1416 E Kirk St · Muncie, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Rented for $875 a month, month to month basis. Ranch-style home offering 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, including a primary suite with its own en suite bathroom. Features a functional layout with a dedicated laundry room and a fenced backyard.
Key facts
- En suite bathroom
- Primary suite
- Ranch-style home
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $316 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 6.0% in Muncie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#18 in IN, #1,654 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Muncie Community Schools (urban): math 18% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #275 of 301 in IN (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 112 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 171 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (57 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Delaware County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.96%
- DSCR
- 1.75
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $58,531
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- 36.51%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1800 E Hines St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,275 (-5%) | 15mo | $79,000 | $62 | 69 |
| 1910 E Highland Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,430 (+6%) | 9mo | $142,000 | $99 | 63 |
| 1816 E Highland Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,484 (+10%) | 11mo | $29,000 | $20 | 55 |
| 2420 N Macedonia Ave | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,304 (-3%) | 8mo | $17,000 | $13 | 54 |
| 1710 E Waid Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-7%) | 7mo | $15,000 | $12 | 54 |
| 906 N Wolfe St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (-14%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $130 | 53 |
| 1303 E Butler St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-11%) | 15mo | $17,500 | $15 | 52 |
| 513 E Centennial Ave | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,434 (+7%) | 2mo | $119,500 | $83 | 52 |
| 937 N Bellaire Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,352 (+1%) | 15mo | $109,000 | $81 | 50 |
| 813 N Leland Ave | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-7%) | 7mo | $154,000 | $123 | 44 |
| 1604 N Granville Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,188 (-12%) | 15mo | $123,600 | $104 | 34 |
| 309 E Short St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 18mo | $98,000 | $68 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.8% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $12,683
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 25.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.77×
- Total profit
- $61,878
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47303
- Home prices YoY
- -18.0%
- Rents YoY
- 7.8%
- Active inventory
- 112
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,084 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$88 /mo · $1,054/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$228
- Net cashflow
- $316
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1414 E Highland Ave Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1056 | $900 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2321 N Macedonia Ave Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1009 | $860 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2901 N Elgin St Muncie, IN | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1045 | $1,199 | $1.15 | 44d | 4 | 0.82mi |
| 305 N Pershing Dr Muncie, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,100 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3001 N Westwood Rd Muncie, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1837 | $1,200 | $0.65 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 111 E Streeter Ave Muncie, IN | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $999 | $1.22 | 44d | 3 | 0.94mi |
| 222 W Centennial Ave Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1042 | $925 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2125 E Harvard Ave Muncie, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 609 N Waldemere Ave Muncie, IN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1664 | $1,300 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 711 W Centennial Ave Muncie, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1372 | $1,200 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 305 N Biltmore Ave Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,186 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 720 W Centennial Ave Muncie, IN | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1034 | $1,099 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1521 E Kirby Ave Muncie, IN | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 972 | $1,150 | $1.18 | 44d | 2 | 1.29mi |
| 1109 E Kirby Ave Muncie, IN | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $975 | $1.00 | 44d | 2 | 1.31mi |
| 400 W Washington St Unit 213 Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1009 | $1,200 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 808 W Beechwood Ave Muncie, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1261 | $900 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 125 E Oldfield Ln Muncie, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 886 | $1,325 | $1.50 | 44d | 7 | 1.37mi |
| 920 N Linden St Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 745 | $925 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1001 W Wayne St Muncie, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3413 N Milton St Muncie, IN | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1422 | $1,350 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1802 E Willard St Muncie, IN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1224 | $1,100 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 522 W Adams St Muncie, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $810 | $1.08 | 44d | 6 | 1.49mi |
| 9901 N State St Muncie, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1136 | $1,110 | $0.98 | 44d | 5 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $79,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $79,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $79,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $79,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $79,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-03-27$79,900 Active 241-char remark
Show marketing remark (241 chars)
Rented for $875 a month, month to month basis. Ranch-style home offering 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, including a primary suite with its own en suite bathroom. Features a functional layout with a dedicated laundry room and a fenced backyard.
-
2026-03-27$79,900 Active 241-char remark
Show marketing remark (241 chars)
Rented for $875 a month, month to month basis. Ranch-style home offering 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, including a primary suite with its own en suite bathroom. Features a functional layout with a dedicated laundry room and a fenced backyard.
-
2023-08-28status Pending
-
2023-08-23price $29,900
-
2023-08-21price $34,500
-
2023-08-14status Active
-
2023-07-31historical
-
2023-07-26status Pending
-
2023-07-17status Active
-
2023-05-24status Pending
-
2023-05-11price $42,000
-
2023-05-01$52,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,054 · $88/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,054 · $88/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,006
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,054
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,040
- − Management
- −$1,040
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $2,672
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$641
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,152/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Muncie Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1807320
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,052
- Composite
- 17.22/100
- National rank
- #9099
- State rank
- #275 of 301 in IN
Livability — Muncie
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #1654
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Muncie, IN
- County
- Delaware County · 84,658 people
- City population
- 84,658
- Metro
- Muncie, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,392
- Household income
- $47,674
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1434.0
Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 113,036 people
- By 2030
- 111,313 · -1.5%
- By 2040
- 106,432 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 100,747 · -10.9%
- By 2075
- 91,000 · -19.5%
- By 2100
- 80,687 · -28.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Delaware
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.8) · D 41.2% · R 57.0% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.8pp toward R · 2008: 15.0pp · 2024: -15.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.8 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+13.7 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+15.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.45%
- Current HPI
- 229.8654
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.80%
- Metro
- Muncie, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+53.7% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-27 Listed $79,900 IRMLS
- 2026-03-27 Listed $79,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-28 Pending — IRMLS
- 2023-08-23 Price Changed $29,900 IRMLS
- 2023-08-21 Price Changed $34,500 IRMLS
- 2023-08-14 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2023-07-31 Delisted — IRMLS
- 2023-07-26 Pending — IRMLS
- 2023-07-17 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2023-05-24 Pending — IRMLS
- 2023-05-11 Price Changed $42,000 IRMLS
- 2023-05-01 Listed $52,000 IRMLS
Property tax history
-2.8%/yrLatest (2024): $1,054 · +25.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…