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,528 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,019
- Tax from tax record
- −$151 /mo · $1,817/yr
- Insurance
- −$160
- HOA
- −$146
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$741
- Net cashflow
- $310
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $528 | -5% $419 | +0% $310 | +5% $201 | +10% $92 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $31 | -5% $171 | +0% $310 | +5% $449 | +10% $589 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $504 | -0.5pp $408 | base $310 | +0.5pp $210 | +1.0pp $109 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $96,250
- Closing costs
- $11,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $146 · $1,752/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 16 events
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2026-06-21days on market $385,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $385,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $385,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $385,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $385,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $385,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $385,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $385,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $385,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $385,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $385,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $385,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $385,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $385,000 Active 2 DOM
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2026-05-30remarks 699-char remark
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2026-05-30$385,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,817 · $151/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,118 · $176/mo
- Expected delta
- +$301/yr (+$25/mo · 16.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,333
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,566
- − Property taxes
- −$1,817
- − Insurance
- −$1,925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,387
- − Management
- −$3,387
- − HOA
- −$1,752
- − Depreciation
- −$11,200
- Taxable loss
- −$2,700
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$648
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,370/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Poudre School District R-1
- NCES district ID
- 0803990
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,281
- Composite
- 45.5/100
- National rank
- #2610
- State rank
- #10 of 86 in CO
Livability — Red Feather Lakes
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #344
- US rank
- #23247
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 913
Population outlook (Larimer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,361 people
- By 2030
- 457,762 · +10.2%
- By 2040
- 542,310 · +30.6%
- By 2050
- 627,048 · +51.0%
- By 2075
- 833,722 · +100.7%
- By 2100
- 952,590 · +129.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Larimer
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.6) · D 57.4% · R 39.8% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 9.7pp · 2024: 17.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.6 2020: D+15.4 2016: D+4.9 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+9.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.56%
- Current HPI
- 280.4591
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+902.6% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $385,000 IRES
- 2022-06-22 Price Changed $2,110 RENT.
- 2022-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $361,000 Public Records
- 2022-06-17 Sold (MLS) $361,000 IRES
- 2022-05-11 Contingent — IRES
- 2022-05-05 Listed $324,900 IRES
- 2022-05-03 Coming Soon $324,900 IRES
- 2017-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $157,000 Public Records
- 2017-07-21 Sold (MLS) $157,000 IRES
- 2017-06-07 Contingent — IRES
- 2017-06-01 Listed $160,000 IRES
- 2001-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2001-07-06 Sold (MLS) $65,000 IRES
- 2000-12-05 Listed $79,900 IRES
- 1993-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $38,400 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,817 · +10.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…