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136 Plummer Cir
D Composite 42.66
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.0/30.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.5/15.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,000

136 Plummer Cir · Jackson, MS 39212
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,284 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 234 Days on market
Built 1937 6.00 ac lot $70/sqft · 51% above area Est $140k · 13% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This is an amazing property situated on 6-beautiful Acres of land--4- Lots with a full basketball court-behind the house, and a pond on the farther to the back of this beautiful Spread. Although; This is a fixer, but it is worth it's value. The house is 1.5 stories, 4-Bedrooms, 3- full bathrooms Living room with fireplace, Mantel and mirror, has a dining with built in case for another fireplace. One of the better features is the upstairs and downstairs master bathroom-- and the upstairs master comes with a sitting area. Very unique and ready for you.

Key facts

  • Pond
  • 6 acres of land
  • 6 acre lot

Tags

6 ACRES OF LANDFULL BASKETBALL COURTPOND

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $159k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $167 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 234 days — a 12% lower offer ($140k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $139,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 234 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
7.55%
Cash-on-cash
4.49%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$140,239
List price
$159,000
Delta
13.38%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
408 Sharon Hills Dr 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,256 (-1%) 17mo $200,000 $89 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.23% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.8%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-12,976
Equity at exit
$23,707
10-year hold
IRR
3.4%
Equity multiple
1.26×
Total profit
$11,526
Equity at exit
$13,747

Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39212

Home prices YoY
-11.7%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
302
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,687 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$834
Tax from tax record
$266 /mo · $3,195/yr
Insurance
$66
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$354
Net cashflow
$167

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,476
Max offer price $159,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,750
Closing costs
$4,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
296 Woodcliff Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 2242 $1,756 $0.78 13d 1 0.89mi
2808 Ridgeland Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1606 $1,600 $1.00 43d 1 1.09mi
2915 Longwood Dr Jackson, MS 3.0 2.0 1800 $1,400 $0.78 23d 1 1.20mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,000 Active 234 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,000 Active 233 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,000 Active 232 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,000 Active 231 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $159,000 Active 229 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,000 Active 228 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $159,000 Active 226 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,000 Active 225 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,000 Active 224 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,000 Active 223 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $159,000 Active 220 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,000 Active 219 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,000 Active 218 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,000 Active 217 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,000 Active 216 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $159,000 Active 215 DOM
  17. 2026-04-30
    price $159,000 559-char remark
    Show marketing remark (559 chars)

    This is an amazing property situated on 6-beautiful Acres of land--4- Lots with a full basketball court-behind the house, and a pond on the farther to the back of this beautiful Spread. Although; This is a fixer, but it is worth it's value. The house is 1.5 stories, 4-Bedrooms, 3- full bathrooms Living room with fireplace, Mantel and mirror, has a dining with built in case for another fireplace. One of the better features is the upstairs and downstairs master bathroom-- and the upstairs master comes with a sitting area. Very unique and ready for you.

  18. 2026-03-11
    price $167,000 559-char remark
    Show marketing remark (559 chars)

    This is an amazing property situated on 6-beautiful Acres of land--4- Lots with a full basketball court-behind the house, and a pond on the farther to the back of this beautiful Spread. Although; This is a fixer, but it is worth it's value. The house is 1.5 stories, 4-Bedrooms, 3- full bathrooms Living room with fireplace, Mantel and mirror, has a dining with built in case for another fireplace. One of the better features is the upstairs and downstairs master bathroom-- and the upstairs master comes with a sitting area. Very unique and ready for you.

  19. 2026-03-10
    price $177,000 559-char remark
    Show marketing remark (559 chars)

    This is an amazing property situated on 6-beautiful Acres of land--4- Lots with a full basketball court-behind the house, and a pond on the farther to the back of this beautiful Spread. Although; This is a fixer, but it is worth it's value. The house is 1.5 stories, 4-Bedrooms, 3- full bathrooms Living room with fireplace, Mantel and mirror, has a dining with built in case for another fireplace. One of the better features is the upstairs and downstairs master bathroom-- and the upstairs master comes with a sitting area. Very unique and ready for you.

  20. 2026-02-05
    price $179,000 559-char remark
    Show marketing remark (559 chars)

    This is an amazing property situated on 6-beautiful Acres of land--4- Lots with a full basketball court-behind the house, and a pond on the farther to the back of this beautiful Spread. Although; This is a fixer, but it is worth it's value. The house is 1.5 stories, 4-Bedrooms, 3- full bathrooms Living room with fireplace, Mantel and mirror, has a dining with built in case for another fireplace. One of the better features is the upstairs and downstairs master bathroom-- and the upstairs master comes with a sitting area. Very unique and ready for you.

  21. 2025-10-27
    listed $187,500 Active 559-char remark
    Show marketing remark (559 chars)

    This is an amazing property situated on 6-beautiful Acres of land--4- Lots with a full basketball court-behind the house, and a pond on the farther to the back of this beautiful Spread. Although; This is a fixer, but it is worth it's value. The house is 1.5 stories, 4-Bedrooms, 3- full bathrooms Living room with fireplace, Mantel and mirror, has a dining with built in case for another fireplace. One of the better features is the upstairs and downstairs master bathroom-- and the upstairs master comes with a sitting area. Very unique and ready for you.

  22. 2024-09-22
    soldstatus
  23. 2021-10-08
    historical
  24. 2020-04-25
    listed $45,000
  25. 2014-08-07
    soldstatus
  26. 2006-04-07
    soldstatus
  27. 2005-12-01
    soldstatus
  28. 2005-11-30
    soldstatus
  29. 2005-10-28
    listed $79,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,195 · $266/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,195 · $266/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,246
− Mortgage interest
−$8,906
− Property taxes
−$3,195
− Insurance
−$795
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,620
− Management
−$1,620
− Depreciation
−$4,625
Taxable loss
−$515
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$124
After-tax cash flow
$2,122/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jackson Public School District
NCES district ID
2802190
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$33,234
Composite
10.89/100
National rank
#9755
State rank
#112 of 130 in MS

Livability — Jackson

Score
68/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#9695

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jackson, MS
County
Hinds County · 167,040 people
City population
140,204
Metro
Jackson, MS
Population (ZIP)
25,659
Household income
$50,722
Rent vs Own
37.8% rent · 62.2% own
Severe rent burden
1314.0

Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
242,528 people
By 2030
241,113 · -0.6%
By 2040
235,557 · -2.9%
By 2050
226,946 · -6.4%
By 2075
199,995 · -17.5%
By 2100
164,165 · -32.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hinds

2024 margin
Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.01%
Current HPI
174.4025
Rent YoY
▲ 4.23%
Metro
Jackson, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+99.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $159,000 MLSU
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $167,000 MLSU
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $177,000 MLSU
  • 2026-02-05 Price Changed $179,000 MLSU
  • 2025-10-27 Listed $187,500 MLSU
  • 2024-09-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-10-08 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2020-04-25 Listed $45,000 MLSU
  • 2014-08-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2006-04-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-12-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-11-30 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2005-10-28 Listed $79,900 MLSU

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,195 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…