523 Main St · Ashland, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 9/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Clark county lake
- Built 1910
- Listed 22 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $567 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($937 rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $25k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#149 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Ashland (rural): math 10% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #274 of 280 in KS (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $82 of equity ($173 loan paydown + $-91 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
- Clark County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($25k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 33.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 97.24%
- DSCR
- 5.33
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 99.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.00×
- Total profit
- $34,985
- Equity at exit
- $6,807
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.41×
- Total profit
- $79,848
- Equity at exit
- $7,830
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67831
- Home prices YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 5
- Price-to-rent
- 2.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $937 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$31 /mo · $375/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$197
- Net cashflow
- $567
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $25,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $25,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $25,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $25,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $25,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $25,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $25,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $25,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $25,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $25,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $25,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $25,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $25,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $25,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $25,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-26$25,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,240
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$375
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$899
- − Management
- −$899
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $6,814
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,635
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,171/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ashland
- NCES district ID
- 2003510
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,143
- Composite
- 18.31/100
- National rank
- #14058
- State rank
- #274 of 280 in KS
Livability — Ashland
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #149
- US rank
- #7221
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ashland, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,048
Population outlook (Clark County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,122 people
- By 2030
- 2,164 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 2,352 · +10.8%
- By 2050
- 2,603 · +22.7%
- By 2075
- 3,356 · +58.2%
- By 2100
- 4,087 · +92.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scottish 6% Italian 6% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Clark
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+72.8) · D 12.7% · R 85.5% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -56.2pp · 2024: -72.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+72.8 2020: R+70.8 2016: R+70.7 2012: R+62.0 2008: R+56.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.36%
- Current HPI
- 180.9676
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $25,000 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…