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1608 N Western Ave #18
B Composite 70.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$50,000

1608 N Western Ave #18 · Wenatchee, WA 98801
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 938 sqft · Manufactured public records · 71 Days on market
Built 1978 $53/sqft · 54% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

55 plus park , rented lot in Ridgecrest Park on North Western Ave Wenatchee

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1978
  • Listed 70 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $47k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 31.5% vs local median 2.9% in Wenatchee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#211 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing A, amenities B; Watch: crime C-, commute F.
  • Wenatchee School District (urban): math 38% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #175 of 291 in WA (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 326 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 762 units permitted in Chelan County in 2024 (377 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chelan County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $47,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.48%
Cap rate
31.54%
Cash-on-cash
90.18%
DSCR
5.01
GRM
2.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$109,750
List price
$50,000
Delta
-54.44%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1608 N Western Ave #25 0.00mi 2/2.0 924 (-2%) 1mo $59,000 $64 93
1608 N Western Ave #15 0.00mi 2/2.0 924 (-2%) 1mo $74,500 $81 92
1530 Maple St 0.46mi 3/1.5 (+1) 960 (+2%) 14mo $250,000 $260 56
1130 Foothills Ln #32 0.59mi 2/2.0 960 (+2%) 19mo $114,500 $119 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.75% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
88.3%
Equity multiple
4.93×
Total profit
$55,068
Equity at exit
$7,455
10-year hold
IRR
90.9%
Equity multiple
9.51×
Total profit
$119,180
Equity at exit
$4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98801

Rents YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
326
Price-to-rent
2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,739 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$39 /mo · $463/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$365
Net cashflow
$1,052

Break-even live

Break-even rent $407
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 34%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1688 Stella Ave Wenatchee, WA 2.0 2.0 961 $1,838 $1.91 43d 4 0.49mi
1705 Stella Ave Wenatchee, WA 2.0 2.0 942 $1,835 $1.95 43d 8 0.63mi
1415 Maple St Wenatchee, WA 2.0 1.0 928 $1,848 $1.99 43d 11 0.65mi
1231 McKittrick St Unit 3 Wenatchee, WA 2.0 2.0 1044 $1,695 $1.62 43d 1 0.72mi
1250 Central Ave Wenatchee, WA 1.0–3.0 1.0 698 $1,728 $2.48 43d 6 0.90mi
1311 Westwood Ave Wenatchee, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 880 $1,850 $2.10 43d 3 1.14mi
1417 5th St Wenatchee, WA 1.0 1.0 633 $850 $1.34 43d 1 1.32mi
511 Ramona Ave Wenatchee, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,595 $1.77 43d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $50,000 Active 71 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $50,000 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $50,000 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $50,000 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $50,000 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $50,000 Active 65 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $50,000 Active 64 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $60,000 Active 62 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 61 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 60 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 59 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $60,000 Active 56 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $60,000 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $60,000 Active 53 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 52 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $60,000 Active 51 DOM
  17. 2026-04-20
    price $60,000
  18. 2026-04-02
    listed $65,000 Active
  19. 2023-06-27
    soldstatus $70,000 Closed
  20. 2023-06-12
    status Pending
  21. 2023-05-17
    listed $72,500 Active
  22. 2017-01-31
    soldstatus $25,600 Sold
  23. 2017-01-09
    status Pending
  24. 2017-01-03
    price $25,600
  25. 2016-12-15
    status Active
  26. 2016-12-09
    status Pending
  27. 2016-11-07
    listed $29,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$463 · $39/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$490 · $41/mo
Expected delta
+$27/yr (+$2/mo · 5.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 25 unhealthy d/yr today · 25 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,867
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$463
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,669
− Management
−$1,669
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$12,560
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,014
After-tax cash flow
$9,611/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wenatchee School District
NCES district ID
5309660
Math proficiency
38% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$51,059
Composite
41.72/100
National rank
#7189
State rank
#175 of 291 in WA

Livability — Wenatchee

Score
72/100
State rank
#211
US rank
#6003

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime C- Employment C+ Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wenatchee, WA
County
Chelan County · 53,031 people
City population
45,426
Metro
Wenatchee, WA
Population (ZIP)
45,426
Household income
$81,488
Rent vs Own
41.2% rent · 58.8% own
Severe rent burden
1278.0

Population outlook (Chelan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
81,630 people
By 2030
84,312 · +3.3%
By 2040
88,619 · +8.6%
By 2050
91,915 · +12.6%
By 2075
99,409 · +21.8%
By 2100
100,032 · +22.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (61%)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 14% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 28%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Italian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
72% English-only · Spanish 27%

Political lean MEDSL · Chelan

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.5) · D 43.9% · R 53.4% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+2.5pp toward D · 2008: -12.0pp · 2024: -9.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.5 2020: R+7.8 2016: R+15.7 2012: R+16.9 2008: R+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -569.39%
Current HPI
227.1555
Rent YoY
▲ 0.75%
Metro
Wenatchee, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+100.7% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $60,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $65,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-27 Sold (MLS) $70,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-12 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-17 Listed $72,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-01-31 Sold (MLS) $25,600 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-01-09 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-01-03 Price Changed $25,600 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-12-15 Relisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-12-09 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-11-07 Listed $29,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+15.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $463 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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