6 Terall Trl · Boles Acres, NM
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.43%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $706 – $1,312
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
If you are looking for a country home this could be it. You'll pull onto this 1 acre property and notice all the tall shade trees and the 6' fenced in front yard. The back has a large handicap ramp leading to the door. When you enter you'll notice the large open living room/kitchen; great for entertaining. The kitchen has a propane gas stove, refrigerator & dishwasher. This home has a split bedroom layout with 3 bedrooms & 2 baths. When you head out to the workshop with power you'll see that it has an oversized work area inside & a smaller room for different projects. You'll love that it's heated by a woodburning stove and a swamp cooler will keep you cool in the summer - you can work there all year round. In addition, on the north side of the workshop is a separate storage room to store all your extra items. Call to schedule an appointment to see this property.
Key facts
- Propane stove
- Oversized work area
- Tall shade trees
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $178 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#47 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Alamogordo Public Schools (town): math 26% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #26 of 95 in NM (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 444 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Otero County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Otero County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 286 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 286 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.12%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-10,630
- Equity at exit
- $18,623
- IRR
- -0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-1,609
- Equity at exit
- $10,799
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Mexico
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 88310
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 444
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,318 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,874/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $178
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $265 | -5% $221 | +0% $178 | +5% $135 | +10% $92 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $74 | -5% $126 | +0% $178 | +5% $230 | +10% $282 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $241 | -0.5pp $210 | base $178 | +0.5pp $146 | +1.0pp $113 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-31status $124,900 Pending 286 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,900 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-01-30price $124,900 892-char remark
Show marketing remark (892 chars)
If you are looking for a country home this could be it. You'll pull onto this 1 acre property and notice all the tall shade trees and the 6' fenced in front yard. The back has a large handicap ramp leading to the door. When you enter you'll notice the large open living room/kitchen; great for entertaining. The kitchen has a propane gas stove, refrigerator & dishwasher. This home has a split bedroom layout with 3 bedrooms & 2 baths. When you head out to the workshop with power you'll see that it has an oversized work area inside & a smaller room for different projects. You'll love that it's heated by a woodburning stove and a swamp cooler will keep you cool in the summer - you can work there all year round. In addition, on the north side of the workshop is a separate storage room to store all your extra items. Call to schedule an appointment to see this property.
-
2025-08-19$129,900 Active 892-char remark
Show marketing remark (892 chars)
If you are looking for a country home this could be it. You'll pull onto this 1 acre property and notice all the tall shade trees and the 6' fenced in front yard. The back has a large handicap ramp leading to the door. When you enter you'll notice the large open living room/kitchen; great for entertaining. The kitchen has a propane gas stove, refrigerator & dishwasher. This home has a split bedroom layout with 3 bedrooms & 2 baths. When you head out to the workshop with power you'll see that it has an oversized work area inside & a smaller room for different projects. You'll love that it's heated by a woodburning stove and a swamp cooler will keep you cool in the summer - you can work there all year round. In addition, on the north side of the workshop is a separate storage room to store all your extra items. Call to schedule an appointment to see this property.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 43% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥100°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,820
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$1,874
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,266
- − Management
- −$1,266
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $161
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$39
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,101/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alamogordo Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3500030
- Math proficiency
- 26% —
- Reading proficiency
- 39% —
- Median HH income
- $42,194
- Composite
- 30.24/100
- National rank
- #11572
- State rank
- #26 of 95 in NM
Livability — Boles Acres
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #47
- US rank
- #12466
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Otero County · 36,983 people
- City population
- 696
- Metro
- Alamogordo, NM
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,983
- Household income
- $57,214
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1231.0
Population outlook (Otero County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,967 people
- By 2030
- 62,164 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 60,253 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 58,575 · -7.0%
- By 2075
- 55,411 · -12.0%
- By 2100
- 48,551 · -22.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 18% Black 5% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 12% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Otero
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.4% · R 62.4% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -27.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.0 2020: R+25.6 2016: R+29.1 2012: R+28.0 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -174.88%
- Current HPI
- 181.737
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.65%
- Metro
- Alamogordo, NM
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-3.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-30 Price Changed $124,900 OCAOR
- 2025-08-19 Listed $129,900 OCAOR
Property tax history
+0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $114 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…