508 Orchid Dr · Lafayette, LA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Income-producing property at 508 Orchid. This 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home features a functional layout, generous storage space, and a backyard. A great opportunity for investors looking to add to their portfolio.
Key facts
- 2,072 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Listed 239 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $176 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.3% vs local median 4.7% in Lafayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#63 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime F.
- Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 404 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 239 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 239 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.26%
- DSCR
- 2.44
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $184,910
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- -56.74%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1001 Poplar St | 0.57mi | 4/1.5 | 1,387 (-11%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $79 | 55 |
| 102 White Cir | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,586 (+2%) | 7mo | $235,000 | $148 | 50 |
| 100 Fairway Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,639 (+6%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $92 | 48 |
| 111 Tyreek Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,353 (-13%) | 15mo | $186,000 | $137 | 45 |
| 124 Kennedy Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,372 (-12%) | 0mo | $148,000 | $108 | 41 |
| 720 Evangeline Dr | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,492 (-4%) | 20mo | $194,000 | $130 | 40 |
| 1123 W Gilman Rd | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,390 (-10%) | 23mo | $179,400 | $129 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $59
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.99×
- Total profit
- $22,142
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70506
- Home prices YoY
- -34.8%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 404
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,395 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $566/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $176
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1140 Madeline Ave Lafayette, LA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1225 | $850 | $0.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 111 Sternberg Dr Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $900 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 903 Myrtle Pl Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2093 | $2,000 | $0.96 | 21d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1312 W University Ave Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,300 | $0.76 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 215 Versailles Blvd Unit 3 Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,675 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 816 Martin Luther King Jr Dr Lafayette, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $1,450 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 419 Saint Joseph St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 13d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 517 Saint Patrick St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,650 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 313 Saint Thomas St Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1265 | $1,500 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $80,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $80,000 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $80,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $85,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2025-10-21$85,000 Active 209-char remark
Show marketing remark (209 chars)
Income-producing property at 508 Orchid. This 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home features a functional layout, generous storage space, and a backyard. A great opportunity for investors looking to add to their portfolio.
-
2017-01-10$62,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $566 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $566 · $47/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,741
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$566
- − Insurance
- −$5,518
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,339
- − Management
- −$1,339
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $1,170
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$281
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,826/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafayette Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200870
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -24.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,238
- Composite
- 36.15/100
- National rank
- #4741
- State rank
- #19 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lafayette
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #8133
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lafayette, LA
- County
- Lafayette Parish · 207,544 people
- City population
- 158,114
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,318
- Household income
- $57,379
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2095.0
Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,930 people
- By 2030
- 301,092 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 339,456 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 375,156 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 451,672 · +60.8%
- By 2100
- 497,203 · +77.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 13% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 18% Armenian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.28%
- Current HPI
- 140.8445
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.12%
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+37.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-21 Listed $85,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2017-01-10 Listed $62,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $566 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…