2025 NE 164th St #907 · North Miami Beach, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.92%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great investment opportunity! OK to lease first year. This is your chance to own a spacious and bright 1bed/1,5bath condo with a beautiful view of the canal and the city. Tile floors thru-out. Gated community. Location is great, close to shops, beaches, parks, Aventura Mall. Building has just reopened after passing final inspections and having been certified as Safe Structure by the Miami-Dade County. To carry out the repair work, the owner paid 3 special assessments in full. The AC is almost new. The building is still undergoing renovations, but is suitable for habitation & some are already living. Great opportunity for an investor or end user. Tenant Occupied. Lease $1450/month ends
Key facts
- Gated community
- $501 HOA
- Parking
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease considered; Pets not allowed
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association fee covers management, amenities, common areas, hot water, insurance, pool(s), sewer, trash and water; Community amenities include pool and elevators
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking; One assigned space
- Security: Closed-circuit cameras; Complex is fenced; Security guard
- Utilities: Water service included in association; Sewer service included in association; Trash service included in association
- Home design: Condominium in a 10-story building; Entry on level 9; Has a view; Has property attached
- Construction: Block construction; Resale property
- Exterior features: Canal access; Association pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Tile flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $754 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.7% vs local median 5.2% in North Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#71 in FL, #1,177 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 284 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,319/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 2509% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 204 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 15 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask is 10245% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $104k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 204 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.72%
- DSCR
- 2.50
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $14,536
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $39,166
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33162
- Rents YoY
- -1.6%
- Active inventory
- 284
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,319 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$91 /mo · $1,098/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$501
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$697
- Net cashflow
- $754
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $839 | -5% $796 | +0% $754 | +5% $711 | +10% $669 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $492 | -5% $623 | +0% $754 | +5% $885 | +10% $1,016 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $829 | -0.5pp $792 | base $754 | +0.5pp $715 | +1.0pp $675 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $501 · $6,012/yr
- Likely covers
- security
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $150,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-04-07historical $1,450
-
2026-01-27$1,450
-
2026-01-26status Active
-
2026-01-26price $150,000
-
2025-11-24$130,000 Active
-
2025-11-21historical
-
2025-11-06price $130,000
-
2025-11-01price $135,000
-
2025-10-28historical $1,450
-
2025-10-27price $1,450
-
2025-10-15price $140,000
-
2025-10-14$1,500
-
2025-10-07historical $1,450
-
2025-10-04$143,000 Active
-
2025-10-04historical
-
2025-10-03price $143,000
-
2025-09-21$1,450
-
2025-09-15historical $1,450
-
2025-09-12price $148,000
-
2025-09-09price $1,450
-
2025-09-02price $1,500
-
2025-08-24$1,600
-
2025-06-23price $155,000
-
2025-05-31price $160,000
-
2025-05-17price $168,000
-
2025-05-11$175,000 Active
-
2023-11-14soldstatus $104,500
-
2023-11-10status Active
-
2023-07-25status Pending
-
2023-06-02price $110,000
-
2023-05-28price $120,000
-
2023-05-06status Active
-
2023-05-05$135,000
-
2023-05-05historical
-
2022-11-03historical
-
2022-10-15$125,000 Active
-
2022-10-13historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,098 · $91/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,245 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$147/yr (+$12/mo · 13.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 92% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,826
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,098
- − Insurance
- −$5,868
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,186
- − Management
- −$3,186
- − HOA
- −$6,012
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $7,710
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,850
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,195/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Miami Beach
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #71
- US rank
- #1177
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Miami Beach, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 90,324
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,606
- Household income
- $60,692
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2509.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 53% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 15% White 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 7% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 31% Romanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 52% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 29% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 35% Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -445.57%
- Current HPI
- 596.6178
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.59%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-96.4% since first listed51 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Rental Removed $1,450 MARMLS
- 2026-01-27 Listed for Rent $1,450 MARMLS
- 2026-01-26 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2026-01-26 Price Changed $150,000 MARMLS
- 2025-11-24 Listed $130,000 MARMLS
- 2025-11-21 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-11-06 Price Changed $130,000 MARMLS
- 2025-11-01 Price Changed $135,000 MARMLS
- 2025-10-28 Rental Removed $1,450 MARMLS
- 2025-10-27 Price Changed $1,450 MARMLS
- 2025-10-15 Price Changed $140,000 MARMLS
- 2025-10-14 Listed for Rent $1,500 MARMLS
- 2025-10-07 Rental Removed $1,450 MARMLS
- 2025-10-04 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-10-04 Listed $143,000 MARMLS
- 2025-10-03 Price Changed $143,000 MARMLS
- 2025-09-21 Listed for Rent $1,450 MARMLS
- 2025-09-15 Rental Removed $1,450 MARMLS
- 2025-09-12 Price Changed $148,000 MARMLS
- 2025-09-09 Price Changed $1,450 MARMLS
- 2025-09-02 Price Changed $1,500 MARMLS
- 2025-08-24 Listed for Rent $1,600 MARMLS
- 2025-06-23 Price Changed $155,000 MARMLS
- 2025-05-31 Price Changed $160,000 MARMLS
- 2025-05-17 Price Changed $168,000 MARMLS
- 2025-05-11 Listed $175,000 MARMLS
- 2023-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $104,500 Public Records
- 2023-11-10 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2023-07-25 Pending — MARMLS
- 2023-06-02 Price Changed $110,000 MARMLS
- 2023-05-28 Price Changed $120,000 MARMLS
- 2023-05-06 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2023-05-05 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2023-05-05 Listed $135,000 MARMLS
- 2022-11-03 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2022-10-15 Listed $125,000 MARMLS
- 2022-10-13 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2022-09-14 Price Changed $125,000 MARMLS
- 2022-01-10 Listed $130,000 MARMLS
- 2020-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $128,000 Public Records
- 2020-10-02 Sold (MLS) $128,000 MARMLS
- 2020-09-01 Contingent — MARMLS
- 2020-06-22 Listed $133,000 MARMLS
- 2018-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2018-03-28 Pending — MARMLS
- 2018-03-21 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2018-01-10 Listed $134,999 MARMLS
- 1999-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
- 1999-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
- 1993-09-13 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 1983-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+19.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,098 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…