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4102 Des Prez Ct 🌊 Lakefront
B- Composite 69.34
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

4102 Des Prez Ct · Hernando Beach, FL 34607
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,364 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1973 10,000 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Property is currently in the process of a short sale. All offers are subject to bank approval. Double Lot with Direct Access to the Gulf of Mexico. Withlacoochee River Electric and Hernando County Water/Sewer on site. Home was affected by Hurricane Helene. This double lot has a 100 ft concrete seawall and boat dock for your fishing/boating pleasures. This property was affected by the Hurricanes and is being sold for the value of the improved land giving you a blank slate that offers easy access to boating and fishing in the Gulf. This is a double lot measuring 100x100 sq ft. Plenty of room for your dream home and a pool.

Key facts

  • Boat dock
  • Double lot
  • 0.23 acre lot

Tags

DOUBLE LOT100 FT CONCRETE SEAWALLBOAT DOCK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $711 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $250k).
  • Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 3.5% in Hernando Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#672 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, amenities F.
  • Hernando (suburban): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #38 of 73 in FL (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 347 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,505 units permitted in Hernando County in 2024 (318 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hernando County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 9 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $250,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  6. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  7. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
11.76%
Cash-on-cash
19.51%
DSCR
1.87
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$552,420
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4023 Companero Entra 0.23mi 3/3.0 1,374 (+1%) 2mo $630,000 $459 82
4137 Des Prez Ct 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,470 (+8%) 6mo $595,000 $405 80
4151 Camelia Dr 0.13mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,432 (+5%) 2mo $395,000 $276 79
4208 Des Prez Ct 0.17mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,435 (+5%) 0mo $500,000 $348 78
3363 Poinsettia Dr 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,440 (+6%) 4mo $495,000 $344 65
4315 Flexer Dr 0.37mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,254 (-8%) 0mo $355,000 $283 64
3356 Oleander Dr 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,242 (-9%) 2mo $470,000 $378 63
4071 Orient Dr 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,260 (-8%) 3mo $540,000 $429 63
4452 Kingston Dr 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,204 (-12%) 4mo $615,000 $511 48
3546 Flamingo Blvd 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,528 (+12%) 4mo $652,000 $427 44
4446 Bahama Dr 0.58mi 3/3.0 1,193 (-12%) 5mo $590,000 $495 44
4447 Bahama Dr 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,186 (-13%) 4mo $435,000 $367 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.9%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$5,107
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
11.6%
Equity multiple
1.91×
Total profit
$64,041
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34607

Home prices YoY
-9.1%
Active inventory
347
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,609 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$298 /mo · $3,573/yr
Insurance
$104
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$758
Net cashflow
$711

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,708
Max offer price $250,000
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4262 Biscayne Dr Hernando Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1580 $4,000 $2.53 24d 1 0.34mi
4446 San Juan Dr Hernando Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1245 $3,500 $2.81 24d 1 0.58mi
3272 Minnow Creek Dr Hernando Beach, FL 4.0 3.0 1830 $3,000 $1.64 24d 1 0.82mi
4021 Eagle Nest Dr Hernando Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1199 $3,300 $2.75 17d 1 0.97mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2025-12-30
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (628 chars)

    Property is currently in the process of a short sale. All offers are subject to bank approval. Double Lot with Direct Access to the Gulf of Mexico. Withlacoochee River Electric and Hernando County Water/Sewer on site. Home was affected by Hurricane Helene. This double lot has a 100 ft concrete seawall and boat dock for your fishing/boating pleasures. This property was affected by the Hurricanes and is being sold for the value of the improved land giving you a blank slate that offers easy access to boating and fishing in the Gulf. This is a double lot measuring 100x100 sq ft. Plenty of room for your dream home and a pool.

  2. 2025-12-30
    price $250,000
    Show marketing remark (628 chars)

    Property is currently in the process of a short sale. All offers are subject to bank approval. Double Lot with Direct Access to the Gulf of Mexico. Withlacoochee River Electric and Hernando County Water/Sewer on site. Home was affected by Hurricane Helene. This double lot has a 100 ft concrete seawall and boat dock for your fishing/boating pleasures. This property was affected by the Hurricanes and is being sold for the value of the improved land giving you a blank slate that offers easy access to boating and fishing in the Gulf. This is a double lot measuring 100x100 sq ft. Plenty of room for your dream home and a pool.

  3. 2025-12-30
    status Pending 628-char remark
    Show marketing remark (628 chars)

    Property is currently in the process of a short sale. All offers are subject to bank approval. Double Lot with Direct Access to the Gulf of Mexico. Withlacoochee River Electric and Hernando County Water/Sewer on site. Home was affected by Hurricane Helene. This double lot has a 100 ft concrete seawall and boat dock for your fishing/boating pleasures. This property was affected by the Hurricanes and is being sold for the value of the improved land giving you a blank slate that offers easy access to boating and fishing in the Gulf. This is a double lot measuring 100x100 sq ft. Plenty of room for your dream home and a pool.

  4. 2025-12-30
    price $250,000 628-char remark
    Show marketing remark (628 chars)

    Property is currently in the process of a short sale. All offers are subject to bank approval. Double Lot with Direct Access to the Gulf of Mexico. Withlacoochee River Electric and Hernando County Water/Sewer on site. Home was affected by Hurricane Helene. This double lot has a 100 ft concrete seawall and boat dock for your fishing/boating pleasures. This property was affected by the Hurricanes and is being sold for the value of the improved land giving you a blank slate that offers easy access to boating and fishing in the Gulf. This is a double lot measuring 100x100 sq ft. Plenty of room for your dream home and a pool.

  5. 2025-12-30
    listed $250,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (628 chars)

    Property is currently in the process of a short sale. All offers are subject to bank approval. Double Lot with Direct Access to the Gulf of Mexico. Withlacoochee River Electric and Hernando County Water/Sewer on site. Home was affected by Hurricane Helene. This double lot has a 100 ft concrete seawall and boat dock for your fishing/boating pleasures. This property was affected by the Hurricanes and is being sold for the value of the improved land giving you a blank slate that offers easy access to boating and fishing in the Gulf. This is a double lot measuring 100x100 sq ft. Plenty of room for your dream home and a pool.

  6. 2025-12-30
    historical
    Show marketing remark (628 chars)

    Property is currently in the process of a short sale. All offers are subject to bank approval. Double Lot with Direct Access to the Gulf of Mexico. Withlacoochee River Electric and Hernando County Water/Sewer on site. Home was affected by Hurricane Helene. This double lot has a 100 ft concrete seawall and boat dock for your fishing/boating pleasures. This property was affected by the Hurricanes and is being sold for the value of the improved land giving you a blank slate that offers easy access to boating and fishing in the Gulf. This is a double lot measuring 100x100 sq ft. Plenty of room for your dream home and a pool.

  7. 2025-08-01
    status Active 628-char remark
    Show marketing remark (628 chars)

    Property is currently in the process of a short sale. All offers are subject to bank approval. Double Lot with Direct Access to the Gulf of Mexico. Withlacoochee River Electric and Hernando County Water/Sewer on site. Home was affected by Hurricane Helene. This double lot has a 100 ft concrete seawall and boat dock for your fishing/boating pleasures. This property was affected by the Hurricanes and is being sold for the value of the improved land giving you a blank slate that offers easy access to boating and fishing in the Gulf. This is a double lot measuring 100x100 sq ft. Plenty of room for your dream home and a pool.

  8. 2025-08-01
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (628 chars)

    Property is currently in the process of a short sale. All offers are subject to bank approval. Double Lot with Direct Access to the Gulf of Mexico. Withlacoochee River Electric and Hernando County Water/Sewer on site. Home was affected by Hurricane Helene. This double lot has a 100 ft concrete seawall and boat dock for your fishing/boating pleasures. This property was affected by the Hurricanes and is being sold for the value of the improved land giving you a blank slate that offers easy access to boating and fishing in the Gulf. This is a double lot measuring 100x100 sq ft. Plenty of room for your dream home and a pool.

  9. 2025-07-31
    historical
    Show marketing remark (628 chars)

    Property is currently in the process of a short sale. All offers are subject to bank approval. Double Lot with Direct Access to the Gulf of Mexico. Withlacoochee River Electric and Hernando County Water/Sewer on site. Home was affected by Hurricane Helene. This double lot has a 100 ft concrete seawall and boat dock for your fishing/boating pleasures. This property was affected by the Hurricanes and is being sold for the value of the improved land giving you a blank slate that offers easy access to boating and fishing in the Gulf. This is a double lot measuring 100x100 sq ft. Plenty of room for your dream home and a pool.

  10. 2025-07-31
    historical 628-char remark
    Show marketing remark (628 chars)

    Property is currently in the process of a short sale. All offers are subject to bank approval. Double Lot with Direct Access to the Gulf of Mexico. Withlacoochee River Electric and Hernando County Water/Sewer on site. Home was affected by Hurricane Helene. This double lot has a 100 ft concrete seawall and boat dock for your fishing/boating pleasures. This property was affected by the Hurricanes and is being sold for the value of the improved land giving you a blank slate that offers easy access to boating and fishing in the Gulf. This is a double lot measuring 100x100 sq ft. Plenty of room for your dream home and a pool.

  11. 2025-01-31
    listed $425,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (628 chars)

    Property is currently in the process of a short sale. All offers are subject to bank approval. Double Lot with Direct Access to the Gulf of Mexico. Withlacoochee River Electric and Hernando County Water/Sewer on site. Home was affected by Hurricane Helene. This double lot has a 100 ft concrete seawall and boat dock for your fishing/boating pleasures. This property was affected by the Hurricanes and is being sold for the value of the improved land giving you a blank slate that offers easy access to boating and fishing in the Gulf. This is a double lot measuring 100x100 sq ft. Plenty of room for your dream home and a pool.

  12. 2025-01-31
    listed $425,000 Active 628-char remark
    Show marketing remark (628 chars)

    Property is currently in the process of a short sale. All offers are subject to bank approval. Double Lot with Direct Access to the Gulf of Mexico. Withlacoochee River Electric and Hernando County Water/Sewer on site. Home was affected by Hurricane Helene. This double lot has a 100 ft concrete seawall and boat dock for your fishing/boating pleasures. This property was affected by the Hurricanes and is being sold for the value of the improved land giving you a blank slate that offers easy access to boating and fishing in the Gulf. This is a double lot measuring 100x100 sq ft. Plenty of room for your dream home and a pool.

  13. 2019-11-11
    historical
  14. 2019-09-06
    soldstatus $218,000
  15. 2019-09-06
    soldstatus $218,000
  16. 2019-09-06
    soldstatus $218,000
  17. 2019-04-26
    listed $224,900
  18. 2019-04-26
    listed $224,900
  19. 2017-12-29
    historical
  20. 2017-06-30
    listed $245,000
  21. 2017-06-30
    listed $245,000
  22. 1989-08-01
    soldstatus $72,000
  23. 1982-04-01
    soldstatus $47,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,573 · $298/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,573 · $298/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$43,305
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$3,573
− Insurance
−$6,368
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,464
− Management
−$3,464
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable income
$5,158
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,238
After-tax cash flow
$7,299/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hernando
NCES district ID
1200810
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,985
Composite
42.03/100
National rank
#3329
State rank
#38 of 73 in FL

Livability — Hernando Beach

Score
64/100
State rank
#672
US rank
#13911

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hernando Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
9,046

Population outlook (Hernando County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
189,218 people
By 2030
194,367 · +2.7%
By 2040
203,398 · +7.5%
By 2050
209,589 · +10.8%
By 2075
218,452 · +15.4%
By 2100
205,923 · +8.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 6% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 7% Arabic 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hernando

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.0) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
2008→2024 swing
-33.5pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -37.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.0 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+29.0 2012: R+8.5 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -56.89%
Current HPI
567.35
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+431.9% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-30 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-30 Price Changed $250,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-30 Pending HCAR
  • 2025-12-30 Price Changed $250,000 HCAR
  • 2025-12-30 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-30 Listed $250,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-01 Relisted HCAR
  • 2025-08-01 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-31 Listing Removed HCAR
  • 2025-07-31 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-31 Listed $425,000 HCAR
  • 2025-01-31 Listed $425,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-11-11 Listing Removed HCAR
  • 2019-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $218,000 Public Records
  • 2019-09-06 Sold (MLS) $218,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-09-06 Sold (MLS) $218,000 HCAR
  • 2019-04-26 Listed $224,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-04-26 Listed $224,900 HCAR
  • 2017-12-29 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-06-30 Listed $245,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-06-30 Listed $245,000 HCAR
  • 1989-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
  • 1982-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+11.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,573 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…