Duplex
807-809 Butternut St · Syracuse, NY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.8/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
A unique investor special, combining residential rental potential with commercial space. This 2 family property was used for a plumbing business for many years. The main house has a 2 bedroom apartment on each floor, although the first level was originally used as an office and could potentially be used as commercial space with an apartment upstairs. There is also a commercial warehouse in the back which is huge and was used to store plumbing equipment and parts. It has radiant heat in the slab. Enough room to fit 8-10 cars as well as a large parking area in the front yard which also could easily fit an additional 8-10 cars or other business equipment. Come check out this flex space as it has the best of both worlds, residential and commercial income on the same lot.
Key facts
- Commercial warehouse
- Commercial space
- Flex space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.2-bath units multifamily listed at $235k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $567 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $284/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $235k).
- Recommended offer: $207k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
- Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,774/mo this rent would consume 74% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 1437% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $66k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.35%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $505,932
- List price
- $235,000
- Delta
- -53.55%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 318 E Division St | 0.36mi | 4/— | 6,366 (-11%) | 12mo | $285,000 | $45 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.49×
- Total profit
- $164,169
- Equity at exit
- $211,707
- IRR
- 27.5%
- Equity multiple
- 7.92×
- Total profit
- $455,113
- Equity at exit
- $456,553
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13208
- Home prices YoY
- 8.4%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 14.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,774 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$294 /mo · $3,525/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$583
- Net cashflow
- $567
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1.2 | $2,774 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.2 | $1,387 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.2 | $1,387 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,774 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 540 Teall Ave Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 5892 | $1,600 | $0.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $235,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $235,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $235,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $235,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $235,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $235,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $235,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $235,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $235,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $235,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $235,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $235,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $235,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $235,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $235,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $235,000 777-char remark
Show marketing remark (777 chars)
A unique investor special, combining residential rental potential with commercial space. This 2 family property was used for a plumbing business for many years. The main house has a 2 bedroom apartment on each floor, although the first level was originally used as an office and could potentially be used as commercial space with an apartment upstairs. There is also a commercial warehouse in the back which is huge and was used to store plumbing equipment and parts. It has radiant heat in the slab. Enough room to fit 8-10 cars as well as a large parking area in the front yard which also could easily fit an additional 8-10 cars or other business equipment. Come check out this flex space as it has the best of both worlds, residential and commercial income on the same lot.
-
2026-02-17$274,900 Active 777-char remark
Show marketing remark (777 chars)
A unique investor special, combining residential rental potential with commercial space. This 2 family property was used for a plumbing business for many years. The main house has a 2 bedroom apartment on each floor, although the first level was originally used as an office and could potentially be used as commercial space with an apartment upstairs. There is also a commercial warehouse in the back which is huge and was used to store plumbing equipment and parts. It has radiant heat in the slab. Enough room to fit 8-10 cars as well as a large parking area in the front yard which also could easily fit an additional 8-10 cars or other business equipment. Come check out this flex space as it has the best of both worlds, residential and commercial income on the same lot.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,288
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$3,525
- − Insurance
- −$1,175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,663
- − Management
- −$2,663
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable income
- $3,262
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$783
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,026/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This 2-family property requires significant exterior and interior repairs due to ice dams and snow and ice accumulation. Immediate snow and ice removal is necessary for safety and curb appeal. Exterior painting and ice dam removal are high-ROI updates that would significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Ice dams — Ice dams are visible on the roof
- Major Snow and ice removal — Snow and ice are present on the ground and roof
- Major Exterior painting — The exterior is in poor condition
Value-add opportunities
- Both Snow and ice removal — Improves safety and curb appeal
- Both Exterior painting — Enhances curb appeal and property value
- Both Ice dam removal — Prevents water damage and improves property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Ice dams · Ice dams are visible on the roof | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Snow and ice removal · Snow and ice are present on the ground and roof | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exterior painting · The exterior is in poor condition | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $45,000–150,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Snow and ice removal — Improves safety and curb appeal ↑
- Both Exterior painting — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Ice dam removal — Prevents water damage and improves property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Syracuse City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628590
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,097
- Composite
- 17.83/100
- National rank
- #9007
- State rank
- #590 of 590 in NY
Livability — Syracuse
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #2869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Syracuse, NY
- County
- Onondaga County · 247,257 people
- City population
- 152,627
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,993
- Household income
- $44,712
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1437.0
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Black 24% Asian 14% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Swedish 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Vietnam, Philippines, Canada
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Vietnamese 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 30.91%
- Current HPI
- 399.3284
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
-14.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $235,000 CNYIS
- 2026-02-17 Listed $274,900 CNYIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…