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3158 Hickory St
C Composite 59.7
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.9/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,800

3158 Hickory St · Inkster, MI 48141
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1953 3,920 sqft lot $82/sqft · 23% above area Est $73k · 23% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Fully remodeled 3-bedroom, 1-bath home at This move-in ready property features updated flooring, fresh paint, and a modern kitchenn , new plumbing and a new furnace Bright living spaces and a spacious yard make it perfect for comfortable living or investment. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and major roads--don't miss this great opportunity! priced to sell

Key facts

  • Remodeled
  • New furnace
  • New plumbing

Tags

REMODELEDUPDATED FLOORINGFRESH PAINTMODERN KITCHENNEW PLUMBINGNEW FURNACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $303 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#406 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
  • Taylor School District (urban): math 14% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #462 of 540 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 142 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $621 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 9 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $16k; list at $90k implies a 461% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $89,800

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.57%
Cap rate
10.34%
Cash-on-cash
14.47%
DSCR
1.64
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$72,725
List price
$89,800
Delta
23.62%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3543 Spring Hill Ave 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,097 (-0%) 3mo $108,000 $98 79
3135 Harrison St 0.14mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,049 (-5%) 4mo $47,000 $45 78
3579 Ash St 0.27mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,050 (-4%) 1mo $140,000 $133 74
3033 Williams St 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,200 (+9%) 3mo $120,000 $100 74
3514 Spruce St 0.21mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,148 (+4%) 7mo $71,000 $62 72
3829 Walnut St 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,070 (-3%) 2mo $128,000 $120 72
4005 Moore St 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,100 (0%) 2mo $46,000 $42 71
27018 Kitch St 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,112 (+1%) 7mo $116,000 $104 62
2500 Weithoff Ct 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,050 (-4%) 3mo $125,000 $119 61
4135 Allen St 0.70mi 3/1.0 972 (-12%) 1mo $40,000 $41 47
27848 Rosewood St 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-9%) 7mo $127,000 $127 46
1909 Justine St 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,256 (+14%) 6mo $38,000 $30 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.9%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$4,827
Equity at exit
$13,389
10-year hold
IRR
14.4%
Equity multiple
2.17×
Total profit
$29,338
Equity at exit
$7,764

Cash invested: $25,144 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48141

Home prices YoY
-2.9%
Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
142
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,409 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$471
Tax from tax record
$302 /mo · $3,620/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$296
Net cashflow
$303

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,025
Max offer price $89,800
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,450
Closing costs
$2,694
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3236 Walnut St Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 1096 $1,495 $1.36 2d 1 0.12mi
27139 Penn St Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 832 $675 $0.81 17d 1 0.59mi
4080 Isabelle St Inkster, MI 4.0 1.0 975 $1,150 $1.18 14d 1 0.67mi
4167 Isabelle St Inkster, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,295 $1.44 17d 1 0.72mi
4301 Harriet St Unit A-1 Inkster, MI 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,300 $1.30 43d 1 0.75mi
26742 Penn St Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 16d 1 0.80mi
26707 Penn St Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,400 $1.56 4d 1 0.83mi
1150 Magnolia Dr Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 24d 1 1.02mi
27184 Lucerne Dr Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 43d 1 1.10mi
29971 Brooklane St Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 974 $1,450 $1.49 43d 1 1.11mi
26382 Colgate St Inkster, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $935 $1.10 24d 1 1.11mi
29203 Oakwood St Inkster, MI 3.0 1.5 912 $1,600 $1.75 1d 1 1.20mi
26159 Stanford St Inkster, MI 4.0 1.0 1056 $1,350 $1.28 4d 1 1.32mi
30010 Hazelwood St Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 1044 $1,300 $1.25 43d 1 1.34mi
29800 Oakwood St Inkster, MI 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,400 $1.35 12d 1 1.36mi
26274 McDonald St Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.0 1365 $1,575 $1.15 1d 1 1.39mi
25745 Princeton St Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,500 $1.39 10d 1 1.41mi
26089 Lehigh St Inkster, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,295 $1.44 17d 1 1.42mi
25722 Carlysle St Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,450 $1.39 17d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    pricedays on market $89,800 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,900 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,900 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,900 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,900 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-05-13
    price $89,900 371-char remark
  7. 2026-05-13
    price $89,900 371-char remark
  8. 2026-05-13
    price $89,900
  9. 2026-04-16
    price $99,900 371-char remark
  10. 2026-04-16
    price $99,900 371-char remark
  11. 2026-04-16
    price $99,900
  12. 2026-04-09
    listed $104,900 Active 371-char remark
  13. 2026-04-09
    listed $104,900 Active
  14. 2026-04-09
    listed $104,900 Active 371-char remark
  15. 2026-04-09
    historical $104,900 371-char remark
  16. 2026-04-09
    historical $104,900
  17. 2026-04-07
    historical
  18. 2026-04-07
    historical
  19. 2026-03-23
    listed $119,900 Active
  20. 2026-03-23
    listed $119,900 Active
  21. 2018-03-27
    soldstatus $16,000 Sold
  22. 2018-03-27
    soldstatus $16,000 Closed
  23. 2018-03-24
    status Pending
  24. 2018-03-24
    status Pending
  25. 2018-03-23
    listed $16,000 Active
  26. 2018-03-23
    listed $16,000 Active
  27. 2007-12-02
    historical
  28. 2007-01-02
    listed $2,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,620 · $302/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,620 · $302/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,909
− Mortgage interest
−$5,030
− Property taxes
−$3,620
− Insurance
−$449
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,353
− Management
−$1,353
− Depreciation
−$2,612
Taxable income
$2,492
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$598
After-tax cash flow
$3,040/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Taylor School District
NCES district ID
2633540
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,062
Composite
17.62/100
National rank
#9034
State rank
#462 of 540 in MI

Livability — Inkster

Score
67/100
State rank
#406
US rank
#11087

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Inkster, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
25,428
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
25,428
Household income
$39,252
Rent vs Own
53.2% rent · 46.8% own
Severe rent burden
1558.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (72%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 72% White 17% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Arabic 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -11.74%
Current HPI
390.2139
Rent YoY
▲ 2.95%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2996.6% since first listed
30 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-05 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-03 Price Changed $89,800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-03 Price Changed $89,800 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-03 Price Changed $89,800 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-29 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-29 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $89,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $89,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $89,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $89,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $99,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $99,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $99,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $104,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $104,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Coming Soon MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-07 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $119,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-03-27 Sold (MLS) $16,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-03-27 Sold (MLS) $16,000 REALCOMP
  • 2018-03-24 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-03-24 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2018-03-23 Listed $16,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-03-23 Listed $16,000 REALCOMP
  • 2007-12-02 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2007-01-02 Listed $2,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,620 · +11.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…