545 Esteban St · Arabi, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Your next well-maintained brick ranch in Old Arabi! A classic front porch and inviting curb appeal lead into a warm, comfortable interior with great flow for everyday living. The living and dining areas are connected by a charming brick archway, creating an open feel while still giving each space definition. The spacious family room features a working fireplace and offers a cozy place to gather and unwind. The kitchen includes modern amenities and opens easily to the dining area, making meals and entertaining feel effortless. Outside, the covered patio and large backyard provide plenty of space to relax and enjoy the outdoors. Conveniently located just minutes from the Arts District, local restaurants, grocery stores, and everyday essentials, this home offers the charm of Old Arabi with easy access to everything you need. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Working fireplace
- Front porch
- Large backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $415 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).
- Recommended offer: $187k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 5.3% in Arabi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#45 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 112 units permitted in St. Bernard Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Bernard County population projected at +89% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.37%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $280,953
- List price
- $199,000
- Delta
- -29.17%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 431 Lebeau St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,446 (-5%) | 10mo | $276,300 | $191 | 74 |
| 615 Tricou St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,531 (+1%) | 11mo | $233,000 | $152 | 74 |
| 816 Lebeau St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,342 (-12%) | 2mo | $281,000 | $209 | 68 |
| 6320 N Rampart St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,596 (+5%) | 10mo | $235,000 | $147 | 64 |
| 120 Livingston Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,559 (+3%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $151 | 62 |
| 6435 Urquhart St | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 | 1,443 (-5%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $163 | 62 |
| 1404 Alexander Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,494 (-2%) | 7mo | $237,000 | $159 | 56 |
| 6215 Dauphine St | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,359 (-10%) | 5mo | $215,000 | $158 | 55 |
| 6231-33 Dauphine St | 0.39mi | 4/4.0 (+1) | 1,608 (+6%) | 6mo | $85,000 | $53 | 54 |
| 7211 Claiborne Ct | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,589 (+5%) | 6mo | $290,000 | $183 | 52 |
| 39 W Pamela Pl | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,294 (-15%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $147 | 43 |
| 304 Parish Dr | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,337 (-12%) | 10mo | $225,000 | $168 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-5,823
- Equity at exit
- $29,672
- IRR
- 6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $28,941
- Equity at exit
- $17,206
Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70032
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,188 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,044
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,445/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$459
- Net cashflow
- $415
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,750
- Closing costs
- $5,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6900 Royal St Arabi, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1579 | $5,888 | $3.73 | 2d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 438 Friscoville Ave Arabi, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $3,200 | $2.13 | 2d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 616 Lebeau St Unit A Arabi, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1205 | $1,650 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 6038 N Rampart St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,795 | $1.66 | 23d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1333 Angela Ave Arabi, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,850 | $1.70 | 2d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1239 Center St Arabi, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1922 | $3,500 | $1.82 | 2d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1334 Tricou St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1117 | $1,500 | $1.34 | 21d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1201 Gordon St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1367 | $1,900 | $1.39 | 17d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 906 Flood St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1174 | $1,700 | $1.45 | 1d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 5450 Burgundy St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1474 | $1,250 | $0.85 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1301 Lamanche St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,600 | $1.47 | 3d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1301 Lamanche St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $1,600 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1301 Lamanche St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,600 | $1.47 | 2d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1511 Schnell Dr Arabi, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1700 | $1,850 | $1.09 | 3d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1714 Tricou St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1271 | $1,900 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1314 Lamanche St New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $2,100 | $1.62 | 16d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 5461 Saint Claude Ave New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,350 | $1.88 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 5459 Saint Claude Ave Unit 5461 New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1454 | $2,350 | $1.62 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1327 Fats Domino Ave Unit B New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,200 | $1.83 | 16d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1327 Fats Domino Ave Unit A New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 3d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1529 Schnell Dr Arabi, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1736 | $2,600 | $1.50 | 1d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 310 Lynx Dr Arabi, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,775 | $1.69 | 23d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1824 Saint Maurice Ave New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2012 Esteban St Arabi, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1466 | $2,500 | $1.71 | 10d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 617 Forstall St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1262 | $2,200 | $1.74 | 3d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1901 Tupelo St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1568 | $2,300 | $1.47 | 3d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 309 Fawn Dr Arabi, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1745 | $2,500 | $1.43 | 1d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 5109 Burgundy St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1122 | $1,474 | $1.31 | 17d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 103 Danny Dr New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2040 | $2,400 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 619 Reynes St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1318 | $2,100 | $1.59 | 16d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1422 Andry St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 3d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 7532 Patricia St Arabi, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2099 | $2,200 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 7532 Patricia St Arabi, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $1,900 | $1.03 | 1d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 7532 Patricia St Arabi, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $1,900 | $1.03 | 2d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1925 Alabo St Unit A New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1199 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1812 River Oaks Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1148 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 3d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1812 River Oaks Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1148 | $1,700 | $1.48 | 2d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2301 Esteban St Arabi, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1102 | $1,800 | $1.63 | 14d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 424 Chinchilla Dr Arabi, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1735 | $3,500 | $2.02 | 16d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 114 8th St Chalmette, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1275 | $1,695 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $199,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-04-11$199,000 Active 862-char remark
Show marketing remark (862 chars)
Your next well-maintained brick ranch in Old Arabi! A classic front porch and inviting curb appeal lead into a warm, comfortable interior with great flow for everyday living. The living and dining areas are connected by a charming brick archway, creating an open feel while still giving each space definition. The spacious family room features a working fireplace and offers a cozy place to gather and unwind. The kitchen includes modern amenities and opens easily to the dining area, making meals and entertaining feel effortless. Outside, the covered patio and large backyard provide plenty of space to relax and enjoy the outdoors. Conveniently located just minutes from the Arts District, local restaurants, grocery stores, and everyday essentials, this home offers the charm of Old Arabi with easy access to everything you need. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-04-11$199,000 Active 862-char remark
Show marketing remark (862 chars)
Your next well-maintained brick ranch in Old Arabi! A classic front porch and inviting curb appeal lead into a warm, comfortable interior with great flow for everyday living. The living and dining areas are connected by a charming brick archway, creating an open feel while still giving each space definition. The spacious family room features a working fireplace and offers a cozy place to gather and unwind. The kitchen includes modern amenities and opens easily to the dining area, making meals and entertaining feel effortless. Outside, the covered patio and large backyard provide plenty of space to relax and enjoy the outdoors. Conveniently located just minutes from the Arts District, local restaurants, grocery stores, and everyday essentials, this home offers the charm of Old Arabi with easy access to everything you need. Schedule your showing today!
-
2025-05-08$215,000 Active
-
2025-03-26price $229,000
-
2025-03-26price $229,000
-
2025-03-10price $239,000
-
2025-03-06price $239,000
-
2025-01-12price $259,000
-
2025-01-09price $259,000
-
2024-12-04$289,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,445 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,445 · $120/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,253
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,147
- − Property taxes
- −$1,445
- − Insurance
- −$1,792
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,100
- − Management
- −$2,100
- − Depreciation
- −$5,789
- Taxable income
- $1,879
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$451
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,529/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Arabi
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #45
- US rank
- #6891
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Arabi, LA
- City population
- 4,436
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,436
Population outlook (St. Bernard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 66,513 people
- By 2030
- 77,768 · +16.9%
- By 2040
- 101,296 · +52.3%
- By 2050
- 125,770 · +89.1%
- By 2075
- 188,160 · +182.9%
- By 2100
- 239,339 · +259.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 18% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 13% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Bernard
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.3) · D 34.5% · R 63.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +16.1pp toward D · 2008: -45.4pp · 2024: -29.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.3 2020: R+28.5 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+24.7 2008: R+45.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -121.18%
- Current HPI
- 224.6827
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
-31.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-11 Listed $199,000 GSREIN
- 2026-04-11 Listed $199,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-05-08 Listed $215,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-03-26 Price Changed $229,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-03-26 Price Changed $229,000 GSREIN
- 2025-03-10 Price Changed $239,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-03-06 Price Changed $239,000 GSREIN
- 2025-01-12 Price Changed $259,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-01-09 Price Changed $259,000 GSREIN
- 2024-12-04 Listed $289,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,445 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…