CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
407 Harold King Dr
B+ Composite 77.86
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$99,900

407 Harold King Dr · Benton, KY 42025
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · Other public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1961 7,405 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

AFFORDABLE BENTON LIVING-2 BEDROOM 1 BATH BUNGALOW-FRAME WITH VINYL SIDING WITH BRICK TRIM-UPDATED KITCHEN WITH REAL OAK WOOD CABINETS-SITTING A LEVEL APPROX. 50 X 150 SIZE LOT-WHICH GOES FROM STREET TO STREET FOR FUTURE USE--SERVICED BY BENTON GAS-WATER-SEWER-GARBAGE PICK UP-BENTON ELECTRIC-HAS CABLE & TELEPHONE AVAILABLE-HAS NATURAL GAS PAC HVAC-ELECTRIC HOT WATER HEATER-PRESENT OWNER TOOK UP CARPET AND PUT DOWN VINYL PLANKING IN LIVINGROOM & BEDROOMS-PREVI0US OWNERS SAYS THERE WAS HARDWOOD FOR ORIGINAL FLOORING-ATTACHED 1 CAR CARPORT-BACK YARD IS PERFECT FOR GARDEN SPACE-OUTBUILDING-FENCING FOR PET---$99,900 MLS #136443

Key facts

  • Sitting a level lot
  • Outbuilding
  • Fencing for pet

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENREAL OAK WOOD CABINETSSITTING A LEVEL LOTBACK YARD FOR GARDEN SPACEOUTBUILDINGFENCING FOR PET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $506 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 4.9% in Benton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#171 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Marshall County (rural): math 29% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #73 of 165 in KY (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 178 active listings in the ZIP; 121 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Marshall County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $100k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,903 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.40%
Cap rate
12.37%
Cash-on-cash
21.71%
DSCR
1.97
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
40.5%
Equity multiple
4.10×
Total profit
$86,614
Equity at exit
$89,998
10-year hold
IRR
34.9%
Equity multiple
9.21×
Total profit
$229,646
Equity at exit
$194,084

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 42025

Home prices YoY
7.1%
Active inventory
178
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,404 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $446/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$295
Net cashflow
$506

Break-even live

Break-even rent $763
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $563 -5% $534 +0% $506 +5% $478 +10% $450
Rent -10% $395 -5% $451 +0% $506 +5% $562 +10% $617
Rate -1.0pp $556 -0.5pp $532 base $506 +0.5pp $480 +1.0pp $454

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,900 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,900 Active 48 DOM
  6. 2026-04-12
    listed $99,900 Active 644-char remark
    Show marketing remark (644 chars)

    AFFORDABLE BENTON LIVING-2 BEDROOM 1 BATH BUNGALOW-FRAME WITH VINYL SIDING WITH BRICK TRIM-UPDATED KITCHEN WITH REAL OAK WOOD CABINETS-SITTING A LEVEL APPROX. 50 X 150 SIZE LOT-WHICH GOES FROM STREET TO STREET FOR FUTURE USE--SERVICED BY BENTON GAS-WATER-SEWER-GARBAGE PICK UP-BENTON ELECTRIC-HAS CABLE & TELEPHONE AVAILABLE-HAS NATURAL GAS PAC HVAC-ELECTRIC HOT WATER HEATER-PRESENT OWNER TOOK UP CARPET AND PUT DOWN VINYL PLANKING IN LIVINGROOM & BEDROOMS-PREVI0US OWNERS SAYS THERE WAS HARDWOOD FOR ORIGINAL FLOORING-ATTACHED 1 CAR CARPORT-BACK YARD IS PERFECT FOR GARDEN SPACE-OUTBUILDING-FENCING FOR PET---$99,900 MLS #136443

  7. 2021-10-06
    soldstatus $50,000 476-char remark
    Show marketing remark (476 chars)

    BENTON CITY-2 BEDROOM-1 BATH BUNGALOW WITH CARPORT-SITTING ON A NICE LEVEL LOT OF 50' X 150' THAT APPEARS TO EXTEND TO THE BACK STREET-CONVENIENT FOR PARKING IN THE REAR OR BUILDING A GARAGE WITH ENTRANCE OFF THAT STREET-IT HAS HARDWOOD UNDER CARPET-FEATURES EAT IN KITCHEN-LIVINGROOM-HALL BATH-2 BEDROOMS-UTILITY ROOM THAT COMES IN OFF CARPORT AND GOES INTO KITCHEN-SINGLE CAR CARPORT-EXTERIOR IS VINYL AND BRICK-407 HAROLD KING DR-IMMEDIATE POSSESSION-$79,900.00 MLS #114146

  8. 2021-09-13
    listed $79,900 476-char remark
    Show marketing remark (476 chars)

    BENTON CITY-2 BEDROOM-1 BATH BUNGALOW WITH CARPORT-SITTING ON A NICE LEVEL LOT OF 50' X 150' THAT APPEARS TO EXTEND TO THE BACK STREET-CONVENIENT FOR PARKING IN THE REAR OR BUILDING A GARAGE WITH ENTRANCE OFF THAT STREET-IT HAS HARDWOOD UNDER CARPET-FEATURES EAT IN KITCHEN-LIVINGROOM-HALL BATH-2 BEDROOMS-UTILITY ROOM THAT COMES IN OFF CARPORT AND GOES INTO KITCHEN-SINGLE CAR CARPORT-EXTERIOR IS VINYL AND BRICK-407 HAROLD KING DR-IMMEDIATE POSSESSION-$79,900.00 MLS #114146

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$446 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$859 · $72/mo
Expected delta
+$414/yr (+$34/mo · 92.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,843
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$446
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,347
− Management
−$1,347
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$4,701
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,128
After-tax cash flow
$4,946/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marshall County
NCES district ID
2103810
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$45,324
Composite
28.62/100
National rank
#6710
State rank
#73 of 165 in KY

Livability — Benton

Score
69/100
State rank
#171
US rank
#8655

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Benton, KY
Population (ZIP)
19,238

Population outlook (Marshall County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
30,647 people
By 2030
30,276 · -1.2%
By 2040
29,232 · -4.6%
By 2050
27,940 · -8.8%
By 2075
25,289 · -17.5%
By 2100
21,188 · -30.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marshall

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.7) · D 21.0% · R 77.7% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-32.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.7pp · 2024: -56.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.7 2020: R+52.4 2016: R+51.9 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+24.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 19.11%
Current HPI
288.75
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+25.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-12 Listed $99,900 WKRMLS
  • 2021-10-06 Sold (MLS) $50,000 WKRMLS
  • 2021-09-13 Listed $79,900 WKRMLS

Property tax history

+50.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $446 · -1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…