17234 SW Eldorado Dr · King City, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$118,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
TURN KEY! This 2019 home offers the peace of mind that comes with recent construction, allowing you to move in and start enjoying the lifestyle immediately. Located within the ElDorado Villas 55+ community, this property combines the ease of a newer build with a location that puts everything you need within reach.The 960 square foot interior is defined by an open, light filled atmosphere that feels both spacious and inviting. With two bedrooms and a layout designed for flow, the home is as functional as it is bright. A standout feature is the private, fenced backyard, which is a rare find that provides a dedicated space for pets or a personal garden. You can enjoy your morning coffee on the covered patio or take advantage of the convenience provided by the attached covered carport.Living in ElDorado Villas means more than just a home, it is about the amenities. The community features scenic walking paths, a refreshing pool, a fitness center, and social spaces for billiards and activities. The monthly space rent is $1,257 (water is billed separately and sewer is bi-monthly), which includes access to all community facilities. You are also perfectly positioned near Trader Joe's, major shopping hubs, and easy freeway access for effortless commuting.This is a rare opportunity to secure a nearly new residence in an active, welcoming environment.
Key facts
- Fitness center
- Covered carport
- Scenic walking paths
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $591 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
- Recommended offer: $105k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 2.7% in King City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#24 in OR, #539 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Tigard-Tualatin SD 23J (suburban): math 47% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #6 of 58 in OR (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 412 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,224 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $822 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 278 days — a 12% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 278 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.29%
- DSCR
- 1.95
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $65,696
- List price
- $118,900
- Delta
- 80.99%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17003 SW Eldorado Dr | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (0%) | 10mo | $65,000 | $68 | 83 |
| 17156 SW Eldorado Dr #90 | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (0%) | 19mo | $30,000 | $31 | 74 |
| 12450 SW Fischer Rd #143 | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (0%) | 18mo | $60,000 | $63 | 74 |
| 18485 SW Pacific Dr #44 | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 972 (+1%) | 3mo | $91,000 | $94 | 68 |
| 17181 SW Eldorado Dr | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (-10%) | 10mo | $14,500 | $17 | 67 |
| 17175 SW Eldorado Dr #99 | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 888 (-8%) | 18mo | $25,000 | $28 | 65 |
| 11526 SW Royal Villa Dr | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (0%) | 2mo | $25,000 | $26 | 61 |
| 11550 SW Royal Villa Dr | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 | 968 (+1%) | 11mo | $145,000 | $150 | 52 |
| 11552 SW Royal Villa Dr | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (0%) | 21mo | $22,000 | $23 | 44 |
| 18485 SW Pacific Dr #69 | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 | 1,104 (+15%) | 1mo | $68,000 | $62 | 42 |
| 11489 SW Royal Villa Dr #196 | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 | 1,080 (+12%) | 10mo | $73,000 | $68 | 34 |
| 11449 SW Royal Villa Dr | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 | 1,088 (+13%) | 20mo | $99,500 | $91 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $13,146
- Equity at exit
- $17,728
- IRR
- 16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $39,756
- Equity at exit
- $10,280
Cash invested: $33,292 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97224
- Rents YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 412
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,788 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$149 /mo · $1,784/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$375
- Net cashflow
- $591
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,725
- Closing costs
- $3,567
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16849 SW 131st Ave Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $1,950 | $1.90 | 14d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 16901 SW 132nd Ter Unit 16915 B Tigard, OR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 714 | $1,695 | $2.37 | 4d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 13060 SW Dickson St Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1108 | $1,850 | $1.67 | 43d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 16444 SW 130th Ter King City, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1002 | $1,695 | $1.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 17865 SW Pacific Hwy Tualatin, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 970 | $1,970 | $2.03 | 1d | 13 | 0.37mi |
| 12070 SW Fischer Rd Portland, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $1,812 | $1.96 | 1d | 9 | 0.40mi |
| 17000 SW Pacific Hwy Portland, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 684 | $1,575 | $2.30 | 43d | 3 | 0.58mi |
| 11865 SW Tualatin Rd Tualatin, OR | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1154 | $1,697 | $1.47 | 1d | 19 | 0.60mi |
| 10900 SW Gaarde St Portland, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,525 | $1.85 | 7d | 4 | 0.64mi |
| 10900 SW Gaarde St Unit 273-16 Tigard, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,575 | $1.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 17979 SW 115th Ave Unit 6 Tualatin, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1064 | $1,625 | $1.53 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 17987 SW 115th Ave Unit 1 Tualatin, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,475 | $1.64 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 17989 SW 115th Ave Tualatin, OR | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 982 | $1,550 | $1.58 | 23d | 2 | 0.76mi |
| 13830 SW Chinn Ln Portland, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 839 | $1,724 | $2.05 | 3d | 11 | 0.78mi |
| 14495 SW Beef Bend Rd Portland, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 845 | $1,925 | $2.28 | 4d | 12 | 0.89mi |
| 11773 SW King George Dr King City, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 826 | $2,500 | $3.03 | 11d | 7 | 1.10mi |
| 16055 SW 108th Ave Tigard, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 852 | $1,940 | $2.28 | 7d | 9 | 1.17mi |
| 11545 SW Beef Bend Rd Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 935 | $1,514 | $1.62 | 2d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 11390 SW Naeve St Tigard, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 893 | $2,119 | $2.37 | 3d | 5 | 1.31mi |
| 15199 SW Royalty Pkwy Portland, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 884 | $1,805 | $2.04 | 1d | 12 | 1.36mi |
| 11430 SW Bull Mountain Rd Tigard, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 986 | $1,970 | $2.00 | 3d | 6 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $118,900 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $118,900 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $118,900 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $118,900 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $118,900 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $118,900 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $118,900 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $119,900 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-04-09price $119,900 1361-char remark
Show marketing remark (1361 chars)
TURN KEY! This 2019 home offers the peace of mind that comes with recent construction, allowing you to move in and start enjoying the lifestyle immediately. Located within the ElDorado Villas 55+ community, this property combines the ease of a newer build with a location that puts everything you need within reach.The 960 square foot interior is defined by an open, light filled atmosphere that feels both spacious and inviting. With two bedrooms and a layout designed for flow, the home is as functional as it is bright. A standout feature is the private, fenced backyard, which is a rare find that provides a dedicated space for pets or a personal garden. You can enjoy your morning coffee on the covered patio or take advantage of the convenience provided by the attached covered carport.Living in ElDorado Villas means more than just a home, it is about the amenities. The community features scenic walking paths, a refreshing pool, a fitness center, and social spaces for billiards and activities. The monthly space rent is $1,257 (water is billed separately and sewer is bi-monthly), which includes access to all community facilities. You are also perfectly positioned near Trader Joe's, major shopping hubs, and easy freeway access for effortless commuting.This is a rare opportunity to secure a nearly new residence in an active, welcoming environment.
-
2026-02-19price $123,900 1361-char remark
Show marketing remark (1361 chars)
TURN KEY! This 2019 home offers the peace of mind that comes with recent construction, allowing you to move in and start enjoying the lifestyle immediately. Located within the ElDorado Villas 55+ community, this property combines the ease of a newer build with a location that puts everything you need within reach.The 960 square foot interior is defined by an open, light filled atmosphere that feels both spacious and inviting. With two bedrooms and a layout designed for flow, the home is as functional as it is bright. A standout feature is the private, fenced backyard, which is a rare find that provides a dedicated space for pets or a personal garden. You can enjoy your morning coffee on the covered patio or take advantage of the convenience provided by the attached covered carport.Living in ElDorado Villas means more than just a home, it is about the amenities. The community features scenic walking paths, a refreshing pool, a fitness center, and social spaces for billiards and activities. The monthly space rent is $1,257 (water is billed separately and sewer is bi-monthly), which includes access to all community facilities. You are also perfectly positioned near Trader Joe's, major shopping hubs, and easy freeway access for effortless commuting.This is a rare opportunity to secure a nearly new residence in an active, welcoming environment.
-
2026-01-03price $124,900 1361-char remark
Show marketing remark (1361 chars)
TURN KEY! This 2019 home offers the peace of mind that comes with recent construction, allowing you to move in and start enjoying the lifestyle immediately. Located within the ElDorado Villas 55+ community, this property combines the ease of a newer build with a location that puts everything you need within reach.The 960 square foot interior is defined by an open, light filled atmosphere that feels both spacious and inviting. With two bedrooms and a layout designed for flow, the home is as functional as it is bright. A standout feature is the private, fenced backyard, which is a rare find that provides a dedicated space for pets or a personal garden. You can enjoy your morning coffee on the covered patio or take advantage of the convenience provided by the attached covered carport.Living in ElDorado Villas means more than just a home, it is about the amenities. The community features scenic walking paths, a refreshing pool, a fitness center, and social spaces for billiards and activities. The monthly space rent is $1,257 (water is billed separately and sewer is bi-monthly), which includes access to all community facilities. You are also perfectly positioned near Trader Joe's, major shopping hubs, and easy freeway access for effortless commuting.This is a rare opportunity to secure a nearly new residence in an active, welcoming environment.
-
2025-10-12price $129,900 1361-char remark
Show marketing remark (1361 chars)
TURN KEY! This 2019 home offers the peace of mind that comes with recent construction, allowing you to move in and start enjoying the lifestyle immediately. Located within the ElDorado Villas 55+ community, this property combines the ease of a newer build with a location that puts everything you need within reach.The 960 square foot interior is defined by an open, light filled atmosphere that feels both spacious and inviting. With two bedrooms and a layout designed for flow, the home is as functional as it is bright. A standout feature is the private, fenced backyard, which is a rare find that provides a dedicated space for pets or a personal garden. You can enjoy your morning coffee on the covered patio or take advantage of the convenience provided by the attached covered carport.Living in ElDorado Villas means more than just a home, it is about the amenities. The community features scenic walking paths, a refreshing pool, a fitness center, and social spaces for billiards and activities. The monthly space rent is $1,257 (water is billed separately and sewer is bi-monthly), which includes access to all community facilities. You are also perfectly positioned near Trader Joe's, major shopping hubs, and easy freeway access for effortless commuting.This is a rare opportunity to secure a nearly new residence in an active, welcoming environment.
-
2025-09-13$133,000 Active 1361-char remark
Show marketing remark (1361 chars)
TURN KEY! This 2019 home offers the peace of mind that comes with recent construction, allowing you to move in and start enjoying the lifestyle immediately. Located within the ElDorado Villas 55+ community, this property combines the ease of a newer build with a location that puts everything you need within reach.The 960 square foot interior is defined by an open, light filled atmosphere that feels both spacious and inviting. With two bedrooms and a layout designed for flow, the home is as functional as it is bright. A standout feature is the private, fenced backyard, which is a rare find that provides a dedicated space for pets or a personal garden. You can enjoy your morning coffee on the covered patio or take advantage of the convenience provided by the attached covered carport.Living in ElDorado Villas means more than just a home, it is about the amenities. The community features scenic walking paths, a refreshing pool, a fitness center, and social spaces for billiards and activities. The monthly space rent is $1,257 (water is billed separately and sewer is bi-monthly), which includes access to all community facilities. You are also perfectly positioned near Trader Joe's, major shopping hubs, and easy freeway access for effortless commuting.This is a rare opportunity to secure a nearly new residence in an active, welcoming environment.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,455
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,660
- − Property taxes
- −$1,784
- − Insurance
- −$594
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,716
- − Management
- −$1,716
- − Depreciation
- −$3,459
- Taxable income
- $5,525
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,326
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,763/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tigard-Tualatin SD 23J
- NCES district ID
- 4112240
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,739
- Composite
- 48.72/100
- National rank
- #2100
- State rank
- #6 of 58 in OR
Livability — King City
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #539
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Washington County · 583,254 people
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,569
- Household income
- $98,125
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1468.0
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 674,042 people
- By 2030
- 721,804 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 812,732 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 895,143 · +32.8%
- By 2075
- 1,058,806 · +57.1%
- By 2100
- 1,131,692 · +67.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 8% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 3% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+34.0) · D 65.3% · R 31.3% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.8pp toward D · 2008: 22.1pp · 2024: 34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+34.0 2020: D+34.6 2016: D+26.7 2012: D+17.5 2008: D+22.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -287.40%
- Current HPI
- 277.57
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.38%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
-9.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $119,900 RMLS
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $123,900 RMLS
- 2026-01-03 Price Changed $124,900 RMLS
- 2025-10-12 Price Changed $129,900 RMLS
- 2025-09-13 Listed $133,000 RMLS
Property tax history
-29.0%/yrLatest (2015): $15 · +150.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…