2566 Cr 2212 · Rocky Mound, TX 75686

$194,900

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,684 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market

Built 1967 4.52 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.5/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +4.8/10.0
• 1% rule +4.3/10.0
• Schools +4.1/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.1/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Beautiful 3-bedroom, 1.5 bath home situated on 1 acre featuring 1,684 sqft of comfortable living space. * The half bath is not fully finished (you can see in pictures) * . This property offers a spacious covered front porch perfect for relaxing, along with a covered 1 car carport for convenience. Enjoy peaceful country style living with plenty of outdoor space while still having a warm and inviting home interior.

Key facts

• Covered front porch
• Covered carport
• Country style living

Tags

• COVERED FRONT PORCH
• COVERED CARPORT
• OUTDOOR SPACE
• COUNTRY STYLE LIVING

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Approximately 4.52 acres

Exterior

• Utilities: Septic tank
• Home design: Single family detached residence; Single-story
• Construction: Composition roof
• Exterior features: Covered porch

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
• Interior features: Ceiling fans; Central air conditioning; Central electric heating

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $195k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $77 ($923/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (6.9% below list).
• Recommended offer: $181k (6.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 1.1% in Rocky Mound — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 43/100 on livability (#1,576 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Pittsburg ISD (town): math 54% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #216 of 826 in TX (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Pittsburg El (math 34% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,995 of 4,322 statewide, top 50%, 545 students, 80% FRL); Pittsburg J H (math 48% / reading 43%, grade D+, #470 of 1,662 statewide, top 29%, 349 students, 82% FRL); Pittsburg H S (math 62% / reading 52%, grade C, #333 of 1,632 statewide, top 22%, 726 students, 78% FRL).
• Market conditions: 313 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Camp County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Camp County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $181,489 (6.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.93% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.77%
• Cash-on-cash: 1.69%
• DSCR: 1.08
• GRM: 8.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -13.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.51×
• Total profit: $-26,647
• Equity at exit: $29,060

10-year hold

• IRR: -4.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.69×
• Total profit: $-16,757
• Equity at exit: $16,851

Cash invested: $54,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 75686

• Home prices YoY: -21.6%
• Active inventory: 313
• Price-to-rent: 8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,815 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,022
• Tax from tax record: −$254 /mo · $3,042/yr
• Insurance: −$81
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$381
• Net cashflow: $77

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,717

Max offer price $194,900

Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $187	-5% $132	+0% $77	+5% $22	+10% $-33
Rent	-10% $-66	-5% $5	+0% $77	+5% $149	+10% $220
Rate	-1.0pp $175	-0.5pp $127	base $77	+0.5pp $26	+1.0pp $-25

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $48,725
• Closing costs: $5,847
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-06-01
   status $194,900 Pending 11 DOM
2. 2026-06-01
   days on market $194,900 Active 11 DOM
3. 2026-05-31
   days on market $194,900 Active 10 DOM
4. 2026-05-30
   days on market $194,900 Active 9 DOM
5. 2026-05-21
   listed $194,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $3,042 · $254/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,567 · $297/mo
• Expected delta: +$524/yr (+$44/mo · 17.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,779
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,917
• − Property taxes: −$3,042
• − Insurance: −$974
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,742
• − Management: −$1,742
• − Depreciation: −$5,670
• Taxable loss: −$2,310
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$554
• After-tax cash flow: $1,478/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Pittsburg ISD
• NCES district ID: 4835010
• Math proficiency: 54% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 44% ▼ -16.00%
• Median HH income: $38,136
• Composite: 40.87/100
• National rank: #3627
• State rank: #216 of 826 in TX

Livability — Rocky Mound

• Score: 43/100
• State rank: #1576
• US rank: #26922

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Rocky Mound, TX
• Population (ZIP): 13,427

Population outlook (Camp County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 13,403 people
• By 2030: 13,741 · +2.5%
• By 2040: 14,436 · +7.7%
• By 2050: 15,135 · +12.9%
• By 2075: 16,836 · +25.6%
• By 2100: 17,582 · +31.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
• Race & ethnicity: White 52% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 16% Black 14% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 25%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1% Scottish 1% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 11% · Canada, Vietnam, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 79% English-only · Spanish 20% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Camp

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+53.6) · D 22.9% · R 76.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -30.3pp toward R · 2008: -23.3pp · 2024: -53.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+53.6 2020: R+44.1 2016: R+42.7 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+23.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -50.12%
• Current HPI: 181.5522
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-21 Listed $194,900 GTAR

Property tax history

+40.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,042 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.