2611 Feather Green Trl · Fresno, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Appreciation +4.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
$274,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 4-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom two-story home features a timeless brick and Hardie® board exterior and an attached 2-car garage. The floor plan is expertly designed to balance tradition and modern living, beginning with a set of open-concept formals at the front—where the formal living and dining rooms flow together perfectly for holiday hosting. The rear of the home transitions into a relaxed, open-concept hub where the kitchen, breakfast area, and family room (complete with a gas-burning fireplace) all connect. The kitchen is well-equipped with a mix of black and stainless steel appliances and durable laminate countertops. The second floor serves as the private quarters, housing a
Key facts
- Versatile flex space
- Private quarters
- Open-concept formals
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Winfield Lakes HOA with annual fee of $546
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Faces west; Entry level: First floor
- Construction: Brick construction; Built in 2006; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Subdivision lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Convection oven; Gas range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on second floor (approx. 18 x 15); Bedroom on second floor (approx. 13 x 14); Bedroom on second floor (approx. 12 x 13); Bedroom on second floor (approx. 12 x 12)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Gas log fireplace (one); Laminate countertops; Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookups (laundry details not specified)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $275k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $409 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $275k).
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 5.4% in Fresno — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#943 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Fort Bend ISD (suburban): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #140 of 826 in TX (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lake Olympia Middle (math 18% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,279 of 1,662 statewide, top 78%, 1,170 students, 71% FRL); Hightower H S (math 23% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,002 of 1,632 statewide, top 62%, 2,535 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 35% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 29% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-19 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Fort Bend ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 175 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 12,093 units permitted in Fort Bend County in 2024 (815 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($94k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fort Bend County population projected at +75% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.37%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $347,424
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2618 Balsam Ridge Way | 0.09mi | 4/2.5 | 2,764 (+5%) | 1mo | $300,000 | $109 | 86 |
| 1931 Acorn Glen Trl | 0.34mi | 4/2.5 | 2,480 (-6%) | 1mo | $279,900 | $113 | 74 |
| 2723 Fawn Mountain Dr | 0.42mi | 4/2.5 | 2,785 (+6%) | 0mo | $359,000 | $129 | 70 |
| 2611 Cottage Step Trl Trl | 0.28mi | 4/2.5 | 2,392 (-9%) | 1mo | $295,000 | $123 | 70 |
| 3007 Acacia Fair Ln | 0.33mi | 4/2.5 | 2,351 (-11%) | 1mo | $310,000 | $132 | 66 |
| 1822 Lansing Cove Dr | 0.66mi | 4/2.5 | 2,696 (+2%) | 1mo | $299,786 | $111 | 65 |
| 2543 Tucker Creek Dr | 0.27mi | 4/3.0 | 2,323 (-12%) | 1mo | $300,000 | $129 | 65 |
| 2403 Tall Sequoia Dr | 0.36mi | 4/2.5 | 2,340 (-11%) | 1mo | $332,500 | $142 | 64 |
| 18555 Porta Marina Dr | 0.63mi | 4/3.5 | 2,782 (+6%) | 1mo | $382,390 | $137 | 56 |
| 18527 Porta Marina Dr | 0.69mi | 4/3.5 | 2,778 (+6%) | 2mo | $399,760 | $144 | 53 |
| 18535 Porta Marina Dr | 0.67mi | 4/3.5 | 2,872 (+9%) | 1mo | $390,950 | $136 | 48 |
| 18630 Serapis St | 0.63mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 2,837 (+8%) | 2mo | $426,840 | $150 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.98% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-15,276
- Equity at exit
- $53,635
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-2,615
- Equity at exit
- $46,070
Cash invested: $76,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77545
- Home prices YoY
- -0.8%
- Rents YoY
- -0.9%
- Active inventory
- 175
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,981 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$344 /mo · $4,124/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$46
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$626
- Net cashflow
- $409
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,725
- Closing costs
- $8,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2642 Sunlit Meadow Trl Fresno, TX | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2785 | $4,000 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2123 Witham Park Ln Fresno, TX | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3026 | $2,850 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3526 Cambridge Falls Dr Fresno, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3136 | $2,624 | $0.84 | 20d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3106 Presley Jane Ct Missouri City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2109 | $2,271 | $1.08 | 5d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3314 Dry Creek Dr Missouri City, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2600 | $4,200 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3218 Clayton Terrace Dr Missouri City, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2278 | $2,395 | $1.05 | 19d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3211 Breckinridge Ct Missouri City, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2920 | $2,550 | $0.87 | 20d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3932 Teal Run Place Ct Fresno, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1914 | $2,150 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3806 Teal Maple Ct Fresno, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2318 | $2,146 | $0.93 | 3d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2709 Troy Dr Missouri City, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2082 | $2,245 | $1.08 | 20d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2707 Troy Dr Missouri City, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2082 | $2,245 | $1.08 | 2d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3212 Aldridge Dr Missouri City, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2489 | $2,650 | $1.06 | 20d | 1 | 1.30mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $46 · $552/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $274,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $274,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $274,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $274,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $274,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 689-char remark
-
2026-06-09$274,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,767
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,399
- − Property taxes
- −$4,124
- − Insurance
- −$1,374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,861
- − Management
- −$2,861
- − HOA
- −$552
- − Depreciation
- −$7,997
- Taxable income
- $599
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$144
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,763/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 4-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom home is in good condition with a good exterior and interior. It has a good curb appeal and is ready for minor cosmetic updates to enhance its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and property value
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Improves aesthetics and increases value
- Both Install new kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and attracts more buyers
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Improves aesthetics and increases value ↑
- Both Install new kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and attracts more buyers ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Bend ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4819650
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $82,360
- Composite
- 44.61/100
- National rank
- #2779
- State rank
- #140 of 826 in TX
Livability — Fresno
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #943
- US rank
- #16815
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fresno, TX
- County
- Fort Bend County · 836,777 people
- City population
- 26,236
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,236
- Household income
- $94,474
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 360.0
Population outlook (Fort Bend County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,004,526 people
- By 2030
- 1,153,104 · +14.8%
- By 2040
- 1,453,718 · +44.7%
- By 2050
- 1,753,781 · +74.6%
- By 2075
- 2,455,772 · +144.5%
- By 2100
- 2,930,528 · +191.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 51% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 12% White 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 29% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fort Bend
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 47.9% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.0pp toward D · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: 1.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.6 2020: D+10.6 2016: D+6.6 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+2.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.98%
- Current HPI
- 231.3921
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.95%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $274,900 HARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…