1214 S Chester Ave · Indianapolis city (balance), IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$123,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Contractor/Investor special! This home is in need of major repair & is reflected in price. All flring & some flr joists will need replaced. Roof & structure appear to be sound. At one point house has been converted to a forced air frnce & bath has been updated. Storage shed included on nice lot. With skill & desire this home could make a nice little rental/starter home. Please use caution entering property due to deteriorated flring. R m sizes & yr blt approx. Sold 'As Is'
Key facts
- 7,841 sq ft lot
- Built 1945
- Listed 207 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $124k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $152 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $124k).
- Recommended offer: $109k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.4% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Indianapolis Public Schools (urban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #286 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 499 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $857 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 207 days — a 12% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $6k; list at $124k implies a 1806% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 207 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.26%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $149,379
- List price
- $123,900
- Delta
- -17.06%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1214 S Chester Ave | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 796 (0%) | 0mo | $124,000 | $156 | 100 |
| 1323 S Ewing St | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (-4%) | 7mo | $147,000 | $191 | 75 |
| 3562 E Morris St | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 | 742 (-7%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $222 | 68 |
| 4721 E Morris St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (+6%) | 9mo | $165,000 | $196 | 59 |
| 3909 Hoyt Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+8%) | 7mo | $120,000 | $139 | 58 |
| 3550 Terrace Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+8%) | 16mo | $72,000 | $83 | 52 |
| 3546 Terrace Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+8%) | 16mo | $72,000 | $83 | 52 |
| 4108 E Naomi St | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (+13%) | 8mo | $135,000 | $151 | 50 |
| 3919 Spann Ave | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+8%) | 10mo | $74,000 | $86 | 50 |
| 1212 Vandeman St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 880 (+11%) | 8mo | $39,900 | $45 | 49 |
| 3847 Hoyt Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 912 (+15%) | 6mo | $75,000 | $82 | 49 |
| 4113 Fletcher Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 912 (+15%) | 15mo | $155,000 | $170 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.88% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-10,527
- Equity at exit
- $18,474
- IRR
- 1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $2,753
- Equity at exit
- $10,713
Cash invested: $34,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46203
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 499
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,276 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$650
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$155 /mo · $1,858/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $152
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $238 | -5% $195 | +0% $152 | +5% $109 | +10% $66 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $51 | -5% $102 | +0% $152 | +5% $202 | +10% $253 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $214 | -0.5pp $184 | base $152 | +0.5pp $120 | +1.0pp $87 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,975
- Closing costs
- $3,717
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3518 Terrace Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,300 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 3906 Hoyt Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,250 | $1.37 | 8d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3441 Prospect St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,700 | $1.69 | 45d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 3441 Prospect St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,500 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 3706 Hoyt Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 15d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3702 Hoyt Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 15d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 3012 E Minnesota St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 767 | $1,000 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3012 E Minnesota St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,000 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1730 Perkins Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,300 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 750 S Dequincy St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 936 | $1,500 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 528 S Bosart Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,305 | $1.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1505 S Rural St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 13d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 5056 Emerton Pl Unit 5046 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1039 | $1,245 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5056 Emerton Pl Unit 5056 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 868 | $1,245 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 5010 Emerton Pl Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1002 | $1,095 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3022 English Ave Unit 3022 Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $650 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 340 S Dearborn St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 873 | $1,180 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 270 S Lasalle St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 562 | $1,329 | $2.36 | 8d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 301 S Gray St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 841 | $1,025 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 350 S Oxford St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 826 | $1,300 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4919 Orion Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 766 | $875 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2631 Southeastern Ave Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $1,195 | $1.11 | 12d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 330 S Rural St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,050 | $1.09 | 8d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 323 S Rural St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1090 | $1,050 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 37 S Sherman Dr Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 5131 E Burgess Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $1,100 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 37 S Tuxedo St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,150 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2230 Woodlawn Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,350 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 4114 E Washington St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 909 | $1,100 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4214 E Washington St Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 961 | $1,195 | $1.24 | 8d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 28 S Dearborn St Unit A Indianapolis, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 11d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 4741 E Washington St Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1013 Harlan St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,475 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1011 Harlan St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,525 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2116 Woodlawn Ave Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1054 | $1,175 | $1.11 | 8d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2430 E Kelly St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 965 | $949 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 4815 E Washington St Unit 4815-10 Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $950 | $1.58 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 4815 E Washington St Unit 4815-12 Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 4815 E Washington St Unit 4815-04 Indianapolis, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $895 | $1.49 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 49 S Rural St Indianapolis, IN | 2.0 | 1.5 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 11d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-03status Pending
-
2026-04-28price $123,900
-
2026-02-24price $129,900
-
2026-01-19price $134,900
-
2025-12-04price $139,900
-
2025-11-06price $144,900
-
2025-10-08$147,000 Active
-
2007-03-29soldstatus $6,500 501-char remark
Show marketing remark (501 chars)
Contractor/Investor special! This home is in need of major repair & is reflected in price. All flring & some flr joists will need replaced. Roof & structure appear to be sound. At one point house has been converted to a forced air frnce & bath has been updated. Storage shed included on nice lot. With skill & desire this home could make a nice little rental/starter home. Please use caution entering property due to deteriorated flring. R m sizes & yr blt approx. Sold 'As Is'
-
2006-11-17$15,000 501-char remark
Show marketing remark (501 chars)
Contractor/Investor special! This home is in need of major repair & is reflected in price. All flring & some flr joists will need replaced. Roof & structure appear to be sound. At one point house has been converted to a forced air frnce & bath has been updated. Storage shed included on nice lot. With skill & desire this home could make a nice little rental/starter home. Please use caution entering property due to deteriorated flring. R m sizes & yr blt approx. Sold 'As Is'
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,316
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,940
- − Property taxes
- −$1,858
- − Insurance
- −$620
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,225
- − Management
- −$1,225
- − Depreciation
- −$3,604
- Taxable loss
- −$157
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$38
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,862/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indianapolis Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1804770
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,034
- Composite
- 13.69/100
- National rank
- #9499
- State rank
- #286 of 301 in IN
Livability — Indianapolis city (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Indianapolis city (balance), IN
- County
- Marion County · 998,460 people
- City population
- 881,119
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,758
- Household income
- $57,393
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1499.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,572 people
- By 2030
- 1,065,727 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 1,141,577 · +11.3%
- By 2050
- 1,208,920 · +17.9%
- By 2075
- 1,367,288 · +33.3%
- By 2100
- 1,438,201 · +40.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 12% Two or more races 8% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+27.7) · D 63.0% · R 35.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 28.4pp · 2024: 27.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+27.7 2020: D+29.1 2016: D+22.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+28.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -127.37%
- Current HPI
- 349.579
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.88%
- Metro
- Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+726.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-03 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $123,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $129,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-19 Price Changed $134,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-04 Price Changed $139,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-06 Price Changed $144,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-08 Listed $147,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-03-29 Sold (MLS) $6,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-11-17 Listed $15,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-8.8%/yrLatest (2025): $217 · -47.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…