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1200 Robbie Dr
C- Composite 53.7
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.9/10.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.3/5.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$114,900

1200 Robbie Dr · Irwin, PA 15642
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,026 sqft · Other public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1958 10,349 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

AGE ESTIMATED NEWER ROOF, H2O, GRG DOOR PARTIALLY FINISHED GAMEROOM PRIVATE LOT, MUCH POTENTIAL!

Key facts

  • Ranch style home
  • Workshop
  • One level living

Tags

RANCH STYLE HOMENORWIN SCHOOL DISTRICTONE LEVEL LIVINGEXPANSIVE LOWER LEVELGAME ROOMWORKSHOP

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (built-in), 1 parking space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Gas heating (utility)
  • Home design: Single-story home; Asphalt roof
  • Construction: Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Lot is approximately 0.24 acres; Resale property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (8x18)
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom (main level) 10x12; Bedroom (main level) 8x10
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating
  • Interior features: Carpet, hardwood and tile flooring; Full basement; Game room (lower level); Den (lower level)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $105 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 1.8% in Irwin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#122 in PA, #958 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F.
  • Norwin SD (suburban): math 60% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #32 of 539 in PA (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 415 units permitted in Westmoreland County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($98k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Westmoreland County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $76k; list at $115k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $114,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
7.39%
Cash-on-cash
3.93%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.15% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.4%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-6,705
Equity at exit
$17,132
10-year hold
IRR
8.8%
Equity multiple
1.81×
Total profit
$26,018
Equity at exit
$9,934

Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15642

Rents YoY
7.2%
Active inventory
140
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,185 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$180 /mo · $2,162/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$249
Net cashflow
$105

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,051
Max offer price $114,900
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $171 -5% $138 +0% $105 +5% $73 +10% $40
Rent -10% $12 -5% $59 +0% $105 +5% $152 +10% $199
Rate -1.0pp $163 -0.5pp $135 base $105 +0.5pp $76 +1.0pp $45

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,725
Closing costs
$3,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
811 Sherman Ave Irwin, PA 2.0 1.0 952 $1,100 $1.16 24d 1 0.54mi
811 Sherman Ave Irwin, PA 2.0 1.0 953 $995 $1.04 17d 1 0.54mi
211 Colony Dr Irwin, PA 2.0 1.0 950 $1,122 $1.18 2d 1 1.11mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $114,900 Pending 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $114,900 Contingent 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $114,900 Contingent 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $114,900 Contingent 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    remarks 687-char remark
  6. 2026-06-03
    listed $114,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,162 · $180/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,162 · $180/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,219
− Mortgage interest
−$6,436
− Property taxes
−$2,162
− Insurance
−$574
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,137
− Management
−$1,137
− Depreciation
−$3,343
Taxable loss
−$571
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$137
After-tax cash flow
$1,403/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Norwin SD
NCES district ID
4217940
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
76% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$62,686
Composite
58.86/100
National rank
#973
State rank
#32 of 539 in PA

Livability — Irwin

Score
83/100
State rank
#122
US rank
#958

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Westmoreland County · 183,777 people
City population
46,325
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
46,325
Household income
$97,706
Rent vs Own
14.8% rent · 85.2% own
Severe rent burden
349.0

Population outlook (Westmoreland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
342,555 people
By 2030
331,717 · -3.2%
By 2040
304,976 · -11.0%
By 2050
277,444 · -19.0%
By 2075
224,607 · -34.4%
By 2100
171,084 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Westmoreland

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-11.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+31.3 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+16.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -129.70%
Current HPI
180.8812
Rent YoY
▲ 7.15%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+55.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $114,900 West Penn MLS
  • 1997-07-31 Sold (MLS) $75,800 West Penn MLS
  • 1997-05-01 Listed $73,900 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,162 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…