1537 N Broadway · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
$123,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This beautiful top to bottom renovation. Close to John Hopkins Hospital is waiting for you!! Spacious bedrooms in 4 levels of living. Two master suites, open floor concept. Roof top deck with great view of city. This is a home you will be proud to own!! Might qualify for Vacant to Value program
Key facts
- Exposed brick walls
- Colonial townhouse
- Vinyl plank floors
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Total below-grade finished area: 700 (finished basement area); Above-grade finished area: 2,166 (finished living area)
- HOA & community: Ground rent paid annually
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick construction with brick front; Concrete perimeter foundation; Estimated year built
- Exterior features: Sidewalks and street lights; Rear fencing; Deck(s) and covered roofed outdoor living area; Walkout basement with outside and rear entrances
Interior
- Kitchen: Stainless steel appliances
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first upper level; One bedroom on the second upper level
- Flooring: Wood floors
- Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms (three on upper levels, one on lower level); One half bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning (electric); Natural gas hot water
- Interior features: Open floor plan with combined dining and living area; Kitchen with table space; Wood floors; Drywall, plaster and paneled walls with exposed brick
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/4.5-bath townhouse listed at $123k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $771 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $123k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 319 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,452/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 1868% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $151 of equity ($850 loan paydown + $-699 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 12 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.6% of price; built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.99% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.86%
- DSCR
- 2.20
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $318,126
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1612 E Biddle St | 0.28mi | 4/4.0 (+1) | 3,200 (+12%) | 1mo | $319,000 | $100 | 60 |
| 1705 E Chase St | 0.37mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 3,140 (+10%) | 4mo | $295,800 | $94 | 54 |
| 1303 N Broadway | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 2,500 (-13%) | 7mo | $265,000 | $106 | 54 |
| 1427 E Eager St | 0.52mi | 3/3.5 | 2,604 (-9%) | 8mo | $213,000 | $82 | 50 |
| 1614 N Caroline St | 0.21mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,460 (-14%) | 13mo | $290,000 | $118 | 47 |
| 1810 N Bond St | 0.22mi | 4/4.5 (+1) | 2,500 (-13%) | 21mo | $300,000 | $120 | 45 |
| 1000 E 20th St | 0.65mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,700 (-6%) | 23mo | $300,000 | $111 | 32 |
| 2009 Homewood Ave | 0.74mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,639 (-8%) | 20mo | $297,500 | $113 | 25 |
| 2105 E Madison St | 0.72mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,445 (-15%) | 14mo | $275,000 | $112 | 22 |
| 1122 Homewood Ave | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 3,248 (+13%) | 15mo | $280,000 | $86 | 16 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.57% appreciation · 5.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.40×
- Total profit
- $48,163
- Equity at exit
- $32,262
- IRR
- 34.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.15×
- Total profit
- $143,052
- Equity at exit
- $36,121
Cash invested: $34,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21213
- Home prices YoY
- -0.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 319
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,452 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$645
- Tax from tax record
- −$470 /mo · $5,637/yr
- Insurance
- −$51
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$515
- Net cashflow
- $771
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,172 | -5% $806 | +0% $771 | +5% $736 | +10% $701 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $577 | -5% $674 | +0% $771 | +5% $868 | +10% $965 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $833 | -0.5pp $802 | base $771 | +0.5pp $739 | +1.0pp $707 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,750
- Closing costs
- $3,690
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1532 N Broadway Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2696 | $2,700 | $1.00 | 4d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 1511 E Lafayette Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1988 | $2,650 | $1.33 | 5d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1607 E Biddle St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2160 | $2,400 | $1.11 | 25d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1716 Lantern Mews Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 5.0 | 2016 | $2,700 | $1.34 | 45d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1829 N Port St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2000 | $1,625 | $0.81 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 411 E Lafayette Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2450 | $2,900 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1643 Guilford Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2273 | $3,200 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2040 Orleans St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1974 | $2,100 | $1.06 | 16d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2200 E Fayette St Unit 2 2ND FLOOR Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2205 | $1,500 | $0.68 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 324 E 23rd St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2018 | $2,200 | $1.09 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 32 E Preston St Unit B Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2500 | $2,890 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1824 Saint Paul St Unit 3 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2397 | $1,275 | $0.53 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 141 N Patterson Park Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2264 | $2,300 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 733 N Linwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2410 | $2,150 | $0.89 | 45d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 10 E Chase St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2626 | $3,499 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 312 E 25th St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1960 | $2,800 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2227 Saint Paul St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3428 | $1,200 | $0.35 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 14 S Ann St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2850 | $2,550 | $0.89 | 12d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2206 E Baltimore St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2612 | $2,900 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1901 E Lombard St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2054 | $2,200 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1923 E 31st St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2264 | $1,600 | $0.71 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3005 Belair Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,600 | $0.80 | 19d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 424 Ilchester Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1976 | $1,800 | $0.91 | 16d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1020 Park Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 2004 | $3,712 | $1.85 | 4d | 11 | 1.36mi |
| 250 S Washington St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2261 | $2,595 | $1.15 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 328 S Broadway #2 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3840 | $2,800 | $0.73 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 7 W Mulberry St Unit 05 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1940 | $1,750 | $0.90 | 25d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $123,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $123,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $123,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $123,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $123,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $123,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $123,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $123,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $123,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $123,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-02$123,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,637 · $470/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,637 · $470/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,422
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,890
- − Property taxes
- −$5,637
- − Insurance
- −$615
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,354
- − Management
- −$2,354
- − Depreciation
- −$3,578
- Taxable income
- $7,995
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,919
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,333/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,058
- Household income
- $51,344
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1868.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% White 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.57%
- Current HPI
- 427.4453
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.25%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+146.0% since first listed30 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $123,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-09-06 Sold (MLS) $257,600 MRIS
- 2018-09-06 Sold (MLS) $257,600 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-07-11 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-07-11 Pending — MRIS
- 2018-06-13 Price Changed $254,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-06-13 Price Changed $254,900 MRIS
- 2018-04-24 Price Changed $269,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-04-24 Price Changed $269,900 MRIS
- 2018-03-29 Listed $274,900 MRIS
- 2018-03-29 Listed $274,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-05-20 Delisted — MRIS
- 2014-05-20 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2012-05-19 Listed — MRIS
- 2012-05-19 Listed $50,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2012-03-09 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2012-03-09 Delisted — MRIS
- 2011-04-08 Relisted — MRIS
- 2011-03-09 Delisted — MRIS
- 2010-03-08 Listed — MRIS
- 2010-03-08 Listed $50,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-01-04 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-01-04 Delisted — MRIS
- 2009-01-24 Relisted — MRIS
- 2009-01-22 Delisted — MRIS
- 2009-01-22 Relisted — MRIS
- 2009-01-04 Delisted — MRIS
- 2008-08-14 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2008-02-12 Listed — MRIS
- 2008-02-12 Listed $50,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+17.8%/yrLatest (2025): $5,637 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…