7043 State Highway 32 #6 · Orland, CA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 36 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 38 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$37,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautifully update home, located in the exclusive Country Leisure Estates Mobile Home Park, a 55+ adult community in Orland. In the last couple of years, this well maintained 2 bedrooms, 1 bath home has gone through several remodels/upgrades. Including, but not limited to the installation of dual pane windows, new energy efficient heater, a custom stainless steel farmhouse kitchen sink, exhaust fan, garbage disposal, new light fixtures inside and out. The home was professionally painted inside and out around 2021, and new floor coverings installed. Relax and entertain in the lovely backyard, with plenty of shade, garden area and a handy storage shed. Schedule your private showing today! Park approval required.
Key facts
- Garbage disposal
- Dual-pane windows
- Storage shed
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed as turnkey
- Financial info: Land lease ($600 monthly, seller-reported)
- HOA & community: Located in a senior community; Community is rural; Park name: Country Leisure Estates; Manager approval required for park residency; Pets allowed with size limits (call for details)
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking; 2 uncovered parking spaces (total 2)
- Utilities: Standard electric service; Natural gas connected; Public/district water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story mobile home (12' x 60'); Mobile home remains on site; Has a view
- Construction: Metal roof
- Exterior features: Covered porch and patio; Patio; No pool; Fenced yard (average condition)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range
- Bedrooms: All bedrooms downstairs
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with shower-in-tub
- Heating & cooling: Wall heater; Wall/window cooling
- Interior features: One-level home; Double-pane windows; Turnkey condition; All bedrooms located on the main level
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $37k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $821 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $37k).
- Cap rate 32.9% vs local median 2.7% in Orland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#718 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A-, crime B; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, amenities F.
- Orland Joint Unified (town): math 12% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #476 of 517 in CA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 108 units permitted in Glenn County in 2024 (61 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $256 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Glenn County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 32.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 95.06%
- DSCR
- 5.23
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 95.9%
- Equity multiple
- 5.47×
- Total profit
- $46,269
- Equity at exit
- $5,517
- IRR
- 98.6%
- Equity multiple
- 11.38×
- Total profit
- $107,579
- Equity at exit
- $3,199
Cash invested: $10,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95963
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,314 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$194
- Tax from tax record
- −$8 /mo · $96/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$276
- Net cashflow
- $821
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $842 | -5% $831 | +0% $821 | +5% $810 | +10% $800 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $717 | -5% $769 | +0% $821 | +5% $873 | +10% $924 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $839 | -0.5pp $830 | base $821 | +0.5pp $811 | +1.0pp $801 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,250
- Closing costs
- $1,110
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $37,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $37,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $37,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $37,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $37,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$37,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $96 · $8/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $281 · $23/mo
- Expected delta
- +$185/yr (+$15/mo · 191.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 36 unhealthy d/yr today · 38 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,769
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,073
- − Property taxes
- −$96
- − Insurance
- −$185
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,262
- − Management
- −$1,262
- − Depreciation
- −$1,076
- Taxable income
- $9,816
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,356
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,492/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orland Joint Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0600045
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,067
- Composite
- 15.77/100
- National rank
- #9273
- State rank
- #476 of 517 in CA
Livability — Orland
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #718
- US rank
- #21367
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,483
Population outlook (Glenn County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 27,468 people
- By 2030
- 27,091 · -1.4%
- By 2040
- 26,437 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 25,768 · -6.2%
- By 2075
- 24,018 · -12.6%
- By 2100
- 21,236 · -22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (52%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 11% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 42%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 4% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 33% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Glenn
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.9) · D 31.2% · R 66.1% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: -22.0pp · 2024: -34.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.9 2020: R+27.2 2016: R+29.0 2012: R+25.5 2008: R+22.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -123.05%
- Current HPI
- 176.5134
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+48.0% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $37,000 CRMLS
- 2024-04-18 Sold (MLS) $38,000 CRMLS
- 2024-04-09 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2024-01-22 Price Changed $39,900 CRMLS
- 2023-12-07 Listed $45,000 CRMLS
- 2022-11-25 Sold (MLS) $43,000 CRMLS
- 2022-11-15 Pending — CRMLS
- 2022-10-26 Price Changed $43,000 CRMLS
- 2022-10-03 Price Changed $47,000 CRMLS
- 2022-09-06 Price Changed $49,500 CRMLS
- 2022-08-17 Listed $54,999 CRMLS
- 2022-01-14 Sold (MLS) $43,000 CRMLS
- 2021-12-09 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2021-11-30 Price Changed $46,500 CRMLS
- 2021-11-13 Price Changed $47,000 CRMLS
- 2021-10-04 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2021-09-28 Pending — CRMLS
- 2021-09-09 Listed $49,500 CRMLS
- 2006-08-15 Sold (MLS) $25,000 CRMLS
- 2006-05-24 Listed $25,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
-8.3%/yrLatest (2025): $96 · -40.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…