Multi-family
118 Scribner Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 53.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.9/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.2/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$724,888
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks
GREAT INVESTMENT 4 BEDROOM AND 3 BEDROOM APARTMENTS PLUS FINISHED BASEMENT. Level 1: LR, DR, EIK, 3 BEDROOMS, FULL BATH Level 2: LR, DR, EIK, 4 BEDROOMS, FULL BATH Basement: FULL FINISHED, ENTRANCE, 3/4 BATH
Key facts
- 2,517 sq ft lot
- Built 1899
- Listed 73 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property condition described as excellent
- Financial info: Two-unit property; Unit 1 reported rent: $2,300/month; No additional income/expense or investor cash flow details provided
- HOA & community: No HOA information provided
Exterior
- Parking: Street parking available; No attached garage
- Security: No specific security features provided
- Utilities: 110V electric service; Natural gas available; Municipal water and sewer likely (no specific details provided)
- Home design: Two-story multi-family property; Total building area ~2,288 square feet
- Construction: Aluminum siding construction; Year built listed as approximate
- Exterior features: Aluminum siding; Lot dimensions approximately 25.2 x 100; Small lot (about 0.06 acres); Zoned R3A
Interior
- Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 3 bedrooms (first level); Unit 2: 4 bedrooms (second level)
- Flooring: No flooring details provided
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms total (including 1 bath in Unit 1)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating with forced air; Window units for cooling
- Interior features: Finished basement; Window air conditioning units; Laundry area; Storage space
- Laundry & utility: On-site laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 7-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $725k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($29k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $725k).
- Recommended offer: $681k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 263 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 480 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $8,705/mo this rent would consume 122% of the median local household income ($86k/yr) (locally 2008% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.1% rent growth), your $203k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($681k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $44k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $575k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1899 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 53% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1899 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.51%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $736,488
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80 Corson Ave | 0.23mi | 7/2.0 | 1,584 (+3%) | 5mo | $755,000 | $477 | 77 |
| 435 Castleton Ave | 0.63mi | 6/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (+4%) | 4mo | $711,000 | $444 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.07% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $66,351
- Equity at exit
- $108,083
- IRR
- 19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.87×
- Total profit
- $379,278
- Equity at exit
- $62,675
Cash invested: $202,969 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 10301
- Rents YoY
- 6.1%
- Active inventory
- 263
- Price-to-rent
- 19.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $8,705 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,801
- Tax from tax record
- −$319 /mo · $3,828/yr
- Insurance
- −$302
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,828
- Net cashflow
- $2,455
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 3 | 1 | $3,139 |
| 1× unit | 4 | 1 | $3,397 |
| 1× unit | 0 | 0.75 | $2,169 |
| Total (3 units) | $8,705 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $181,222
- Closing costs
- $21,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $724,888 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $724,888 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $724,888 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $724,888 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $724,888 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $724,888 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $724,888 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $724,888 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $724,888 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $724,888 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $724,888 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-06price $724,888
-
2026-04-16price $748,888
-
2026-04-03$768,888 Active
-
2021-05-17soldstatus $575,000
-
2016-02-17historical
-
2014-12-09historical
-
2014-08-26soldstatus $300,000
-
2014-08-18soldstatus $300,000
-
2014-03-03$349,000
-
2009-08-19soldstatus $300,000
-
2009-01-28$349,900
-
2005-10-04soldstatus $395,000
-
2004-09-23$449,000
-
1993-06-28soldstatus $50,000
-
1993-01-05soldstatus $122,000
-
1988-02-26soldstatus $120,000
-
1985-11-01soldstatus $61,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,828 · $319/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,039 · $670/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,211/yr (+$351/mo · 110.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 53% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $104,460
- − Mortgage interest
- −$40,605
- − Property taxes
- −$3,828
- − Insurance
- −$3,624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$8,357
- − Management
- −$8,357
- − Depreciation
- −$21,088
- Taxable income
- $18,601
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,464
- After-tax cash flow
- $24,990/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Richmond County · 404,174 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,052
- Household income
- $85,609
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2008.0
Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 482,784 people
- By 2030
- 481,831 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 473,159 · -2.0%
- By 2050
- 457,242 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 408,029 · -15.5%
- By 2100
- 341,459 · -29.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 37% Hispanic / Latino 29% Black 23% Two or more races 16% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 10% Cuban 2% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Richmond
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.8) · D 35.1% · R 64.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.7pp toward R · 2008: -4.0pp · 2024: -29.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.8 2020: R+14.9 2016: R+16.8 2012: D+0.8 2008: R+4.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -407.37%
- Current HPI
- 319.0616
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.07%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+1088.3% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $724,888 SIBORMLS
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $748,888 SIBORMLS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $768,888 SIBORMLS
- 2021-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $575,000 Public Records
- 2016-02-17 Listing Removed — SIBORMLS
- 2014-12-09 Listing Removed — SIBORMLS
- 2014-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $300,000 Public Records
- 2014-08-18 Sold (MLS) $300,000 SIBORMLS
- 2014-03-03 Listed $349,000 SIBORMLS
- 2009-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $300,000 Public Records
- 2009-01-28 Listed $349,900 SIBORMLS
- 2005-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $395,000 Public Records
- 2004-09-23 Listed $449,000 SIBORMLS
- 1993-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 1993-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $122,000 Public Records
- 1988-02-26 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 1985-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,828 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…