🏷️ Likely Rental
462 Mirabile Ln · Dundalk, MD
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
ATTENTION!!!!! Buyers Attention buyers $5000 off purch price or 2 months free rent if under contract before June 30, 2026 !!!!! THIS MOBILE HOME FOR SALE NOT RENT, ONLY THE LOT IS LEASED!!!! Welcome Home to This Brand New 2025 Beauty! Step into comfort and style with this gorgeous 2-bedroom, 2 full bath home featuring an open floor plan, recessed lighting, and easy-care vinyl flooring throughout. The spacious living and dining area includes built-ins, adding both charm and functionality. The modern kitchen offers a gas stove, perfect for everyday cooking and entertaining. Enjoy the convenience of washer and dryer hookups and your own private parking pad. Lot rent is $800/month, with residents paying their own utilities. All residents must be park-approved. No investors — homes must be owner-occupied.
Key facts
- Built 2025
- Listed 231 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $852 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 6.2% in Dundalk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#16 in MD, #510 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Baltimore County Public Schools (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #11 of 24 in MD (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 391 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,511 units permitted in Baltimore County in 2024 (643 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 231 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 231 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.59%
- DSCR
- 2.81
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $247,235
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- -63.64%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.45×
- Total profit
- $36,576
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 41.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.55×
- Total profit
- $89,432
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21224
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 391
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,864 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,348/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$392
- Net cashflow
- $852
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8036 Lansdale Rd Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,775 | $1.73 | 5d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 7948 Eastdale Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,700 | $1.66 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 7951 E Baltimore St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,750 | $1.71 | 2d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 7915 Eastdale Rd Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 7911 Bank St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,749 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 309 52nd St Unit A Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 722 | $1,350 | $1.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 932 Elton Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $1,950 | $1.90 | 18d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 7517 Belmont Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,800 | $2.50 | 18d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 944 Dalton Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $2,100 | $2.05 | 11d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 7319 Conley St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,950 | $1.81 | 18d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 7261 Bridgewood Dr Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 896 | $2,495 | $2.78 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 7520 Durwood Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $2,100 | $1.89 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 165 Hampshire Rd Essex, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 969 | $1,895 | $1.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 849 Loalan Ave Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $1,850 | $1.81 | 15d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 28 Warren Rd Apt B Essex, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 570 | $875 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 7124 Gough St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1096 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 22d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 7 Robinson Ave Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,600 | $2.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 231 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 230 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 229 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 226 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 222 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 220 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $89,900 Active 217 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 216 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 215 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 214 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 213 DOM
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2026-04-16status Active 819-char remark
Show marketing remark (819 chars)
ATTENTION!!!!! Buyers Attention buyers $5000 off purch price or 2 months free rent if under contract before June 30, 2026 !!!!! THIS MOBILE HOME FOR SALE NOT RENT, ONLY THE LOT IS LEASED!!!! Welcome Home to This Brand New 2025 Beauty! Step into comfort and style with this gorgeous 2-bedroom, 2 full bath home featuring an open floor plan, recessed lighting, and easy-care vinyl flooring throughout. The spacious living and dining area includes built-ins, adding both charm and functionality. The modern kitchen offers a gas stove, perfect for everyday cooking and entertaining. Enjoy the convenience of washer and dryer hookups and your own private parking pad. Lot rent is $800/month, with residents paying their own utilities. All residents must be park-approved. No investors — homes must be owner-occupied.
-
2026-04-15historical 819-char remark
Show marketing remark (819 chars)
ATTENTION!!!!! Buyers Attention buyers $5000 off purch price or 2 months free rent if under contract before June 30, 2026 !!!!! THIS MOBILE HOME FOR SALE NOT RENT, ONLY THE LOT IS LEASED!!!! Welcome Home to This Brand New 2025 Beauty! Step into comfort and style with this gorgeous 2-bedroom, 2 full bath home featuring an open floor plan, recessed lighting, and easy-care vinyl flooring throughout. The spacious living and dining area includes built-ins, adding both charm and functionality. The modern kitchen offers a gas stove, perfect for everyday cooking and entertaining. Enjoy the convenience of washer and dryer hookups and your own private parking pad. Lot rent is $800/month, with residents paying their own utilities. All residents must be park-approved. No investors — homes must be owner-occupied.
-
2026-04-09price $89,900 819-char remark
Show marketing remark (819 chars)
ATTENTION!!!!! Buyers Attention buyers $5000 off purch price or 2 months free rent if under contract before June 30, 2026 !!!!! THIS MOBILE HOME FOR SALE NOT RENT, ONLY THE LOT IS LEASED!!!! Welcome Home to This Brand New 2025 Beauty! Step into comfort and style with this gorgeous 2-bedroom, 2 full bath home featuring an open floor plan, recessed lighting, and easy-care vinyl flooring throughout. The spacious living and dining area includes built-ins, adding both charm and functionality. The modern kitchen offers a gas stove, perfect for everyday cooking and entertaining. Enjoy the convenience of washer and dryer hookups and your own private parking pad. Lot rent is $800/month, with residents paying their own utilities. All residents must be park-approved. No investors — homes must be owner-occupied.
-
2025-10-30$99,900 Active 819-char remark
Show marketing remark (819 chars)
ATTENTION!!!!! Buyers Attention buyers $5000 off purch price or 2 months free rent if under contract before June 30, 2026 !!!!! THIS MOBILE HOME FOR SALE NOT RENT, ONLY THE LOT IS LEASED!!!! Welcome Home to This Brand New 2025 Beauty! Step into comfort and style with this gorgeous 2-bedroom, 2 full bath home featuring an open floor plan, recessed lighting, and easy-care vinyl flooring throughout. The spacious living and dining area includes built-ins, adding both charm and functionality. The modern kitchen offers a gas stove, perfect for everyday cooking and entertaining. Enjoy the convenience of washer and dryer hookups and your own private parking pad. Lot rent is $800/month, with residents paying their own utilities. All residents must be park-approved. No investors — homes must be owner-occupied.
-
2025-10-16historical $99,900 819-char remark
Show marketing remark (819 chars)
ATTENTION!!!!! Buyers Attention buyers $5000 off purch price or 2 months free rent if under contract before June 30, 2026 !!!!! THIS MOBILE HOME FOR SALE NOT RENT, ONLY THE LOT IS LEASED!!!! Welcome Home to This Brand New 2025 Beauty! Step into comfort and style with this gorgeous 2-bedroom, 2 full bath home featuring an open floor plan, recessed lighting, and easy-care vinyl flooring throughout. The spacious living and dining area includes built-ins, adding both charm and functionality. The modern kitchen offers a gas stove, perfect for everyday cooking and entertaining. Enjoy the convenience of washer and dryer hookups and your own private parking pad. Lot rent is $800/month, with residents paying their own utilities. All residents must be park-approved. No investors — homes must be owner-occupied.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,371
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$1,348
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,790
- − Management
- −$1,790
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $9,343
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,242
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,976/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2025 mobile home is in excellent condition with a modern interior and exterior. It is move-in ready and would benefit from some exterior painting and landscaping to further enhance its curb appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400120
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,746
- Composite
- 23.17/100
- National rank
- #7948
- State rank
- #11 of 24 in MD
Livability — Dundalk
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #510
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dundalk, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 59,407
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,465
- Household income
- $89,017
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1786.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 885,518 people
- By 2030
- 909,272 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 951,547 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 990,955 · +11.9%
- By 2075
- 1,086,411 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 1,135,078 · +28.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 16% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.5) · D 61.0% · R 36.5% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 24.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.5 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -332.23%
- Current HPI
- 241.284
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.31%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-10.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-15 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $89,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-30 Listed $99,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-16 Coming Soon $99,900 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…