1608 N Western Ave #18 · Wenatchee, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 25 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
55 plus park , rented lot in Ridgecrest Park on North Western Ave Wenatchee
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1978
- Listed 70 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $47k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 31.5% vs local median 2.9% in Wenatchee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#211 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing A, amenities B; Watch: crime C-, commute F.
- Wenatchee School District (urban): math 38% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #175 of 291 in WA (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 326 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 762 units permitted in Chelan County in 2024 (377 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chelan County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 31.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 90.18%
- DSCR
- 5.01
- GRM
- 2.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $109,750
- List price
- $50,000
- Delta
- -54.44%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1608 N Western Ave #25 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (-2%) | 1mo | $59,000 | $64 | 93 |
| 1608 N Western Ave #15 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (-2%) | 1mo | $74,500 | $81 | 92 |
| 1530 Maple St | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 960 (+2%) | 14mo | $250,000 | $260 | 56 |
| 1130 Foothills Ln #32 | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (+2%) | 19mo | $114,500 | $119 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.75% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 88.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.93×
- Total profit
- $55,068
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- 90.9%
- Equity multiple
- 9.51×
- Total profit
- $119,180
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98801
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 326
- Price-to-rent
- 2.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,739 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$39 /mo · $463/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$365
- Net cashflow
- $1,052
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1688 Stella Ave Wenatchee, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 961 | $1,838 | $1.91 | 43d | 4 | 0.49mi |
| 1705 Stella Ave Wenatchee, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 942 | $1,835 | $1.95 | 43d | 8 | 0.63mi |
| 1415 Maple St Wenatchee, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $1,848 | $1.99 | 43d | 11 | 0.65mi |
| 1231 McKittrick St Unit 3 Wenatchee, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1044 | $1,695 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1250 Central Ave Wenatchee, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 698 | $1,728 | $2.48 | 43d | 6 | 0.90mi |
| 1311 Westwood Ave Wenatchee, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 880 | $1,850 | $2.10 | 43d | 3 | 1.14mi |
| 1417 5th St Wenatchee, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 633 | $850 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 511 Ramona Ave Wenatchee, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,595 | $1.77 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $50,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $50,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $50,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $50,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $50,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $50,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $50,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $60,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $60,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $60,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $60,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $60,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-04-20price $60,000
-
2026-04-02$65,000 Active
-
2023-06-27soldstatus $70,000 Closed
-
2023-06-12status Pending
-
2023-05-17$72,500 Active
-
2017-01-31soldstatus $25,600 Sold
-
2017-01-09status Pending
-
2017-01-03price $25,600
-
2016-12-15status Active
-
2016-12-09status Pending
-
2016-11-07$29,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $463 · $39/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $490 · $41/mo
- Expected delta
- +$27/yr (+$2/mo · 5.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 25 unhealthy d/yr today · 25 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,867
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$463
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,669
- − Management
- −$1,669
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $12,560
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,014
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,611/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wenatchee School District
- NCES district ID
- 5309660
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,059
- Composite
- 41.72/100
- National rank
- #7189
- State rank
- #175 of 291 in WA
Livability — Wenatchee
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #211
- US rank
- #6003
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wenatchee, WA
- County
- Chelan County · 53,031 people
- City population
- 45,426
- Metro
- Wenatchee, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,426
- Household income
- $81,488
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1278.0
Population outlook (Chelan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 81,630 people
- By 2030
- 84,312 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 88,619 · +8.6%
- By 2050
- 91,915 · +12.6%
- By 2075
- 99,409 · +21.8%
- By 2100
- 100,032 · +22.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 14% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 28%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Italian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 27%
Political lean MEDSL · Chelan
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.5) · D 43.9% · R 53.4% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.5pp toward D · 2008: -12.0pp · 2024: -9.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.5 2020: R+7.8 2016: R+15.7 2012: R+16.9 2008: R+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -569.39%
- Current HPI
- 227.1555
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.75%
- Metro
- Wenatchee, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+100.7% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $60,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-02 Listed $65,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-27 Sold (MLS) $70,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-12 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-17 Listed $72,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-01-31 Sold (MLS) $25,600 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-01-09 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-01-03 Price Changed $25,600 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-12-15 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-12-09 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-11-07 Listed $29,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+15.5%/yrLatest (2026): $463 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…