18354 N Buckhorn Trl · Maricopa, AZ 85138

$299,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,551 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 114 Days on market

Built 2022 5,176 sqft lot $193/sqft · 13% below area Est $347k · 14% under $75/mo HOA · 4% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +13.6/15.0
• Cash flow +7.6/30.0
• Appreciation +4.6/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.9/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.3/10.0
• 1% rule +1.7/10.0
• DSCR +1.7/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

With a freshly painted interior this single story move in ready home looks and feels BRAND NEW. This home is especially clean and has a spacious layout with 3 bedrooms, window shades, fans in every room and 2 full bathrooms. The kitchen comes equipped with stainless steel appliances and the laundry room includes a washer/dryer as well as a refrigerator. The primary bedroom is bright and roomy, featuring a large en-suite bathroom with a walk-in shower and an oversized walk-in closet. Enjoy relaxing views from the backyard with a view fence overlooking a lush green park. Best of all this home is located within walking distance of Copper Sky Recreation Center with access to pools, fitness center, and a variety of recreational activities.

Key facts

• Walk-in shower
• Spacious layout
• Backyard views

Tags

• FRESHLY PAINTED INTERIOR
• SPACIOUS LAYOUT
• STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES
• WALK-IN SHOWER
• OVERSIZED WALK-IN CLOSET
• BACKYARD VIEWS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-360 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $236k (21.2% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (33.2% below list).
• Recommended offer: $200k (33.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.7% in Maricopa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#28 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Maricopa Unified School District (4441) (town): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #128 of 249 in AZ (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Saddleback Elementary School (math 24% / reading 33%, grade F, #580 of 1,109 statewide, top 53%, 795 students, 56% FRL); Maricopa Wells Middle School (math 13% / reading 23%, grade F, #143 of 218 statewide, top 66%, 934 students, 57% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 862 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-0.9%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($273k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $29k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $200,382 (33.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.67% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.85%
• Cash-on-cash: -5.14%
• DSCR: 0.77
• GRM: 12.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $346,738
• List price: $299,900
• Delta: -13.51%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
18552 N Ibis Way	0.33mi	3/2.0	1,509 (-3%)	3mo	$306,000	$203	78
44357 W Cypress Ln	0.56mi	3/2.0	1,573 (+1%)	1mo	$310,000	$197	70
43871 W Cowpath Rd	0.50mi	3/2.0	1,509 (-3%)	3mo	$260,000	$172	70
42812 W Martie Lynn Rd	0.45mi	3/2.0	1,508 (-3%)	6mo	$299,999	$199	70
42758 W Camino DE Janos --	0.55mi	3/2.0	1,533 (-1%)	4mo	$275,000	$179	69
42549 W Monteverde Dr	0.62mi	3/2.0	1,560 (+1%)	2mo	$323,000	$207	69
43909 W Arizona Ave	0.64mi	3/2.0	1,509 (-3%)	2mo	$190,500	$126	64
43832 W Arizona Ave	0.64mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,533 (-1%)	1mo	$225,000	$147	62
42411 W Arvada Ln	0.73mi	3/2.0	1,561 (+1%)	5mo	$315,000	$202	61
42521 W Monteverde Dr	0.63mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,423 (-8%)	3mo	$250,000	$176	49
42467 W Monteverde Dr	0.67mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,675 (+8%)	2mo	$315,000	$188	49
42514 W Almira Dr	0.74mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,733 (+12%)	2mo	$300,000	$173	39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.89% appreciation · 1.78% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -12.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.45×
• Total profit: $-46,452
• Equity at exit: $74,012

10-year hold

• IRR: -7.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.36×
• Total profit: $-53,880
• Equity at exit: $79,107

Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arizona: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 85138

• Home prices YoY: -0.3%
• Rents YoY: 1.8%
• Active inventory: 862
• Price-to-rent: 12.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,004 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,573
• Tax from tax record: −$170 /mo · $2,041/yr
• Insurance: −$125
• HOA: −$75
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$421
• Net cashflow: $-360

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,459

Max offer price $236,346

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-190	-5% $-275	+0% $-360	+5% $-445	+10% $-530
Rent	-10% $-518	-5% $-439	+0% $-360	+5% $-281	+10% $-201
Rate	-1.0pp $-209	-0.5pp $-283	base $-360	+0.5pp $-437	+1.0pp $-517

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $74,975
• Closing costs: $8,997
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
18283 N Presley Ln Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.5	2156	$2,000	$0.93	26d	1	0.11mi
43760 W Cypress Ln Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	2142	$2,000	$0.93	45d	1	0.20mi
43814 W Cypress Ln Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	2170	$2,095	$0.97	45d	1	0.23mi
43361 W Elizabeth Ave Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1509	$1,795	$1.19	25d	1	0.27mi
43205 W Jeremy St Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1699	$1,800	$1.06	0d	1	0.43mi
42725 W Martie Lynn Rd Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1509	$2,015	$1.34	26d	1	0.48mi
43811 W Elizabeth Ave Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1509	$1,550	$1.03	0d	1	0.54mi
43269 W Arizona Ave Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	1533	$1,695	$1.11	45d	1	0.62mi
42495 W Monteverde Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1484	$2,500	$1.68	45d	1	0.65mi
44170 W Honeycutt Ave Maricopa, AZ	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	913	$1,450	$1.59	0d	1	0.79mi
42584 W Maricopa-Casa Grande Hwy Maricopa, AZ	2.0–4.0	1.0–2.0	1140	$1,723	$1.51	0d	60	0.84mi
18184 N Calacera St Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1603	$1,795	$1.12	18d	1	0.88mi
44900 W Bowlin Rd Maricopa, AZ	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1015	$2,320	$2.28	0d	1	0.89mi
42381 W Mira Ct Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1584	$1,795	$1.13	45d	1	0.90mi
42381 W Mira Ct Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1584	$1,795	$1.13	26d	1	0.90mi
19165 N Ventana Ln Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1440	$1,650	$1.15	26d	1	0.91mi
44928 W Zion Rd Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.5	1875	$1,950	$1.04	45d	1	0.92mi
42275 W Calle St Maricopa, AZ	4.0	3.0	1807	$2,050	$1.13	5d	1	0.94mi
42275 W Calle St Maricopa, AZ	4.0	3.0	1807	$2,050	$1.13	45d	1	0.94mi
43223 W Neely Dr Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	2223	$2,900	$1.30	18d	1	0.94mi
19680 N Ortman Cir Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1975	$1,700	$0.86	4d	1	0.95mi
42246 W Balsa Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1585	$1,679	$1.06	45d	1	0.99mi
43368 W Palmen Dr Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.5	2200	$1,889	$0.86	45d	1	1.01mi
45129 W Desert Cedars Ln Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	1753	$1,875	$1.07	7d	1	1.03mi
44000 W Palo Olmo Rd Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1853	$1,850	$1.00	45d	1	1.04mi
44290 W Neely Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1604	$1,795	$1.12	0d	1	1.07mi
42826 W Darter Dr Maricopa, AZ	2.0	2.0	1596	$1,875	$1.17	26d	1	1.14mi
44124 W Palo Cedro Rd Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1619	$1,595	$0.99	45d	1	1.17mi
45310 W Norris Rd Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1385	$1,649	$1.19	26d	1	1.21mi
45310 W Norris Rd Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1385	$1,539	$1.11	3d	1	1.21mi
17447 N Marina Ave Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1397	$1,595	$1.14	26d	1	1.23mi
45462 W Tulip Ln Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1391	$1,750	$1.26	45d	1	1.26mi
45539 W Sky Ln Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	1831	$1,909	$1.04	4d	1	1.29mi
45556 W Tucker Rd Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	2152	$1,795	$0.83	45d	1	1.29mi
41342 W Capistrano Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.5	2201	$1,800	$0.82	7d	1	1.35mi
19488 N Falcon Ln Maricopa, AZ	4.0	3.0	1836	$2,300	$1.25	13d	1	1.35mi
19696 N Madison Dr Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.5	2219	$3,400	$1.53	26d	1	1.35mi
43332 W Griffis Dr Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	2235	$4,200	$1.88	45d	1	1.37mi
43849 W Kramer Ln Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	1870	$1,895	$1.01	19d	1	1.38mi
41932 W Manderas Ln Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	1553	$1,850	$1.19	26d	1	1.38mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $75 · $900/yr
• Likely covers: poolgym

Listing history 32 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $299,900 Active 114 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $299,900 Active 111 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $299,900 Active 110 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $299,900 Active 109 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $299,900 Active 108 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $299,900 Active 106 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $299,900 Active 105 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   pricestatus $299,900 Active 102 DOM
9. 2026-05-04
   status Pending 744-char remark

   Show marketing remark (744 chars)

   With a freshly painted interior this single story move in ready home looks and feels BRAND NEW. This home is especially clean and has a spacious layout with 3 bedrooms, window shades, fans in every room and 2 full bathrooms. The kitchen comes equipped with stainless steel appliances and the laundry room includes a washer/dryer as well as a refrigerator. The primary bedroom is bright and roomy, featuring a large en-suite bathroom with a walk-in shower and an oversized walk-in closet. Enjoy relaxing views from the backyard with a view fence overlooking a lush green park. Best of all this home is located within walking distance of Copper Sky Recreation Center with access to pools, fitness center, and a variety of recreational activities.

10. 2026-05-04
    price $306,000 744-char remark

    Show marketing remark (744 chars)

    With a freshly painted interior this single story move in ready home looks and feels BRAND NEW. This home is especially clean and has a spacious layout with 3 bedrooms, window shades, fans in every room and 2 full bathrooms. The kitchen comes equipped with stainless steel appliances and the laundry room includes a washer/dryer as well as a refrigerator. The primary bedroom is bright and roomy, featuring a large en-suite bathroom with a walk-in shower and an oversized walk-in closet. Enjoy relaxing views from the backyard with a view fence overlooking a lush green park. Best of all this home is located within walking distance of Copper Sky Recreation Center with access to pools, fitness center, and a variety of recreational activities.

11. 2026-04-22
    price $299,900 744-char remark

    Show marketing remark (744 chars)

    With a freshly painted interior this single story move in ready home looks and feels BRAND NEW. This home is especially clean and has a spacious layout with 3 bedrooms, window shades, fans in every room and 2 full bathrooms. The kitchen comes equipped with stainless steel appliances and the laundry room includes a washer/dryer as well as a refrigerator. The primary bedroom is bright and roomy, featuring a large en-suite bathroom with a walk-in shower and an oversized walk-in closet. Enjoy relaxing views from the backyard with a view fence overlooking a lush green park. Best of all this home is located within walking distance of Copper Sky Recreation Center with access to pools, fitness center, and a variety of recreational activities.

12. 2026-04-08
    price $304,900 744-char remark

    Show marketing remark (744 chars)

    With a freshly painted interior this single story move in ready home looks and feels BRAND NEW. This home is especially clean and has a spacious layout with 3 bedrooms, window shades, fans in every room and 2 full bathrooms. The kitchen comes equipped with stainless steel appliances and the laundry room includes a washer/dryer as well as a refrigerator. The primary bedroom is bright and roomy, featuring a large en-suite bathroom with a walk-in shower and an oversized walk-in closet. Enjoy relaxing views from the backyard with a view fence overlooking a lush green park. Best of all this home is located within walking distance of Copper Sky Recreation Center with access to pools, fitness center, and a variety of recreational activities.

13. 2026-03-25
    price $307,900 744-char remark

    Show marketing remark (744 chars)

    With a freshly painted interior this single story move in ready home looks and feels BRAND NEW. This home is especially clean and has a spacious layout with 3 bedrooms, window shades, fans in every room and 2 full bathrooms. The kitchen comes equipped with stainless steel appliances and the laundry room includes a washer/dryer as well as a refrigerator. The primary bedroom is bright and roomy, featuring a large en-suite bathroom with a walk-in shower and an oversized walk-in closet. Enjoy relaxing views from the backyard with a view fence overlooking a lush green park. Best of all this home is located within walking distance of Copper Sky Recreation Center with access to pools, fitness center, and a variety of recreational activities.

14. 2026-03-12
    price $309,900 744-char remark

    Show marketing remark (744 chars)

    With a freshly painted interior this single story move in ready home looks and feels BRAND NEW. This home is especially clean and has a spacious layout with 3 bedrooms, window shades, fans in every room and 2 full bathrooms. The kitchen comes equipped with stainless steel appliances and the laundry room includes a washer/dryer as well as a refrigerator. The primary bedroom is bright and roomy, featuring a large en-suite bathroom with a walk-in shower and an oversized walk-in closet. Enjoy relaxing views from the backyard with a view fence overlooking a lush green park. Best of all this home is located within walking distance of Copper Sky Recreation Center with access to pools, fitness center, and a variety of recreational activities.

15. 2026-02-26
    price $314,000 744-char remark

    Show marketing remark (744 chars)

    With a freshly painted interior this single story move in ready home looks and feels BRAND NEW. This home is especially clean and has a spacious layout with 3 bedrooms, window shades, fans in every room and 2 full bathrooms. The kitchen comes equipped with stainless steel appliances and the laundry room includes a washer/dryer as well as a refrigerator. The primary bedroom is bright and roomy, featuring a large en-suite bathroom with a walk-in shower and an oversized walk-in closet. Enjoy relaxing views from the backyard with a view fence overlooking a lush green park. Best of all this home is located within walking distance of Copper Sky Recreation Center with access to pools, fitness center, and a variety of recreational activities.

16. 2026-02-12
    price $319,000 744-char remark

    Show marketing remark (744 chars)

    With a freshly painted interior this single story move in ready home looks and feels BRAND NEW. This home is especially clean and has a spacious layout with 3 bedrooms, window shades, fans in every room and 2 full bathrooms. The kitchen comes equipped with stainless steel appliances and the laundry room includes a washer/dryer as well as a refrigerator. The primary bedroom is bright and roomy, featuring a large en-suite bathroom with a walk-in shower and an oversized walk-in closet. Enjoy relaxing views from the backyard with a view fence overlooking a lush green park. Best of all this home is located within walking distance of Copper Sky Recreation Center with access to pools, fitness center, and a variety of recreational activities.

17. 2026-02-04
    price $324,000 744-char remark

    Show marketing remark (744 chars)

    With a freshly painted interior this single story move in ready home looks and feels BRAND NEW. This home is especially clean and has a spacious layout with 3 bedrooms, window shades, fans in every room and 2 full bathrooms. The kitchen comes equipped with stainless steel appliances and the laundry room includes a washer/dryer as well as a refrigerator. The primary bedroom is bright and roomy, featuring a large en-suite bathroom with a walk-in shower and an oversized walk-in closet. Enjoy relaxing views from the backyard with a view fence overlooking a lush green park. Best of all this home is located within walking distance of Copper Sky Recreation Center with access to pools, fitness center, and a variety of recreational activities.

18. 2026-01-22
    listed $329,000 Active 744-char remark

    Show marketing remark (744 chars)

    With a freshly painted interior this single story move in ready home looks and feels BRAND NEW. This home is especially clean and has a spacious layout with 3 bedrooms, window shades, fans in every room and 2 full bathrooms. The kitchen comes equipped with stainless steel appliances and the laundry room includes a washer/dryer as well as a refrigerator. The primary bedroom is bright and roomy, featuring a large en-suite bathroom with a walk-in shower and an oversized walk-in closet. Enjoy relaxing views from the backyard with a view fence overlooking a lush green park. Best of all this home is located within walking distance of Copper Sky Recreation Center with access to pools, fitness center, and a variety of recreational activities.

19. 2025-12-12
    historical $1,650
20. 2025-10-30
    price $1,650
21. 2025-08-19
    price $1,750
22. 2025-08-15
    listed $1,800
23. 2025-08-15
    historical $1,800
24. 2025-08-12
    price $1,800
25. 2025-06-05
    listed $1,850
26. 2023-04-12
    soldstatus $302,090 Closed 332-char remark

    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    Available for sale today with a closing of escrow within 30 days. This Verbena floor plan is a single story with 3 bedrooms and an actual dining area. This home has the grey interior color scheme with a two-tone exterior and front yard landscaping included. Very close to Copper Sky Community Center, grocery stores and restaurants.

27. 2023-03-14
    status Pending 332-char remark

    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    Available for sale today with a closing of escrow within 30 days. This Verbena floor plan is a single story with 3 bedrooms and an actual dining area. This home has the grey interior color scheme with a two-tone exterior and front yard landscaping included. Very close to Copper Sky Community Center, grocery stores and restaurants.

28. 2023-03-02
    price $319,990 332-char remark

    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    Available for sale today with a closing of escrow within 30 days. This Verbena floor plan is a single story with 3 bedrooms and an actual dining area. This home has the grey interior color scheme with a two-tone exterior and front yard landscaping included. Very close to Copper Sky Community Center, grocery stores and restaurants.

29. 2023-01-17
    price $324,990 332-char remark

    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    Available for sale today with a closing of escrow within 30 days. This Verbena floor plan is a single story with 3 bedrooms and an actual dining area. This home has the grey interior color scheme with a two-tone exterior and front yard landscaping included. Very close to Copper Sky Community Center, grocery stores and restaurants.

30. 2022-12-28
    listed $334,990 Active 332-char remark

    Show marketing remark (332 chars)

    Available for sale today with a closing of escrow within 30 days. This Verbena floor plan is a single story with 3 bedrooms and an actual dining area. This home has the grey interior color scheme with a two-tone exterior and front yard landscaping included. Very close to Copper Sky Community Center, grocery stores and restaurants.

31. 2021-05-05
    soldstatus $2,150,000
32. 2012-07-02
    soldstatus $4,600,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,041 · $170/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,041 · $170/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 22% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 8 d/yr ≥114°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,046
• − Mortgage interest: −$16,799
• − Property taxes: −$2,041
• − Insurance: −$1,500
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,924
• − Management: −$1,924
• − HOA: −$900
• − Depreciation: −$8,724
• Taxable loss: −$9,766
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,344
• After-tax cash flow: $-1,973/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Maricopa Unified School District (4441)
• NCES district ID: 0404720
• Math proficiency: 20% ▼ -18.00%
• Reading proficiency: 29% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $63,725
• Composite: 22.92/100
• National rank: #7993
• State rank: #128 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Maricopa

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #28
• US rank: #5943

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime B+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Maricopa, AZ
• County: Pinal County · 399,947 people
• City population: 76,044
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• Population (ZIP): 55,260
• Household income: $95,867
• Rent vs Own: 17.7% rent · 82.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 432.0

Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 437,574 people
• By 2030: 446,903 · +2.1%
• By 2040: 452,589 · +3.4%
• By 2050: 444,126 · +1.5%
• By 2075: 430,300 · -1.7%
• By 2100: 393,536 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
• Race & ethnicity: White 45% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 17% Black 13% Native American 3% Asian 3% Pacific Islander 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 26% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada
• Languages at home: 79% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinal

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -0.89%
• Current HPI: 258.1461
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.78%
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.54%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	2	$13B
▸Mining / Metals	1	$23B
▸Environmental Services	1	$16B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$14B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$9B
▸Homebuilding	1	$8B

Price history

-93.3% since first listed

24 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-04 Pending — ARMLS
• 2026-05-04 Price Changed $306,000 ARMLS
• 2026-04-22 Price Changed $299,900 ARMLS
• 2026-04-08 Price Changed $304,900 ARMLS
• 2026-03-25 Price Changed $307,900 ARMLS
• 2026-03-12 Price Changed $309,900 ARMLS
• 2026-02-26 Price Changed $314,000 ARMLS
• 2026-02-12 Price Changed $319,000 ARMLS
• 2026-02-04 Price Changed $324,000 ARMLS
• 2026-01-22 Listed $329,000 ARMLS
• 2025-12-12 Rental Removed $1,650 ARMLS
• 2025-10-30 Price Changed $1,650 ARMLS
• 2025-08-19 Price Changed $1,750 ARMLS
• 2025-08-15 Listed for Rent $1,800 ARMLS
• 2025-08-15 Rental Removed $1,800 TENANTTURNER2
• 2025-08-12 Price Changed $1,800 TENANTTURNER2
• 2025-06-05 Listed for Rent $1,850 TENANTTURNER2
• 2023-04-12 Sold (MLS) $302,090 ARMLS
• 2023-03-14 Pending — ARMLS
• 2023-03-02 Price Changed $319,990 ARMLS
• 2023-01-17 Price Changed $324,990 ARMLS
• 2022-12-28 Listed $334,990 ARMLS
• 2021-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $2,150,000 Public Records
• 2012-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $4,600,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+44.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,041 · -1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.