40 AKA 38 Grange Ave · Yonkers, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.0/30.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$699,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath Colonial, lovingly cared for by the same family for over 50 years. Located in the desirable Colonial Heights neighborhood, this bright and inviting home offers a warm, welcoming atmosphere from the moment you step inside. The main level features a comfortable living room with oversized windows, a spacious dining room, and a large eat-in kitchen. The dining room includes a sliding glass door that opens to a patio and a private, level backyard—ideal for outdoor dining, play, or quiet relaxation. A convenient half bath completes this level. Upstairs, you’ll find three nicely sized bedrooms and a full hall bathroom. The full basement provides ample space for storage, hobbies, or future finishing possibilities. Ideally situated just minutes from Tuckahoe and Bronxville, the home offers easy access to local shopping, popular restaurants, parks, scenic trails, and the Bronx River Parkway. Nearby Cross County and Ridge Hill Shopping Centers provide additional retail and dining options. Close proximity to the Tuckahoe Metro-North Station allows for an easy 30-minute commute to Grand Central Station. This home reflects decades of care and pride of ownership and presents a wonderful opportunity to add your personal touches and make it your own. Don’t miss the chance to begin the next chapter here.
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1963
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $700k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-429 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $624k (10.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $463k (33.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $463k (33.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#528 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A, commute B; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- Yonkers City School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #413 of 590 in NY (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 166 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,633/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($109k/yr) (locally 920% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($637k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.66% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.63%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 12.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $905,851
- List price
- $699,999
- Delta
- -22.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64 Alpine Rd | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,596 (-2%) | 1mo | $615,000 | $385 | 79 |
| 331 Alta Vista Dr | 0.19mi | 3/3.0 | 1,796 (+11%) | 2mo | $900,000 | $501 | 65 |
| 93 Whitman Rd | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,750 (+8%) | 4mo | $786,000 | $449 | 63 |
| 25 Alta Vista Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.5 | 1,569 (-3%) | 6mo | $660,000 | $421 | 62 |
| 21 Norwood Rd | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,788 (+10%) | 2mo | $775,000 | $433 | 60 |
| 572 Scarsdale Rd | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,505 (-7%) | 5mo | $680,000 | $452 | 60 |
| 25 Avondale Rd | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (+5%) | 5mo | $720,000 | $424 | 59 |
| 192 Helena Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,800 (+11%) | 2mo | $725,000 | $403 | 57 |
| 33 Eisenhower Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.5 | 1,437 (-11%) | 6mo | $660,000 | $459 | 53 |
| 60 E Fort Hill Rd | 0.55mi | 3/2.5 | 1,792 (+11%) | 3mo | $870,000 | $485 | 50 |
| 25 Rugby Rd | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,436 (-11%) | 5mo | $770,000 | $536 | 45 |
| 316 Pennsylvania Ave | 0.50mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,804 (+11%) | 6mo | $785,000 | $435 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-141,132
- Equity at exit
- $104,372
- IRR
- -14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-159,648
- Equity at exit
- $60,523
Cash invested: $196,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 5 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Yonkers
- 5 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+20
ZIP-level market 10710
- Active inventory
- 166
- Price-to-rent
- 12.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,633 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,671
- Tax from tax record
- −$126 /mo · $1,516/yr
- Insurance
- −$292
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$973
- Net cashflow
- $-429
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-33 | -5% $-231 | +0% $-429 | +5% $-627 | +10% $-1,661 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-795 | -5% $-612 | +0% $-429 | +5% $-246 | +10% $-63 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-76 | -0.5pp $-251 | base $-429 | +0.5pp $-610 | +1.0pp $-795 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $175,000
- Closing costs
- $21,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Kingwood Rd Scarsdale, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2067 | $7,000 | $3.39 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| Young Pl Tuckahoe, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1936 | $7,500 | $3.87 | 0d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 156 Wallace St Unit 1 Tuckahoe, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $3,300 | $2.54 | 26d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 21 Scarsdale Rd Yonkers, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 835 | $4,600 | $5.51 | 3d | 21 | 1.40mi |
| 42 Glen Rd Eastchester, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $4,300 | $3.58 | 9d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 36 Grand Blvd Unit 2 Scarsdale, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $6,100 | $4.07 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1 Elm St Unit 3B Tuckahoe, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $3,200 | $2.91 | 9d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1 Elm St Unit 3B Tuckahoe, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $3,200 | $2.91 | 12d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 96 Alkamont Ave Scarsdale, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2000 | $3,500 | $1.75 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 109 Hillside Pl Apt 2 Eastchester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1583 | $4,500 | $2.84 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $699,999 Pending 114 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $699,999 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $699,999 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $699,999 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $699,999 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $699,999 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-04-22price $699,999 1377-char remark
Show marketing remark (1377 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath Colonial, lovingly cared for by the same family for over 50 years. Located in the desirable Colonial Heights neighborhood, this bright and inviting home offers a warm, welcoming atmosphere from the moment you step inside. The main level features a comfortable living room with oversized windows, a spacious dining room, and a large eat-in kitchen. The dining room includes a sliding glass door that opens to a patio and a private, level backyard—ideal for outdoor dining, play, or quiet relaxation. A convenient half bath completes this level. Upstairs, you’ll find three nicely sized bedrooms and a full hall bathroom. The full basement provides ample space for storage, hobbies, or future finishing possibilities. Ideally situated just minutes from Tuckahoe and Bronxville, the home offers easy access to local shopping, popular restaurants, parks, scenic trails, and the Bronx River Parkway. Nearby Cross County and Ridge Hill Shopping Centers provide additional retail and dining options. Close proximity to the Tuckahoe Metro-North Station allows for an easy 30-minute commute to Grand Central Station. This home reflects decades of care and pride of ownership and presents a wonderful opportunity to add your personal touches and make it your own. Don’t miss the chance to begin the next chapter here.
-
2026-03-16price $749,000 1377-char remark
Show marketing remark (1377 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath Colonial, lovingly cared for by the same family for over 50 years. Located in the desirable Colonial Heights neighborhood, this bright and inviting home offers a warm, welcoming atmosphere from the moment you step inside. The main level features a comfortable living room with oversized windows, a spacious dining room, and a large eat-in kitchen. The dining room includes a sliding glass door that opens to a patio and a private, level backyard—ideal for outdoor dining, play, or quiet relaxation. A convenient half bath completes this level. Upstairs, you’ll find three nicely sized bedrooms and a full hall bathroom. The full basement provides ample space for storage, hobbies, or future finishing possibilities. Ideally situated just minutes from Tuckahoe and Bronxville, the home offers easy access to local shopping, popular restaurants, parks, scenic trails, and the Bronx River Parkway. Nearby Cross County and Ridge Hill Shopping Centers provide additional retail and dining options. Close proximity to the Tuckahoe Metro-North Station allows for an easy 30-minute commute to Grand Central Station. This home reflects decades of care and pride of ownership and presents a wonderful opportunity to add your personal touches and make it your own. Don’t miss the chance to begin the next chapter here.
-
2026-02-11$799,999 Active 1377-char remark
Show marketing remark (1377 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath Colonial, lovingly cared for by the same family for over 50 years. Located in the desirable Colonial Heights neighborhood, this bright and inviting home offers a warm, welcoming atmosphere from the moment you step inside. The main level features a comfortable living room with oversized windows, a spacious dining room, and a large eat-in kitchen. The dining room includes a sliding glass door that opens to a patio and a private, level backyard—ideal for outdoor dining, play, or quiet relaxation. A convenient half bath completes this level. Upstairs, you’ll find three nicely sized bedrooms and a full hall bathroom. The full basement provides ample space for storage, hobbies, or future finishing possibilities. Ideally situated just minutes from Tuckahoe and Bronxville, the home offers easy access to local shopping, popular restaurants, parks, scenic trails, and the Bronx River Parkway. Nearby Cross County and Ridge Hill Shopping Centers provide additional retail and dining options. Close proximity to the Tuckahoe Metro-North Station allows for an easy 30-minute commute to Grand Central Station. This home reflects decades of care and pride of ownership and presents a wonderful opportunity to add your personal touches and make it your own. Don’t miss the chance to begin the next chapter here.
-
2026-02-06historical $799,999 1377-char remark
Show marketing remark (1377 chars)
Welcome to this well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath Colonial, lovingly cared for by the same family for over 50 years. Located in the desirable Colonial Heights neighborhood, this bright and inviting home offers a warm, welcoming atmosphere from the moment you step inside. The main level features a comfortable living room with oversized windows, a spacious dining room, and a large eat-in kitchen. The dining room includes a sliding glass door that opens to a patio and a private, level backyard—ideal for outdoor dining, play, or quiet relaxation. A convenient half bath completes this level. Upstairs, you’ll find three nicely sized bedrooms and a full hall bathroom. The full basement provides ample space for storage, hobbies, or future finishing possibilities. Ideally situated just minutes from Tuckahoe and Bronxville, the home offers easy access to local shopping, popular restaurants, parks, scenic trails, and the Bronx River Parkway. Nearby Cross County and Ridge Hill Shopping Centers provide additional retail and dining options. Close proximity to the Tuckahoe Metro-North Station allows for an easy 30-minute commute to Grand Central Station. This home reflects decades of care and pride of ownership and presents a wonderful opportunity to add your personal touches and make it your own. Don’t miss the chance to begin the next chapter here.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,516 · $126/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,673 · $556/mo
- Expected delta
- +$5,157/yr (+$430/mo · 340.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $55,595
- − Mortgage interest
- −$39,211
- − Property taxes
- −$1,516
- − Insurance
- −$3,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,448
- − Management
- −$4,448
- − Depreciation
- −$20,364
- Taxable loss
- −$17,890
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,294
- After-tax cash flow
- $-852/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Yonkers City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3631920
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 14.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,042
- Composite
- 41.43/100
- National rank
- #3471
- State rank
- #413 of 590 in NY
Livability — Yonkers
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #528
- US rank
- #9394
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Yonkers, NY
- County
- Westchester County · 709,332 people
- City population
- 212,407
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,855
- Household income
- $108,845
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 920.0
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 39% Hispanic / Latino 30% Black 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 11% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 6% Other Asian/Pacific 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -622.30%
- Current HPI
- 297.1704
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
-12.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $699,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $749,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-11 Listed $799,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-06 Coming Soon $799,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-25.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,516 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…