🏷️ Likely Rental
1705 Cherry Ave · Forestdale, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CHARMING ON CHERRY AVENUE! INVESTORS, ARE YOU LOOKING FOR INSTANT CASH-FLOW? This TENANT-OCCUPIED HOME is CURRENTLY LEASED and MUST BE SOLD TO AN INVESTOR WHO WILL HONOR THEIR LEASE due to ALABAMA TENANT LAWS. Great investment property, immediate cash flow, three bedrooms, two bathrooms and located in an area with great interstate access for a short commute to downtown Birmingham.
Key facts
- Room to entertain
- 1.8 acres
- Room to garden
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area approximately 1,520 square feet
- HOA & community: No homeowners association; Subdivision: Forestdale
Exterior
- Parking: Paved/asphalt driveway
- Utilities: Septic tank
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Built in 1925
- Construction: No fireplaces
- Exterior features: Treed lot; Gravel driveway; Covered front porch
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: 7 total rooms; Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $447 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 6.5% in Forestdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#367 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Minor Middle School (math 0% / reading 18%, grade F, #235 of 257 statewide, top 93%, 728 students, 88% FRL); Minor High School (math 4% / reading 8%, grade F, #275 of 305 statewide, top 90%, 915 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 49% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 8% at this address vs 20% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Jefferson County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 115 active listings in the ZIP; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.58%
- DSCR
- 1.78
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $291,840
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 810 Tuscumbia Dr | 0.72mi | 3/3.0 | 2,902 (-4%) | 10mo | $235,000 | $81 | 47 |
| 1457 Miami Dr | 0.64mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,648 (-13%) | 24mo | $254,900 | $96 | 22 |
| 838 Tuscumbia Dr | 0.72mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,592 (-15%) | 19mo | $285,000 | $110 | 17 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $7,533
- Equity at exit
- $16,252
- IRR
- 13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.99×
- Total profit
- $30,343
- Equity at exit
- $9,424
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35214
- Home prices YoY
- -20.0%
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,480 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax from tax record
- −$105 /mo · $1,261/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $447
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $509 | -5% $478 | +0% $447 | +5% $416 | +10% $386 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $330 | -5% $389 | +0% $447 | +5% $506 | +10% $564 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $502 | -0.5pp $475 | base $447 | +0.5pp $419 | +1.0pp $390 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 679-char remark
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $109,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $115,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 656-char remark
-
2026-06-07$115,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,261 · $105/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,261 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,762
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$1,261
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,421
- − Management
- −$1,421
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable income
- $3,838
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$921
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,446/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 0101920
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,712
- Composite
- 18.4/100
- National rank
- #8937
- State rank
- #104 of 129 in AL
Livability — Forestdale
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #367
- US rank
- #21236
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Forestdale, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 17,027
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,027
- Household income
- $56,383
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 578.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% White 18% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.48%
- Current HPI
- 218.5233
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.74%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+162.0% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $115,000 VMLS
- 2024-08-10 Rental Removed $1,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-07-23 Price Changed $1,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-07-14 Price Changed $1,250 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-07-10 Listed for Rent $1,300 TURBOTENANT
- 2023-08-29 Rental Removed $1,300 TURBOTENANT
- 2023-08-17 Listed for Rent $1,300 TURBOTENANT
- 2023-08-11 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2023-07-26 Sold (MLS) $120,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2023-06-29 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2023-05-31 Listed $135,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2022-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $91,500 Public Records
- 2020-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2020-03-31 Sold (MLS) $105,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-02-14 Sold (MLS) $38,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-01-28 Listed $105,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-01-25 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-01-20 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-01-14 Listed $40,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2002-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $43,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,261 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…