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13985 SW 100th Ln
D Composite 43.19
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.2/30.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$249,900

13985 SW 100th Ln · On Top of the World, FL 34432
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,241 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 2003 Est $424k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

?? INVESTOR SPECIAL! 4BR/2BA Home in Dunnellon & acirc; & euro; & ldquo; Needs Some Work! ?? Great opportunity to add your own personal touches and build instant equity! This spacious home is located at 13985 SW 100th Ln, Dunnellon, FL 34432 and is priced at $249,900. ?? Property Highlights: 4 Bedrooms / 2 Bathrooms 2-Car Garage & amp; Porch 2,241 sq ft of Living Area (2,900 sq ft under roof) Huge 0.68-Acre Lot with great privacy ?? BRAND NEW ROOF! (Major expense already completed) Vinyl Flooring throughout the home Condition: The house has great bones and a massive layout but needs some work and cosmetic updates. It is being sold strictly As-Is. Perfect for handym

Key facts

  • Vinyl flooring
  • Huge 0.68-acre lot
  • Brand new roof

Tags

HUGE 0.68-ACRE LOTBRAND NEW ROOFVINYL FLOORING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-95 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $233k (6.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (23.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $190k (23.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 2.9% in On Top of the World — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Dunnellon Elementary School (math 46% / reading 48%, grade D-, #1,191 of 2,144 statewide, top 57%, 580 students, 61% FRL); Dunnellon Middle School (math 48% / reading 42%, grade D, #310 of 571 statewide, top 56%, 678 students, 68% FRL); Dunnellon High School (math 30% / reading 32%, grade F, #429 of 667 statewide, top 65%, 1,350 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools at 64% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 557 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $5k; list at $250k implies a 5000% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $190,446 (23.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.84%
Cash-on-cash
-1.62%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$423,549
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10215 SW 134th Ct 0.62mi 3/2.0 2,310 (+3%) 12mo $435,500 $189 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.0%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-46,568
Equity at exit
$37,261
10-year hold
IRR
-11.6%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-48,509
Equity at exit
$21,607

Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34432

Home prices YoY
-21.5%
Active inventory
557
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,904 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$184 /mo · $2,214/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$400
Net cashflow
$-95

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,024
Max offer price $233,194
Occupancy floor 100%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $47 -5% $-24 +0% $-95 +5% $-165 +10% $-236
Rent -10% $-245 -5% $-170 +0% $-95 +5% $-19 +10% $56
Rate -1.0pp $31 -0.5pp $-31 base $-95 +0.5pp $-159 +1.0pp $-225

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,475
Closing costs
$7,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10426 SW 133rd Ave Dunnellon, FL 3.0 2.0 1555 $1,850 $1.19 15d 1 0.81mi
13373 SW 111th Ln Dunnellon, FL 3.0 2.0 1555 $1,650 $1.06 15d 1 1.32mi
13110 SW 89th St Dunnellon, FL 4.0 2.5 1824 $2,200 $1.21 23d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $249,900 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $249,900 Active 19 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $249,900 Active 18 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,900 Active 17 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,900 Active 16 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $249,900 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $249,900 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $249,900 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $249,900 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $249,900 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,900 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,900 Active 4 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,900 Active 3 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    remarks 683-char remark
  15. 2026-05-31
    listed $249,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,214 · $184/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,214 · $184/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,854
− Mortgage interest
−$13,998
− Property taxes
−$2,214
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,828
− Management
−$1,828
− Depreciation
−$7,270
Taxable loss
−$5,534
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,328
After-tax cash flow
$193/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL

Livability — On Top of the World

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

City population
25,668
Population (ZIP)
13,197

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -57.34%
Current HPI
209.595
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+5000.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-31 Listed $249,900 FSBO.com
  • 2002-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $4,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,214 · +12.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…