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503 Greenfield Rd
B- Composite 65.57
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.1/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$139,900

503 Greenfield Rd · Vanderbilt, PA 15486
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,536 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 59 Days on market
Built 1900 5,945 sqft lot $91/sqft · 13% below area Est $160k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to 503 Greenfield Rd in Vanderbilt! This three-bedroom home has nice size rooms for your family to enjoy. There is half bath on the main floor along with laundry hook ups! Newer roof, siding, flooring, furnace, AC and much more! The shed will stay so you have room for storing your lawn equipment. Nice quite area just right out of town, just 5 minutes from local shops and restaurants. Come take a look at this super cute home!!

Key facts

  • Newer ac
  • Shed for storage
  • Newer flooring

Tags

NEWER ROOFNEWER SIDINGNEWER FLOORINGNEWER FURNACENEWER ACSHED FOR STORAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $242 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#1,293 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, employment D+.
  • Connellsville Area SD (rural): math 23% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #440 of 539 in PA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 201 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
  • Fayette County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $118k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $135,703 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
8.37%
Cash-on-cash
7.41%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$159,975
List price
$139,900
Delta
-12.55%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1017 Nellie Rd 0.32mi 3/2.5 1,400 (-9%) 7mo $202,000 $144 59
515 2nd St 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,752 (+14%) 14mo $154,900 $88 57
331 Greenfield Rd 0.13mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,632 (+6%) 22mo $166,000 $102 56
501 Walnut St 0.20mi 3/1.5 1,752 (+14%) 20mo $155,000 $88 48
363 Flatwoods Rd 0.50mi 3/3.0 1,726 (+12%) 12mo $185,000 $107 38
228 Center St 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,322 (-14%) 24mo $163,000 $123 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.14% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.8%
Equity multiple
1.85×
Total profit
$33,275
Equity at exit
$64,023
10-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
3.44×
Total profit
$95,533
Equity at exit
$99,545

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15486

Home prices YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
8
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,407 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$78 /mo · $935/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$296
Net cashflow
$242

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,101
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 59 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 58 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 57 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 56 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,900 Active 54 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $139,900 Active 53 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,900 Active 50 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 49 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,900 Active 48 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,900 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $139,900 Active 44 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,900 Active 43 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,900 Active 42 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,900 Active 41 DOM
  15. 2026-04-19
    listed $144,900 Active 445-char remark
    Show marketing remark (445 chars)

    Welcome home to 503 Greenfield Rd in Vanderbilt! This three-bedroom home has nice size rooms for your family to enjoy. There is half bath on the main floor along with laundry hook ups! Newer roof, siding, flooring, furnace, AC and much more! The shed will stay so you have room for storing your lawn equipment. Nice quite area just right out of town, just 5 minutes from local shops and restaurants. Come take a look at this super cute home!!

  16. 2021-01-11
    soldstatus $117,500
  17. 2021-01-04
    soldstatus $117,500 332-char remark
    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    Move-in ready home with 3 bedrooms, 1-1/2 bath, and 1st floor laundry. Home has been remodeled and updated with new siding, roof, front porch, laminate flooring, and carpeting. The heating & cooling system, windows, doors and electrical panel have also been updated. Must see to appreciate. Owner is providing a Home warranty.

  18. 2021-01-04
    soldstatus $117,500
    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    Move-in ready home with 3 bedrooms, 1-1/2 bath, and 1st floor laundry. Home has been remodeled and updated with new siding, roof, front porch, laminate flooring, and carpeting. The heating & cooling system, windows, doors and electrical panel have also been updated. Must see to appreciate. Owner is providing a Home warranty.

  19. 2020-08-31
    listed $124,900 332-char remark
    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    Move-in ready home with 3 bedrooms, 1-1/2 bath, and 1st floor laundry. Home has been remodeled and updated with new siding, roof, front porch, laminate flooring, and carpeting. The heating & cooling system, windows, doors and electrical panel have also been updated. Must see to appreciate. Owner is providing a Home warranty.

  20. 1995-04-27
    soldstatus $25,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$935 · $78/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,573 · $131/mo
Expected delta
+$638/yr (+$53/mo · 68.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,889
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$935
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,351
− Management
−$1,351
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$645
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$155
After-tax cash flow
$2,749/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Connellsville Area SD
NCES district ID
4206660
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$39,315
Composite
25.95/100
National rank
#7333
State rank
#440 of 539 in PA

Livability — Vanderbilt

Score
63/100
State rank
#1293
US rank
#15899

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Vanderbilt, PA
Population (ZIP)
2,127

Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
127,561 people
By 2030
123,206 · -3.4%
By 2040
113,232 · -11.2%
By 2050
103,468 · -18.9%
By 2075
83,185 · -34.8%
By 2100
62,384 · -51.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Serbian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fayette

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.9) · D 30.8% · R 68.7%
2008→2024 swing
-37.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -37.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.9 2020: R+33.5 2016: R+31.0 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.14%
Current HPI
164.4205
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+468.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-19 Listed $144,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2021-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $117,500 Public Records
  • 2021-01-04 Sold (MLS) $117,500 CSMLS
  • 2021-01-04 Sold (MLS) $117,500 West Penn MLS
  • 2020-08-31 Listed $124,900 West Penn MLS
  • 1995-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $25,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $935 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…