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621 Hillside Ave
C- Composite 54.12
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$25,000

621 Hillside Ave · Franklin, PA 16323
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,568 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 212 Days on market
Built 1925 4,268 sqft lot $16/sqft · 73% below area ↓ 44% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

4-Bedroom Home – Perfect for Investors. Discover the potential in this spacious 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home located close to walking trails, parks, and a variety of local amenities. Whether you're looking for your next investment opportunity or searching for the ideal handyperson special. With its flexible layout this home could easily become a great investment or short-term rental.

Key facts

  • Outdoor recreation
  • Flexible layout
  • Local amenities

Tags

WALKING TRAILSLOCAL AMENITIESFLEXIBLE LAYOUTOUTDOOR RECREATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $657 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
  • Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 37.8% vs local median 4.8% in Franklin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#812 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, employment D.
  • Franklin Area SD (rural): math 29% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #388 of 539 in PA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 42 units permitted in Venango County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($173 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Venango County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 212 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $22,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 212 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.20%
Cap rate
37.82%
Cash-on-cash
112.58%
DSCR
6.01
GRM
2.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$93,909
List price
$25,000
Delta
-73.38%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
750 15th St 0.47mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,536 (-2%) 3mo $15,000 $10 65
523 15th St 0.48mi 4/1.0 1,548 (-1%) 11mo $94,000 $61 64
1104 Chestnut St 0.14mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,680 (+7%) 16mo $157,000 $93 63
640 Buffalo St 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,564 (-0%) 15mo $26,500 $17 59
1541 Elk St 0.68mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,578 (+1%) 4mo $152,500 $97 59
1316 Otter St 0.56mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,612 (+3%) 11mo $33,000 $20 54
729 15th St 0.43mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,716 (+9%) 5mo $15,500 $9 53
642 Buffalo St 0.45mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,358 (-13%) 0mo $79,900 $59 52
1433 Chestnut St 0.45mi 4/1.5 1,772 (+13%) 11mo $47,000 $27 48
1001 Elk St 0.26mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,792 (+14%) 13mo $180,000 $100 47
611 12th St 0.19mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,344 (-14%) 17mo $119,900 $89 46
645 Forest Ln 0.75mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,519 (-3%) 8mo $230,000 $151 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.92×
Total profit
$55,459
Equity at exit
$22,522
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
19.64×
Total profit
$130,456
Equity at exit
$48,570

Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16323

Home prices YoY
12.2%
Active inventory
51
Price-to-rent
2.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,050 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax est. 1.5%
$31 /mo · $375/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$220
Net cashflow
$657

Break-even live

Break-even rent $219
Max offer price $25,000
Occupancy floor 32%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,250
Closing costs
$750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1341 Sassafrass St Franklin, PA 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,050 $0.81 44d 1 0.31mi
29 Bleakley Ave Franklin, PA 4.0 1.0 1179 $1,050 $0.89 13d 1 1.23mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $25,000 Active 212 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $25,000 Active 211 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $25,000 Active 210 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $25,000 Active 209 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $25,000 Active 208 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $25,000 Active 206 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $25,000 Active 205 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $25,000 Active 203 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $25,000 Active 202 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $25,000 Active 201 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $25,000 Active 200 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $25,000 Active 195 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $25,000 Active 194 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $25,000 Active 193 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $25,000 Active 192 DOM
  16. 2025-12-03
    price $25,000 388-char remark
    Show marketing remark (388 chars)

    4-Bedroom Home – Perfect for Investors. Discover the potential in this spacious 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home located close to walking trails, parks, and a variety of local amenities. Whether you're looking for your next investment opportunity or searching for the ideal handyperson special. With its flexible layout this home could easily become a great investment or short-term rental.

  17. 2025-11-20
    price $30,000 388-char remark
    Show marketing remark (388 chars)

    4-Bedroom Home – Perfect for Investors. Discover the potential in this spacious 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home located close to walking trails, parks, and a variety of local amenities. Whether you're looking for your next investment opportunity or searching for the ideal handyperson special. With its flexible layout this home could easily become a great investment or short-term rental.

  18. 2025-11-19
    listed $45,000 Active 388-char remark
    Show marketing remark (388 chars)

    4-Bedroom Home – Perfect for Investors. Discover the potential in this spacious 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home located close to walking trails, parks, and a variety of local amenities. Whether you're looking for your next investment opportunity or searching for the ideal handyperson special. With its flexible layout this home could easily become a great investment or short-term rental.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥93°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,600
− Mortgage interest
−$1,400
− Property taxes
−$375
− Insurance
−$125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,008
− Management
−$1,008
− Depreciation
−$727
Taxable income
$7,956
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,910
After-tax cash flow
$5,971/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Franklin Area SD
NCES district ID
4210200
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$43,451
Composite
31.73/100
National rank
#5910
State rank
#388 of 539 in PA

Livability — Franklin

Score
69/100
State rank
#812
US rank
#8260

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Franklin, PA
Population (ZIP)
14,694

Population outlook (Venango County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,827 people
By 2030
46,061 · -5.7%
By 2040
39,989 · -18.1%
By 2050
34,094 · -30.2%
By 2075
22,500 · -53.9%
By 2100
13,659 · -72.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Iranian 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Venango

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: -19.2pp · 2024: -42.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.1 2020: R+41.4 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+26.3 2008: R+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 26.68%
Current HPI
245.9766
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-44.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-03 Price Changed $25,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-11-20 Price Changed $30,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-11-19 Listed $45,000 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

-22.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $27 · -95.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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