7590 58th Ct · Winter Beach, FL 32967

$279,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,078 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market

Built 1990

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +4.6/10.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• 1% rule +3.2/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.2/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Regular Seller, not foreclosure or short sale! New paint inside and out, new carpet and much more! Nice bathrooms already remodeled by owner/builder. Will look like new! Easy to show on a nice quiet street. Fenced in shaded back yard and close to Sandridge Golf Club and the county fairgrounds.

Key facts

• Accordion shutters
• Walk-in closet
• Fenced backyard

Tags

• STANDING SEAM METAL ROOF
• ACCORDION SHUTTERS
• OPEN-CONCEPT LIVING AND DINING
• ENCLOSED FLORIDA ROOM
• FENCED BACKYARD
• WALK-IN CLOSET

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $279k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $87 ($1k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (17.9% below list).
• Recommended offer: $229k (17.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 2.5% in Winter Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#241 in FL, #3,826 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F.
• Indian River (other): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #35 of 73 in FL (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Treasure Coast Elementary School (math 61% / reading 57%, grade B-, #722 of 2,144 statewide, top 34%, 691 students, 59% FRL); Storm Grove Middle School (math 54% / reading 55%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 1,020 students, 50% FRL); Sebastian River High School (math 29% / reading 45%, grade F, #340 of 667 statewide, top 52%, 1,843 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 611 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 564 units permitted in Indian River County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Indian River County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $54k; list at $279k implies a 417% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $229,186 (17.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.82% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.67%
• Cash-on-cash: 1.34%
• DSCR: 1.06
• GRM: 10.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -17.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.41×
• Total profit: $-46,472
• Equity at exit: $41,600

10-year hold

• IRR: -15.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.24×
• Total profit: $-59,653
• Equity at exit: $24,123

Cash invested: $78,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32967

• Home prices YoY: -24.4%
• Rents YoY: -1.2%
• Active inventory: 611
• Price-to-rent: 10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,292 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,463
• Tax from tax record: −$144 /mo · $1,730/yr
• Insurance: −$116
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$481
• Net cashflow: $87

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,182

Max offer price $279,000

Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $245	-5% $166	+0% $87	+5% $8	+10% $-71
Rent	-10% $-94	-5% $-3	+0% $87	+5% $178	+10% $268
Rate	-1.0pp $228	-0.5pp $158	base $87	+0.5pp $15	+1.0pp $-59

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $69,750
• Closing costs: $8,370
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
4335 82nd St Vero Beach, FL	3.0	2.0	1352	$2,500	$1.85	23d	1	1.24mi
6385 86th Pl Sebastian, FL	3.0	2.0	1269	$1,850	$1.46	23d	1	1.49mi

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-06-22
   days on market $279,000 Active 5 DOM
2. 2026-06-19
   days on market $279,000 Active 3 DOM
3. 2026-06-18
   days on market $279,000 Active 2 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   status $279,000 Active 1 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   remarks 602-char remark
6. 2026-06-15
   listed $279,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,730 · $144/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,316 · $193/mo
• Expected delta: +$586/yr (+$49/mo · 33.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $27,502
• − Mortgage interest: −$15,628
• − Property taxes: −$1,730
• − Insurance: −$1,395
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,200
• − Management: −$2,200
• − Depreciation: −$8,116
• Taxable loss: −$3,767
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$904
• After-tax cash flow: $1,949/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Indian River
• NCES district ID: 1200930
• Math proficiency: 48% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 52% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $46,597
• Composite: 42.45/100
• National rank: #3218
• State rank: #35 of 73 in FL

Livability — Winter Beach

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #241
• US rank: #3826

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living D+ Crime A+ Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Indian River County · 143,738 people
• Metro: Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
• Population (ZIP): 27,240
• Household income: $78,058
• Rent vs Own: 19.9% rent · 80.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 674.0

Population outlook (Indian River County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 165,104 people
• By 2030: 172,869 · +4.7%
• By 2040: 185,640 · +12.4%
• By 2050: 194,465 · +17.8%
• By 2075: 211,115 · +27.9%
• By 2100: 211,781 · +28.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
• Race & ethnicity: White 60% Black 17% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 15%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2% Salvadoran 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Hispanic 3% Lithuanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 86% English-only · Spanish 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Indian River

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+27.4) · D 36.0% · R 63.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -14.8pp · 2024: -27.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+21.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+14.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -91.34%
• Current HPI: 282.6156
• Rent YoY: ▼ -1.16%
• Metro: Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+416.7% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-15 Coming Soon $279,000 RAIRCMLS
• 2011-09-08 Sold (MLS) $54,000 RAIRCMLS

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,730 · +18.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.