Multi-family
3334 30th Ave S · Fargo, ND
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,289 – $2,393
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$265,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Great twinhome with massive, fully fenced yard in wonderful South Fargo neighborhood just minutes from schools, shopping, health care, parks, etc!
Key facts
- 5,052 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1998
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $265k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-97 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $248k (6.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (25.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $197k (25.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 2.5% in Fargo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#1 in ND, #605 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Fargo 1 (urban): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #28 of 53 in ND (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ed Clapp Elementary School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #222 of 236 statewide, top 94%, 452 students, 78% FRL); Discovery Middle School (math 49% / reading 55%, grade C+, #3 of 35 statewide, top 12%, 975 students, 26% FRL); Fargo Davies High School (math 34% / reading 45%, grade F, #57 of 144 statewide, top 48%, 1,363 students, 19% FRL) — zoned schools average 41% FRL vs 25% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 213 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,218 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (410 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cass County population projected at +69% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $172k; list at $265k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.56%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-45,233
- Equity at exit
- $39,512
- IRR
- -6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-30,822
- Equity at exit
- $22,912
Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58103
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 213
- Price-to-rent
- 22.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,968 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,390
- Tax from tax record
- −$151 /mo · $1,813/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$413
- Net cashflow
- $-97
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $54 | -5% $-22 | +0% $-97 | +5% $-172 | +10% $-247 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-252 | -5% $-174 | +0% $-97 | +5% $-19 | +10% $59 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $37 | -0.5pp $-29 | base $-97 | +0.5pp $-165 | +1.0pp $-235 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $1,968 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $984 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $984 |
| Total (2 units) | $1,968 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,250
- Closing costs
- $7,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3031 33rd St S Fargo, ND | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1078 | $1,340 | $1.24 | 15d | 3 | 0.09mi |
| 3343 31st Ave S Fargo, ND | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 839 | $905 | $1.08 | 22d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 3100 33rd St S Unit 3120-301 Fargo, ND | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $985 | $0.94 | 15d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 3302 31st Ave S Fargo, ND | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 926 | $1,150 | $1.24 | 15d | 13 | 0.18mi |
| 3140 33rd St S Fargo, ND | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $970 | $1.03 | 15d | 5 | 0.22mi |
| 3504 28th Ave S Fargo, ND | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 22d | 4 | 0.22mi |
| 3161 32nd St S Fargo, ND | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 969 | $1,000 | $1.03 | 15d | 7 | 0.28mi |
| 3301 32nd St S Fargo, ND | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 808 | $1,483 | $1.83 | 15d | 9 | 0.51mi |
| 2701 32nd Ave S Fargo, ND | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $895 | $0.88 | 15d | 3 | 0.58mi |
| 2836 41st St S Fargo, ND | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 965 | $1,480 | $1.53 | 15d | 13 | 0.65mi |
| 2411 30 1/2 Ave S Fargo, ND | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $795 | $1.09 | 15d | 3 | 0.78mi |
| 4045 34th Ave S Fargo, ND | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 886 | $1,265 | $1.43 | 15d | 15 | 0.83mi |
| 3330 42nd St SW Fargo, ND | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1051 | $1,095 | $1.04 | 22d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3510 28th St S Fargo, ND | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 786 | $1,335 | $1.70 | 15d | 10 | 0.91mi |
| 1858 34th St S Fargo, ND | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,135 | $1.26 | 15d | 2 | 0.93mi |
| 4201 33rd Ave S Fargo, ND | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 15d | 2 | 0.93mi |
| 2201 33rd Ave S Fargo, ND | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 812 | $860 | $1.06 | 15d | 9 | 0.95mi |
| 4221 33rd Ave S Fargo, ND | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4231 33rd Ave S Fargo, ND | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1848 39th St SW Fargo, ND | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 964 | $1,665 | $1.73 | 15d | 8 | 1.01mi |
| 1882 39th St S Fargo, ND | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 888 | $1,640 | $1.85 | 15d | 6 | 1.02mi |
| 3200 22nd St S Fargo, ND | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 922 | $1,100 | $1.19 | 15d | 11 | 1.03mi |
| 4251 33rd Ave S Fargo, ND | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $1,115 | $1.14 | 22d | 2 | 1.05mi |
| 1881 39th St SW Fargo, ND | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $1,140 | $1.27 | 15d | 12 | 1.06mi |
| 2601 36th Ave S Fargo, ND | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 941 | $850 | $0.90 | 15d | 8 | 1.06mi |
| 4261 33rd Ave S Fargo, ND | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 22d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4385 Calico Dr S Fargo, ND | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $1,195 | $1.33 | 22d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 4393 Calico Dr S Fargo, ND | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,195 | $1.26 | 22d | 2 | 1.09mi |
| 4281 33rd Ave S Fargo, ND | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $1,165 | $1.19 | 15d | 2 | 1.12mi |
| 4422 30th Ave S Fargo, ND | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 834 | $1,139 | $1.36 | 15d | 3 | 1.12mi |
| 4425 31st Ave S Fargo, ND | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1111 | $1,285 | $1.16 | 15d | 2 | 1.14mi |
| 4389 Calico Dr S Fargo, ND | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 22d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4431 Calico Dr S Fargo, ND | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,195 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2510 36th Ave S Fargo, ND | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 945 | $1,300 | $1.38 | 15d | 18 | 1.16mi |
| 2420 20th Ave S Fargo, ND | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $972 | $1.00 | 15d | 5 | 1.20mi |
| 2000 21st Ave S Fargo, ND | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 639 | $1,045 | $1.63 | 15d | 7 | 1.20mi |
| 1630 34th St S Fargo, ND | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,052 | $0.96 | 22d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1900 21st Ave S Fargo, ND | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 767 | $835 | $1.09 | 15d | 4 | 1.24mi |
| 1810 42nd St S Fargo, ND | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 867 | $1,315 | $1.52 | 15d | 9 | 1.25mi |
| 4161 18th Ave S Fargo, ND | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 777 | $960 | $1.23 | 22d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-04-13status Pending
-
2026-04-10$265,000 Active
-
2016-08-02soldstatus $172,250
-
2016-07-29soldstatus $172,250 146-char remark
Show marketing remark (146 chars)
Great twinhome with massive, fully fenced yard in wonderful South Fargo neighborhood just minutes from schools, shopping, health care, parks, etc!
-
2016-06-03$173,840 146-char remark
Show marketing remark (146 chars)
Great twinhome with massive, fully fenced yard in wonderful South Fargo neighborhood just minutes from schools, shopping, health care, parks, etc!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,813 · $151/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,597 · $216/mo
- Expected delta
- +$784/yr (+$65/mo · 43.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,616
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,844
- − Property taxes
- −$1,813
- − Insurance
- −$1,325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,889
- − Management
- −$1,889
- − Depreciation
- −$7,709
- Taxable loss
- −$5,854
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,405
- After-tax cash flow
- $247/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fargo 1
- NCES district ID
- 3806780
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,524
- Composite
- 36.23/100
- National rank
- #4721
- State rank
- #28 of 53 in ND
Livability — Fargo
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #605
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fargo, ND
- County
- Cass County · 177,143 people
- City population
- 130,876
- Metro
- Fargo, ND-MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,796
- Household income
- $58,801
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1782.0
Population outlook (Cass County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 223,771 people
- By 2030
- 251,835 · +12.5%
- By 2040
- 311,816 · +39.3%
- By 2050
- 378,694 · +69.2%
- By 2075
- 571,386 · +155.3%
- By 2100
- 769,727 · +244.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 12% Two or more races 5% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 23% Swiss 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, India, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Arabic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cass
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.4) · D 44.9% · R 53.3% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -8.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.4 2020: R+2.7 2016: R+10.7 2012: R+3.0 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -143.86%
- Current HPI
- 163.2804
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.95%
- Metro
- Fargo, ND-MN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
+52.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-10 Listed $265,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-08-02 Sold (Public Records) $172,250 Public Records
- 2016-07-29 Sold (MLS) $172,250 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-06-03 Listed $173,840 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,813 · -33.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…