1200 Robbie Dr · Irwin, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
AGE ESTIMATED NEWER ROOF, H2O, GRG DOOR PARTIALLY FINISHED GAMEROOM PRIVATE LOT, MUCH POTENTIAL!
Key facts
- Ranch style home
- Workshop
- One level living
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (built-in), 1 parking space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Gas heating (utility)
- Home design: Single-story home; Asphalt roof
- Construction: Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Lot is approximately 0.24 acres; Resale property
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (8x18)
- Bedrooms: Bedroom (main level) 10x12; Bedroom (main level) 8x10
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating
- Interior features: Carpet, hardwood and tile flooring; Full basement; Game room (lower level); Den (lower level)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $105 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 1.8% in Irwin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#122 in PA, #958 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F.
- Norwin SD (suburban): math 60% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #32 of 539 in PA (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 415 units permitted in Westmoreland County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($98k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westmoreland County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $76k; list at $115k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.93%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.15% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-6,705
- Equity at exit
- $17,132
- IRR
- 8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $26,018
- Equity at exit
- $9,934
Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15642
- Rents YoY
- 7.2%
- Active inventory
- 140
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,185 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$180 /mo · $2,162/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$249
- Net cashflow
- $105
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $171 | -5% $138 | +0% $105 | +5% $73 | +10% $40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $12 | -5% $59 | +0% $105 | +5% $152 | +10% $199 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $163 | -0.5pp $135 | base $105 | +0.5pp $76 | +1.0pp $45 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,725
- Closing costs
- $3,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 811 Sherman Ave Irwin, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $1,100 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 811 Sherman Ave Irwin, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 953 | $995 | $1.04 | 17d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 211 Colony Dr Irwin, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,122 | $1.18 | 2d | 1 | 1.11mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $114,900 Pending 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $114,900 Contingent 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $114,900 Contingent 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $114,900 Contingent 5 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 687-char remark
-
2026-06-03$114,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,162 · $180/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,162 · $180/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,219
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,436
- − Property taxes
- −$2,162
- − Insurance
- −$574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,137
- − Management
- −$1,137
- − Depreciation
- −$3,343
- Taxable loss
- −$571
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$137
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,403/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Norwin SD
- NCES district ID
- 4217940
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 76% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,686
- Composite
- 58.86/100
- National rank
- #973
- State rank
- #32 of 539 in PA
Livability — Irwin
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #122
- US rank
- #958
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Westmoreland County · 183,777 people
- City population
- 46,325
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,325
- Household income
- $97,706
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 349.0
Population outlook (Westmoreland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 342,555 people
- By 2030
- 331,717 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 304,976 · -11.0%
- By 2050
- 277,444 · -19.0%
- By 2075
- 224,607 · -34.4%
- By 2100
- 171,084 · -50.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Westmoreland
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+31.3 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+16.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -129.70%
- Current HPI
- 180.8812
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.15%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+55.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $114,900 West Penn MLS
- 1997-07-31 Sold (MLS) $75,800 West Penn MLS
- 1997-05-01 Listed $73,900 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2026): $2,162 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…