20 Bardwell Way · Port Wentworth, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.3/15.0
- Cash flow +8.2/30.0
- Appreciation +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Rent growth +1.6/5.0
$279,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Meet the Lewis, part of the Cottage Collection at Rice Hope, where smart design meets affordability without compromise. Offering 1,256 square feet of well-utilized space, this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home is proof that an attainable price point doesn't mean sacrificing comfort, style, or functionality. Perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone looking to make the most of their investment, the Lewis packs a punch with its open layout and thoughtful features. The kitchen overlooks a bright living area, with seamless access to the back patio, making entertaining easy and everyday living a breeze. Whether you're meal prepping or hosting friends, the central space is designed to keep th
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Open layout
- En-suite bath
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Address: 20 Bardwell Way, Port Wentworth, GA 31407
- Financial info: List price $293,190
Exterior
- Home design: Single-family residence; Active listing
- Construction: New construction (Spec)
- Exterior features: Living area approximately 1,256
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Spec-built Lewis plan
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-265 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $242k (13.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (24.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $211k (24.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 4.1% in Port Wentworth — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#173 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, crime A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Savannah-Chatham County (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #134 of 174 in GA (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 379 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,694 units permitted in Chatham County in 2024 (973 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.9%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chatham County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.06%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $313,349
- List price
- $279,990
- Delta
- -10.65%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jovita Dr | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,256 (0%) | 1mo | $292,190 | $233 | 96 |
| 24 Jovita Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,256 (0%) | 3mo | $289,190 | $230 | 95 |
| 33 Jovita Dr | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,256 (0%) | 1mo | $284,190 | $226 | 95 |
| 227 Lakeside Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,256 (0%) | 4mo | $303,690 | $242 | 91 |
| 213 Lakeside Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,256 (0%) | 5mo | $283,690 | $226 | 90 |
| 44 Lakefront Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,249 (-1%) | 1mo | $318,990 | $255 | 86 |
| 415 Flat Rock Trce | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,249 (-1%) | 1mo | $310,990 | $249 | 84 |
| 419 Flat Rock Trce | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,257 (+0%) | 3mo | $310,990 | $247 | 84 |
| 24 Bardwell Way | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,151 (-8%) | 1mo | $303,190 | $263 | 82 |
| 31 Jovita Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,151 (-8%) | 1mo | $302,190 | $263 | 81 |
| 13 Cedar Creek Ln | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,249 (-1%) | 7mo | $335,990 | $269 | 74 |
| 17 Cedar Creek Ln | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,249 (-1%) | 7mo | $336,990 | $270 | 74 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.89% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-55,190
- Equity at exit
- $55,841
- IRR
- -15.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.04×
- Total profit
- $-81,750
- Equity at exit
- $49,123
Cash invested: $78,397 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31407
- Home prices YoY
- -0.7%
- Rents YoY
- -3.5%
- Active inventory
- 379
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,113 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$350 /mo · $4,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$444
- Net cashflow
- $-265
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-72 | -5% $-169 | +0% $-265 | +5% $-362 | +10% $-459 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-432 | -5% $-349 | +0% $-265 | +5% $-182 | +10% $-98 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-124 | -0.5pp $-194 | base $-265 | +0.5pp $-338 | +1.0pp $-412 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,998
- Closing costs
- $8,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 Arrow Head Way Port Wentworth, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $2,000 | $1.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 205 Clearwater Cir Port Wentworth, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1670 | $2,100 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 35 Moonlight Trl Unit 1244790P Port Wentworth, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1797 | $2,833 | $1.58 | 14d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 39 Moonlight Trl Port Wentworth, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1302 | $1,795 | $1.38 | 14d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 15 Mossy Oak Cv Port Wentworth, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1726 | $2,350 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 45 Mossy Oak Cv Port Wentworth, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1683 | $2,250 | $1.34 | 14d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 13 Striker Rd Port Wentworth, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1499 | $2,052 | $1.37 | 14d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 5 Weavers Way Savannah, GA | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1874 | $1,940 | $1.04 | 14d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3164 Mulberry Blvd Port Wentworth, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 996 | $2,151 | $2.16 | 14d | 60 | 0.78mi |
| 100 Lakeside Blvd Port Wentworth, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1468 | $2,012 | $1.37 | 21d | 2 | 0.92mi |
| 8 Crabapple Cir Port Wentworth, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1644 | $2,200 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 315 Dogwood Cir Unit 1244815P Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1453 | $2,513 | $1.73 | 14d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 7450 Georgia 21 Port Wentworth, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1056 | $2,200 | $2.08 | 24d | 29 | 1.40mi |
| 30 Miller Park Cir Port Wentworth, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $1,795 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $279,990 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $279,990 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $279,990 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $279,990 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-14pricedays on market $279,990 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $289,990 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $289,990 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $289,990 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $289,990 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $289,990 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $289,990 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $293,690 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $293,690 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $293,690 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $293,690 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $293,690 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-15historical
-
2026-05-05price $293,690 1317-char remark
-
2026-05-04price $293,690
-
2026-04-29$293,190 Active 1317-char remark
-
2026-04-24$293,190 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,359
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,684
- − Property taxes
- −$4,200
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,029
- − Management
- −$2,029
- − Depreciation
- −$8,145
- Taxable loss
- −$8,127
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,950
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,235/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Savannah-Chatham County
- NCES district ID
- 1301020
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,443
- Composite
- 20.14/100
- National rank
- #8639
- State rank
- #134 of 174 in GA
Livability — Port Wentworth
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #173
- US rank
- #10910
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Port Wentworth, GA
- County
- Chatham County · 271,602 people
- City population
- 24,893
- Metro
- Savannah, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,893
- Household income
- $81,124
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1341.0
Population outlook (Chatham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 332,584 people
- By 2030
- 355,508 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 400,030 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 443,019 · +33.2%
- By 2075
- 534,579 · +60.7%
- By 2100
- 583,863 · +75.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 43% White 38% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Vietnamese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chatham
- 2024 margin
- D (+18.0) · D 58.6% · R 40.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.6pp toward D · 2008: 14.4pp · 2024: 18.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+18.0 2020: D+18.8 2016: D+14.5 2012: D+12.0 2008: D+14.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.89%
- Current HPI
- 270.3529
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.47%
- Metro
- Savannah, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…