621 S 28th St · Clinton, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Appreciation +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
$123,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PRICED TO SELL! This beautiful 3 bedroom/ 1.5 bathroom home in Clinton, Oklahoma is priced right and ready to for a new owner. The house has a spacious living room with wonderful natural lighting. Off the kitchen you will find an area to accommodate all of your dining needs. The electric stove & the refrigerator will stay with the property. The HVAC system is almost NEW, installed approximately 5 years ago. The backyard is spacious and you will find a 10x12 shop on a slab. The roof is approximately 6 years old. Schedule your appointment before this home FLIES off the market!
Key facts
- Mature sycamore tree
- Outbuilding
- Fenced yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Homestead exempt; Legal addition: CLINTON SIGHTS ACRES 1971 LT 11 BLK 6
- Financial info: Loan qualification: Yes
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Utilities: No flood insurance indicated
- Home design: Single family residence; One level; Faces west; Residential property
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Built as existing property
- Exterior features: Open deck; Outbuilding(s); Porch; Wood fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Freestanding electric oven
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Microwave; Washer/Dryer; Water heater; No fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer/Dryer included; Slab foundation
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $123k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $160 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (2.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $108k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 6.1% in Clinton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#196 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Clinton (town): math 21% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #149 of 270 in OK (top 55%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Southwest Es (math 20% / reading 14%, grade F, #540 of 845 statewide, top 68%, 468 students, 0% FRL); Clinton Hs (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #332 of 447 statewide, top 78%, 629 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 67% district-wide (67 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 28 units permitted in Custer County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.4%/yr); year-one equity from $850 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Custer County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 198 days — a 12% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $90k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 198 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.57%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $152,047
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 705 S 28th St | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,547 (+9%) | 2mo | $165,500 | $107 | 73 |
| 3 Peterson Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,592 (+12%) | 3mo | $196,250 | $123 | 63 |
| 2518 Manor Way | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,485 (+4%) | 22mo | $139,000 | $94 | 59 |
| 265 Regency Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,341 (-6%) | 12mo | $175,000 | $130 | 56 |
| 231 Shale Crst | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,462 (+3%) | 12mo | $150,000 | $103 | 51 |
| 211 Granite Wash St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,532 (+8%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $140 | 50 |
| 619 S 18th St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,416 (-0%) | 21mo | $69,300 | $49 | 46 |
| 140 Rawlings | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (+14%) | 24mo | $171,500 | $106 | 44 |
| 140 Dolomite Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,576 (+11%) | 3mo | $189,000 | $120 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-6,461
- Equity at exit
- $21,870
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $10,288
- Equity at exit
- $16,799
Cash invested: $34,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73601
- Home prices YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,195 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$645
- Tax from tax record
- −$88 /mo · $1,054/yr
- Insurance
- −$51
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $160
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,750
- Closing costs
- $3,690
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $123,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $123,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $123,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $123,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $123,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $123,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $123,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $123,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $123,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $123,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $123,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $123,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $123,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $123,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-04-08price $123,000
-
2026-02-09price $126,000
-
2025-12-02$130,000 Active
-
2020-10-19soldstatus $89,500
-
2020-10-09soldstatus $89,500 593-char remark
Show marketing remark (593 chars)
PRICED TO SELL! This beautiful 3 bedroom/ 1.5 bathroom home in Clinton, Oklahoma is priced right and ready to for a new owner. The house has a spacious living room with wonderful natural lighting. Off the kitchen you will find an area to accommodate all of your dining needs. The electric stove & the refrigerator will stay with the property. The HVAC system is almost NEW, installed approximately 5 years ago. The backyard is spacious and you will find a 10x12 shop on a slab. The roof is approximately 6 years old. Schedule your appointment before this home FLIES off the market!
-
2020-06-23$89,900 593-char remark
Show marketing remark (593 chars)
PRICED TO SELL! This beautiful 3 bedroom/ 1.5 bathroom home in Clinton, Oklahoma is priced right and ready to for a new owner. The house has a spacious living room with wonderful natural lighting. Off the kitchen you will find an area to accommodate all of your dining needs. The electric stove & the refrigerator will stay with the property. The HVAC system is almost NEW, installed approximately 5 years ago. The backyard is spacious and you will find a 10x12 shop on a slab. The roof is approximately 6 years old. Schedule your appointment before this home FLIES off the market!
-
2015-08-28soldstatus $80,000
-
2010-01-05soldstatus $65,000 24-char remark
Show marketing remark (24 chars)
Complete remodel inside.
-
2010-01-05soldstatus $65,000
Show marketing remark (24 chars)
Complete remodel inside.
-
2009-04-30$72,900 24-char remark
Show marketing remark (24 chars)
Complete remodel inside.
-
1999-12-27soldstatus $41,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,054 · $88/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,107 · $92/mo
- Expected delta
- +$53/yr (+$4/mo · 5.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,337
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,890
- − Property taxes
- −$1,054
- − Insurance
- −$615
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,147
- − Management
- −$1,147
- − Depreciation
- −$3,578
- Taxable loss
- −$94
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$23
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,939/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clinton
- NCES district ID
- 4008070
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,693
- Composite
- 18.97/100
- National rank
- #8853
- State rank
- #149 of 270 in OK
Livability — Clinton
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #14999
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clinton, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,489
Population outlook (Custer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,356 people
- By 2030
- 37,162 · +8.2%
- By 2040
- 43,354 · +26.2%
- By 2050
- 50,458 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 71,075 · +106.9%
- By 2100
- 91,129 · +165.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 17% Native American 5% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 32%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Scottish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 23% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Custer
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.2) · D 22.4% · R 75.7% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: -49.3pp · 2024: -53.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.2 2020: R+53.2 2016: R+54.3 2012: R+51.9 2008: R+49.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.36%
- Current HPI
- 244.5526
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+200.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $123,000 MLSOK
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $126,000 MLSOK
- 2025-12-02 Listed $130,000 MLSOK
- 2020-10-19 Sold (Public Records) $89,500 Public Records
- 2020-10-09 Sold (MLS) $89,500 MLSOK
- 2020-06-23 Listed $89,900 MLSOK
- 2015-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2010-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2010-01-05 Sold (MLS) $65,000 MLSOK
- 2009-04-30 Listed $72,900 MLSOK
- 1999-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,054 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…