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388 Fairway Dr 🏷️ Likely Rental
C+ Composite 61.34
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

388 Fairway Dr · Cadillac, MI 49601
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · Other · 133 Days on market
Built 2004 $68/sqft · 22% below area Est $128k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Well maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath manufactured home located in Pheasant Ridge Manufactured Home Park. This home boasts a very large kitchen with ample storage and generous countertop area for food prep and eat in dining. Large bedrooms with walk in closets. The home features 2 decks with additional storage under each deck. The manufactured home is for sale, no land is included. The monthly rent is $ 475.00 per month and includes road maintenance, trash removal and water.

Key facts

  • Large kitchen
  • Walk in closets
  • Additional storage

Tags

LARGE KITCHENAMPLE STORAGEGENEROUS COUNTERTOP AREAWALK IN CLOSETS2 DECKSADDITIONAL STORAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $99,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$127,683) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $145 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.3% in Cadillac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#312 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Cadillac Area Public Schools (town): math 45% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #120 of 540 in MI (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 225 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 130 units permitted in Wexford County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wexford County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $87,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.05%
Cash-on-cash
6.29%
DSCR
1.28
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$127,683
List price
$99,000
Delta
-22.46%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.6%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-6,770
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
3.0%
Equity multiple
1.22×
Total profit
$6,088
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49601

Home prices YoY
-19.9%
Active inventory
225
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,050 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax est. 1.5%
$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$220
Net cashflow
$145

Break-even live

Break-even rent $866
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $214 -5% $180 +0% $145 +5% $111 +10% $77
Rent -10% $62 -5% $104 +0% $145 +5% $187 +10% $228
Rate -1.0pp $195 -0.5pp $171 base $145 +0.5pp $120 +1.0pp $94

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
314 E Pine St Cadillac, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 44d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,000 Active 133 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 131 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 130 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 129 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 128 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 126 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,000 Active 125 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 122 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 121 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 120 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 119 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,000 Active 116 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 115 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 114 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 113 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 112 DOM
  17. 2026-02-07
    listed $109,000 Active 475-char remark
    Show marketing remark (475 chars)

    Well maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath manufactured home located in Pheasant Ridge Manufactured Home Park. This home boasts a very large kitchen with ample storage and generous countertop area for food prep and eat in dining. Large bedrooms with walk in closets. The home features 2 decks with additional storage under each deck. The manufactured home is for sale, no land is included. The monthly rent is $ 475.00 per month and includes road maintenance, trash removal and water.

  18. 2026-02-06
    listed $109,000 Active 475-char remark
    Show marketing remark (475 chars)

    Well maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath manufactured home located in Pheasant Ridge Manufactured Home Park. This home boasts a very large kitchen with ample storage and generous countertop area for food prep and eat in dining. Large bedrooms with walk in closets. The home features 2 decks with additional storage under each deck. The manufactured home is for sale, no land is included. The monthly rent is $ 475.00 per month and includes road maintenance, trash removal and water.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,600
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$1,485
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,008
− Management
−$1,008
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$178
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$43
After-tax cash flow
$1,701/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cadillac Area Public Schools
NCES district ID
2607590
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,543
Composite
41.12/100
National rank
#3562
State rank
#120 of 540 in MI

Livability — Cadillac

Score
70/100
State rank
#312
US rank
#7631

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cadillac, MI
Population (ZIP)
22,121

Population outlook (Wexford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
32,399 people
By 2030
31,692 · -2.2%
By 2040
29,789 · -8.1%
By 2050
27,473 · -15.2%
By 2075
21,822 · -32.6%
By 2100
15,237 · -53.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 7% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wexford

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.6) · D 32.0% · R 66.6% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-30.4pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -34.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.6 2020: R+34.3 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+16.3 2008: R+4.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -85.43%
Current HPI
344.1577
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-07 Listed $109,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-06 Listed $109,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $65 · -27.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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