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4423 Main St
C Composite 59.48
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.8/10.0
  • Schools +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$113,000

4423 Main St · Elk Horn, IA 51531
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,281 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1900 10,500 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Finally! An affordable home with no honey-do list. Windows and roof have been replaced and there's a new kitchen and two fully remodeled bathrooms. Main floor laundry and new flooring throughout the whole home. The furnace, central air, and hot water heater have all been replaced in the last few years and electrical and plumbing were updated as well. To top it off, a flat backyard for playing and entertaining with plenty of room to add a garage. This is the perfect starter home or for someone looking to downsize!

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Central air unit
  • Electrical panel

Tags

NEWLY REMODELED BATHROOMSNEW FORCED-AIR FURNACECENTRAL AIR UNITNEW WINDOWSMETAL ROOFELECTRICAL PANEL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual taxes reported

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single property (resale)
  • Construction: Metal roof; Block foundation; Built on a 0.24-acre lot
  • Exterior features: 75 x 140 lot dimensions

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Stove; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Resale condition
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $113k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $157 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (6.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $105k (6.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#311 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, schools B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Exira-Elk Horn- Kimballton Community School District (rural): math 64% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #172 of 289 in IA (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($781 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
  • Shelby County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (1.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $88k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $105,366 (6.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
7.96%
Cash-on-cash
5.96%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.55% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.1%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$15,150
Equity at exit
$41,856
10-year hold
IRR
12.6%
Equity multiple
2.61×
Total profit
$50,980
Equity at exit
$58,254

Cash invested: $31,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 51531

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
4
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,054 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$593
Tax from tax record
$36 /mo · $428/yr
Insurance
$47
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$221
Net cashflow
$157

Break-even live

Break-even rent $855
Max offer price $113,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,250
Closing costs
$3,390
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $113,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $113,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $113,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $113,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $113,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    remarks 692-char remark
  7. 2026-06-12
    listed $113,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$428 · $36/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,101 · $92/mo
Expected delta
+$673/yr (+$56/mo · 157.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,644
− Mortgage interest
−$6,330
− Property taxes
−$428
− Insurance
−$565
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,012
− Management
−$1,012
− Depreciation
−$3,287
Taxable income
$11
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3
After-tax cash flow
$1,882/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Exira-Elk Horn- Kimballton Community School District
NCES district ID
1911250
Math proficiency
64% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$46,338
Composite
57.33/100
National rank
#1084
State rank
#172 of 289 in IA

Livability — Elk Horn

Score
72/100
State rank
#311
US rank
#6092

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment B- Housing A Health & safety B+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Elk Horn, IA
Population (ZIP)
943

Population outlook (Shelby County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,637 people
By 2030
11,472 · -1.4%
By 2040
11,146 · -4.2%
By 2050
10,791 · -7.3%
By 2075
10,601 · -8.9%
By 2100
10,338 · -11.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Shelby

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.0) · D 27.9% · R 70.9% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-33.3pp toward R · 2008: -9.7pp · 2024: -43.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.0 2020: R+40.3 2016: R+42.9 2012: R+22.2 2008: R+9.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.55%
Current HPI
179.1341
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+18.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $113,000 DMMLS
  • 2022-03-15 Sold (MLS) $87,500 IAR
  • 2022-01-14 Listed $95,000 IAR

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2021): $428 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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