Duplex
511 W Loucks Ave · Peoria, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
2-UNIT MULTIFAMILY OPPORTUNITY IN A CONVENIENT PEORIA LOCATION! MAIN LEVEL UNIT FEATURES A SPACIOUS LIVING AREA WITH HARDWOOD FLOORING, FORMAL DINING SPACE, 1 BEDROOM & 1 FULL BATH. UPPER LEVEL UNIT OFFERS 2 BEDROOMS & 1 FULL BATH WITH GREAT NATURAL LIGHT THROUGHOUT. COMMON LAUNDRY AREA AVAILABLE FOR TENANT USE. BOTH UNITS ARE CURRENTLY RENTED AT $750 EACH PER MONTH PROVIDING IMMEDIATE INCOME POTENTIAL. SEPARATE LIVING SPACES MAKE THIS A GREAT OPTION FOR OWNER-OCCUPANTS OR INVESTORS LOOKING TO EXPAND THEIR PORTFOLIO. CONVENIENTLY LOCATED NEAR SHOPPING, DINING, & INTERSTATE ACCESS. DON’T MISS THIS SOLID INCOME-PRODUCING PROPERTY!
Key facts
- Hardwood flooring
- Great natural light
- Common laundry area
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $944 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $472/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.6% vs local median 5.6% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 104 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,164/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 849% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $70k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.51%
- DSCR
- 2.80
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $79,878
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- 25.07%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 511 W Loucks Ave | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,952 (0%) | 0mo | $81,000 | $41 | 100 |
| 2315 N Sheridan Rd | 0.20mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,920 (-2%) | 4mo | $50,000 | $26 | 80 |
| 2400 N Sheridan Rd | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,156 (+10%) | 11mo | $71,000 | $33 | 61 |
| 2315 N Bigelow St | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,200 (+13%) | 23mo | $78,900 | $36 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.49% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.61×
- Total profit
- $45,110
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 44.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.34×
- Total profit
- $121,494
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61603
- Home prices YoY
- -31.8%
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 104
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,164 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$200 /mo · $2,396/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$454
- Net cashflow
- $944
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $2,164 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,082 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,082 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,164 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 913 W McClure Ave Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,200 | $0.86 | 20d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2210 Knoxville Ave #2212 Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1284 | $950 | $0.74 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 308 E Archer Ave Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1444 | $950 | $0.66 | 13d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1413 W Gilbert Ave Peoria, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $1,500 | $1.05 | 13d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1806 N Peoria Ave Peoria, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1668 | $894 | $0.54 | 13d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 501 W Columbia Ter Unit 3 Peoria, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-16$99,900 Active 654-char remark
Show marketing remark (654 chars)
2-UNIT MULTIFAMILY OPPORTUNITY IN A CONVENIENT PEORIA LOCATION! MAIN LEVEL UNIT FEATURES A SPACIOUS LIVING AREA WITH HARDWOOD FLOORING, FORMAL DINING SPACE, 1 BEDROOM & 1 FULL BATH. UPPER LEVEL UNIT OFFERS 2 BEDROOMS & 1 FULL BATH WITH GREAT NATURAL LIGHT THROUGHOUT. COMMON LAUNDRY AREA AVAILABLE FOR TENANT USE. BOTH UNITS ARE CURRENTLY RENTED AT $750 EACH PER MONTH PROVIDING IMMEDIATE INCOME POTENTIAL. SEPARATE LIVING SPACES MAKE THIS A GREAT OPTION FOR OWNER-OCCUPANTS OR INVESTORS LOOKING TO EXPAND THEIR PORTFOLIO. CONVENIENTLY LOCATED NEAR SHOPPING, DINING, & INTERSTATE ACCESS. DON’T MISS THIS SOLID INCOME-PRODUCING PROPERTY!
-
2018-11-28soldstatus $69,500
-
2017-03-10soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,396 · $200/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,396 · $200/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,968
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$2,396
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,077
- − Management
- −$2,077
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $10,415
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,500
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,833/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Peoria SD 150
- NCES district ID
- 1731230
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 14% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,951
- Composite
- 10.92/100
- National rank
- #9751
- State rank
- #554 of 620 in IL
Livability — Peoria
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #5096
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Peoria, IL
- County
- Peoria County · 120,495 people
- City population
- 114,670
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,356
- Household income
- $41,618
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 849.0
Population outlook (Peoria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 183,007 people
- By 2030
- 179,643 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 171,782 · -6.1%
- By 2050
- 163,508 · -10.7%
- By 2075
- 140,178 · -23.4%
- By 2100
- 114,493 · -37.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 43% White 36% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Peoria
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.5% · R 46.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.2pp toward R · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 4.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.7 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+13.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.98%
- Current HPI
- 141.5343
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.49%
- Metro
- Peoria, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+66.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Listed $99,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-11-28 Sold (Public Records) $69,500 Public Records
- 2017-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2024): $2,396 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…