🏷️ Likely Rental
388 Fairway Dr · Cadillac, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath manufactured home located in Pheasant Ridge Manufactured Home Park. This home boasts a very large kitchen with ample storage and generous countertop area for food prep and eat in dining. Large bedrooms with walk in closets. The home features 2 decks with additional storage under each deck. The manufactured home is for sale, no land is included. The monthly rent is $ 475.00 per month and includes road maintenance, trash removal and water.
Key facts
- Large kitchen
- Walk in closets
- Additional storage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $145 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.3% in Cadillac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#312 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Cadillac Area Public Schools (town): math 45% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #120 of 540 in MI (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 225 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 130 units permitted in Wexford County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wexford County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.29%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $127,683
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- -22.46%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-6,770
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $6,088
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49601
- Home prices YoY
- -19.9%
- Active inventory
- 225
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,050 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$124 /mo · $1,485/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$220
- Net cashflow
- $145
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $214 | -5% $180 | +0% $145 | +5% $111 | +10% $77 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $62 | -5% $104 | +0% $145 | +5% $187 | +10% $228 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $195 | -0.5pp $171 | base $145 | +0.5pp $120 | +1.0pp $94 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 314 E Pine St Cadillac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 18 events
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2026-06-21days on market $99,000 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 130 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 129 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 128 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 126 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $99,000 Active 125 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 121 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 120 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $99,000 Active 116 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 115 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 114 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 113 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-02-07$109,000 Active 475-char remark
Show marketing remark (475 chars)
Well maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath manufactured home located in Pheasant Ridge Manufactured Home Park. This home boasts a very large kitchen with ample storage and generous countertop area for food prep and eat in dining. Large bedrooms with walk in closets. The home features 2 decks with additional storage under each deck. The manufactured home is for sale, no land is included. The monthly rent is $ 475.00 per month and includes road maintenance, trash removal and water.
-
2026-02-06$109,000 Active 475-char remark
Show marketing remark (475 chars)
Well maintained 3 bedroom, 2 bath manufactured home located in Pheasant Ridge Manufactured Home Park. This home boasts a very large kitchen with ample storage and generous countertop area for food prep and eat in dining. Large bedrooms with walk in closets. The home features 2 decks with additional storage under each deck. The manufactured home is for sale, no land is included. The monthly rent is $ 475.00 per month and includes road maintenance, trash removal and water.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$1,485
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,008
- − Management
- −$1,008
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $178
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$43
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,701/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cadillac Area Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2607590
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,543
- Composite
- 41.12/100
- National rank
- #3562
- State rank
- #120 of 540 in MI
Livability — Cadillac
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #312
- US rank
- #7631
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cadillac, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,121
Population outlook (Wexford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 32,399 people
- By 2030
- 31,692 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 29,789 · -8.1%
- By 2050
- 27,473 · -15.2%
- By 2075
- 21,822 · -32.6%
- By 2100
- 15,237 · -53.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 7% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wexford
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.6) · D 32.0% · R 66.6% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.4pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -34.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.6 2020: R+34.3 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+16.3 2008: R+4.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -85.43%
- Current HPI
- 344.1577
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-07 Listed $109,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-06 Listed $109,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $65 · -27.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…