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1608 Sidney St
C- Composite 50.79
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.6/10.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0

$129,900

1608 Sidney St · Malden, MO 63863
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · Other public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1977

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Motived Seller, Price Reduced!! Well maintained home located in a family friendly neighborhood. This 3-bedroom 1.5-bathroom home has recently had a brand-new central heat & air unit installed. Has updated vinyl windows, freshly painted eat-in kitchen, laundry unit in main bathroom, Living room, and bonus room with hot tub included! This house, with your personal touched, will make a great first home! Ask me about 100% financing options! Lot size 87.5'x170' MLS1915

Key facts

  • Irrigated lawn
  • Updated windows
  • New light fixtures

Tags

CENTRAL HEAT AND AIR UNITUPDATED WINDOWSNEW LIGHT FIXTURESIRRIGATED LAWN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $103 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (14.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $111k (14.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#572 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Malden R-I (town): math 19% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #294 of 324 in MO (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Dunklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.3% local appreciation)).
  • Dunklin County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $111,096 (14.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
7.25%
Cash-on-cash
3.40%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.26% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.3%
Equity multiple
1.66×
Total profit
$23,945
Equity at exit
$60,307
10-year hold
IRR
13.3%
Equity multiple
3.03×
Total profit
$73,784
Equity at exit
$94,444

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63863

Home prices YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
35
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,111 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$39 /mo · $470/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$233
Net cashflow
$103

Break-even live

Break-even rent $980
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    price $129,900 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $134,500 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $134,500 Active 34 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $134,500 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $134,500 Active 31 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $134,500 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $134,500 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $134,500 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $134,500 Active 25 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $134,500 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $134,500 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $134,500 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $134,500 Active 19 DOM
  16. 2026-05-12
    listed $134,500 Active 346-char remark
  17. 2023-01-06
    soldstatus Closed 472-char remark
    Show marketing remark (472 chars)

    Motived Seller, Price Reduced!! Well maintained home located in a family friendly neighborhood. This 3-bedroom 1.5-bathroom home has recently had a brand-new central heat & air unit installed. Has updated vinyl windows, freshly painted eat-in kitchen, laundry unit in main bathroom, Living room, and bonus room with hot tub included! This house, with your personal touched, will make a great first home! Ask me about 100% financing options! Lot size 87.5'x170' MLS1915

  18. 2022-12-21
    status Pending 472-char remark
    Show marketing remark (472 chars)

    Motived Seller, Price Reduced!! Well maintained home located in a family friendly neighborhood. This 3-bedroom 1.5-bathroom home has recently had a brand-new central heat & air unit installed. Has updated vinyl windows, freshly painted eat-in kitchen, laundry unit in main bathroom, Living room, and bonus room with hot tub included! This house, with your personal touched, will make a great first home! Ask me about 100% financing options! Lot size 87.5'x170' MLS1915

  19. 2022-12-01
    historical Active Under Contract 472-char remark
    Show marketing remark (472 chars)

    Motived Seller, Price Reduced!! Well maintained home located in a family friendly neighborhood. This 3-bedroom 1.5-bathroom home has recently had a brand-new central heat & air unit installed. Has updated vinyl windows, freshly painted eat-in kitchen, laundry unit in main bathroom, Living room, and bonus room with hot tub included! This house, with your personal touched, will make a great first home! Ask me about 100% financing options! Lot size 87.5'x170' MLS1915

  20. 2022-11-18
    price $100,000 472-char remark
    Show marketing remark (472 chars)

    Motived Seller, Price Reduced!! Well maintained home located in a family friendly neighborhood. This 3-bedroom 1.5-bathroom home has recently had a brand-new central heat & air unit installed. Has updated vinyl windows, freshly painted eat-in kitchen, laundry unit in main bathroom, Living room, and bonus room with hot tub included! This house, with your personal touched, will make a great first home! Ask me about 100% financing options! Lot size 87.5'x170' MLS1915

  21. 2022-10-25
    listed $105,000 Active 472-char remark
    Show marketing remark (472 chars)

    Motived Seller, Price Reduced!! Well maintained home located in a family friendly neighborhood. This 3-bedroom 1.5-bathroom home has recently had a brand-new central heat & air unit installed. Has updated vinyl windows, freshly painted eat-in kitchen, laundry unit in main bathroom, Living room, and bonus room with hot tub included! This house, with your personal touched, will make a great first home! Ask me about 100% financing options! Lot size 87.5'x170' MLS1915

  22. 1997-12-02
    soldstatus
  23. 1991-03-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$470 · $39/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,260 · $105/mo
Expected delta
+$790/yr (+$66/mo · 168.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,332
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$470
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,067
− Management
−$1,067
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable loss
−$976
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$234
After-tax cash flow
$1,472/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Malden R-I
NCES district ID
2919890
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$29,537
Composite
20.06/100
National rank
#8656
State rank
#294 of 324 in MO

Livability — Malden

Score
59/100
State rank
#572
US rank
#20610

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Malden, MO
City population
5,348
Population (ZIP)
5,348

Population outlook (Dunklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,599 people
By 2030
27,230 · -4.8%
By 2040
24,696 · -13.6%
By 2050
22,402 · -21.7%
By 2075
17,776 · -37.8%
By 2100
13,890 · -51.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dunklin

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.8) · D 18.8% · R 80.5%
2008→2024 swing
-40.5pp toward R · 2008: -21.3pp · 2024: -61.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.8 2020: R+57.0 2016: R+53.6 2012: R+30.2 2008: R+21.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.26%
Current HPI
116.067
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+23.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Price Changed $129,900 FSBO.com
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $134,500 FSBO.com
  • 2023-01-06 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-21 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-01 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-11-18 Price Changed $100,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-10-25 Listed $105,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1997-12-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1991-03-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $470 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…