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5 Market Street Ext
D Composite 44.56
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$15,000

5 Market Street Ext · Baden, PA 15005
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1981 3,484 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 3,484 sq ft lot
  • Built 1981
  • Listed 14 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Tax assessed value approximately $31,200
  • Financial info: Annual tax approximately $337

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-story building; Asphalt roof
  • Construction: Built as a resale property
  • Exterior features: Small lot (approximately 0.08 acres)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Interior features: Resale property

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $15k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $700 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $15k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#224 in PA, #1,952 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F.
  • Ambridge Area SD (suburban): math 23% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #408 of 539 in PA (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 272 units permitted in Beaver County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $104 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $450 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Beaver County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $15,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
7.33%
Cap rate
66.75%
Cash-on-cash
215.91%
DSCR
10.61
GRM
1.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
11.05×
Total profit
$42,217
Equity at exit
$2,237
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
23.48×
Total profit
$94,410
Equity at exit
$1,297

Cash invested: $4,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15005

Home prices YoY
-31.2%
Active inventory
95
Price-to-rent
1.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,100 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$79
Tax from tax record
$28 /mo · $337/yr
Insurance
$6
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$700

Break-even live

Break-even rent $213
Max offer price $15,000
Occupancy floor 31%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$3,750
Closing costs
$450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $15,000 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $15,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $15,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $15,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $15,000 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $15,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $15,000 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $15,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    listed $15,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$337 · $28/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$337 · $28/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,195
− Mortgage interest
−$840
− Property taxes
−$337
− Insurance
−$742
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,056
− Management
−$1,056
− Depreciation
−$436
Taxable income
$8,729
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,095
After-tax cash flow
$6,307/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ambridge Area SD
NCES district ID
4202440
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$49,514
Composite
30.62/100
National rank
#6190
State rank
#408 of 539 in PA

Livability — Baden

Score
80/100
State rank
#224
US rank
#1952

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baden, PA
Population (ZIP)
9,574

Population outlook (Beaver County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,976 people
By 2030
161,449 · -2.1%
By 2040
151,752 · -8.0%
By 2050
141,155 · -14.4%
By 2075
118,142 · -28.4%
By 2100
91,740 · -44.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Slovak 2% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Beaver

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.9pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -20.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.7 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+6.6 2008: R+2.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -106.56%
Current HPI
234.657
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $15,000 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

-3.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $337 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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