110 Elm Ave W · Glen Ullin, ND
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,289 – $2,393
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.7/30.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is a classic older home built in 1906. There are 4 bedrooms on the upper level and 1 on the main floor. There is a full bathroom on the main level and a half bath upstairs. There is an eat-in kitchen, large dining room and living room with a bay window. Main floor laundry. The large basement has a coal/wood supplemental heater. The exterior is stucco and the roof is metal. There is a single car attached garage. Glen Ullin has a lot to offer with the Lake Tschida recreation area for water sports and fishing. There is a 9 hole golf course, motocross track, archery range, and campgrounds. Enjoy the benefits of small town living.
Key facts
- Large dining room
- Main floor laundry
- Large basement
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached garage with 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; 2 stories
- Construction: Block and stone foundation
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Lot roughly 0.2 acres (approx. 85 x 100); Low-density residential zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Has heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Window coverings; Unfinished block basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $155 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#210 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D+, health & safety D+.
- Glen Ullin 48 (rural): math 50% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #74 of 169 in ND (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 94 units permitted in Morton County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.9% local appreciation)).
- Morton County population projected at +48% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (4.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.20%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.91% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $34,654
- Equity at exit
- $61,740
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.13×
- Total profit
- $96,519
- Equity at exit
- $106,065
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58631
- Home prices YoY
- 5.9%
- Active inventory
- 21
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,121 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $628/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$235
- Net cashflow
- $155
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13$110,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $628 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,078 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- +$450/yr (+$38/mo · 71.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,449
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$628
- − Insurance
- −$1,216
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,076
- − Management
- −$1,076
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $91
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$22
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,836/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Glen Ullin 48
- NCES district ID
- 3807830
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▲ 10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,129
- Composite
- 42.48/100
- National rank
- #6881
- State rank
- #74 of 169 in ND
Livability — Glen Ullin
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #210
- US rank
- #14513
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Glen Ullin, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 948
Population outlook (Morton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,682 people
- By 2030
- 39,967 · +9.0%
- By 2040
- 46,921 · +27.9%
- By 2050
- 54,157 · +47.6%
- By 2075
- 73,661 · +100.8%
- By 2100
- 89,885 · +145.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Pacific Islander 2%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 7% Portuguese 6% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · German/W. Germanic 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Morton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.8) · D 22.2% · R 75.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.7pp toward R · 2008: -21.0pp · 2024: -53.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.8 2020: R+50.4 2016: R+53.0 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+21.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.91%
- Current HPI
- 87.7012
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $110,000 Badlands BOR MLS
- 2026-06-11 Listed $110,000 GNMLS
Property tax history
+16.1%/yrLatest (2025): $628 · -12.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…