1039 S Myrtle Ave · Yuma, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AO
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $848 – $2,087
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 114°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Move in ready, fully furnished two bedroom one bathroom manufactured home located in a 55+ community with pool and clubhouse access! Large shade over the driveway creating a nice covered parking space in addition to the cute covered deck for outdoor seating. Washer and dryer are in the master bedroom, multiple storage sheds on the exterior of the property. Low maintenance landscaping and low low HOA fees priced at only $200 yearly!
Key facts
- Covered deck
- Pool access
- Covered parking
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association (monthly fee: $200); Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: 1 parking space (1 covered); 1-car carport
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
- Home design: Manufactured home; Residential property
- Exterior features: Deck; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Gas range
- Flooring: Carpet; Other
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Cooling
- Interior features: Blinds on windows; Sliding doors
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $149 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 3.9% in Yuma — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#30 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, employment D.
- Yuma Union High School District (4507) (urban): math 14% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #212 of 249 in AZ (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 262 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,399 units permitted in Yuma County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yuma County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $47k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $122/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AO (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.91%
- DSCR
- 1.80
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $65,184
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1044 S 20 Ave | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 684 (+2%) | 3mo | $65,000 | $95 | 90 |
| 1123 S Franklin Ave | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 | 684 (+2%) | 1mo | $37,000 | $54 | 85 |
| 1012 S 20 Ave | 0.11mi | 2/1.5 | 672 (0%) | 12mo | $169,000 | $251 | 83 |
| 1074 S Jewel Ave | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 721 (+7%) | 12mo | $70,000 | $97 | 74 |
| 1138 S Jewel Ave | 0.13mi | 2/1.5 | 610 (-9%) | 5mo | $99,000 | $162 | 72 |
| 1953 W 10 St | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (+8%) | 15mo | $50,000 | $69 | 70 |
| 1140 S 20 Ave | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 630 (-6%) | 15mo | $87,500 | $139 | 70 |
| 1028 S Myrtle Ave | 0.03mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 600 (-11%) | 10mo | $54,500 | $91 | 68 |
| 1148 W Myrtle Ave | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 736 (+10%) | 15mo | $39,000 | $53 | 62 |
| 1139 S Dora Ave | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (+8%) | 16mo | $75,000 | $103 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-1,885
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $7,129
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85364
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 262
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,093 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$23 /mo · $282/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$122 /mo · $1,468/yr
- HOA
- −$200
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$229
- Net cashflow
- $149
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $186 | -5% $168 | +0% $149 | +5% $131 | +10% $113 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $63 | -5% $106 | +0% $149 | +5% $193 | +10% $236 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $182 | -0.5pp $166 | base $149 | +0.5pp $133 | +1.0pp $115 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1600 W 12th St Yuma, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 779 | $1,200 | $1.54 | 14d | 32 | 0.20mi |
| 1309 S 11th Ave Yuma, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $900 | $2.25 | 14d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1823 W 18th St Yuma, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,149 | $1.92 | 14d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1480 S 7th Ave Unit 1 Yuma, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $1,175 | $2.94 | 14d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 253 S 17th Ave Unit B105 Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $1,250 | $2.04 | 14d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1506 S 5th Ave Unit A Yuma, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 504 | $850 | $1.69 | 14d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 145 S Avenue B Yuma, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $795 | $1.22 | 14d | 3 | 1.17mi |
| 136 N 21st Ave Apt 4 Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 746 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 266 S 6th Ave Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,050 | $1.62 | 14d | 2 | 1.26mi |
| 1910 S Avenue A Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 543 | $970 | $1.79 | 14d | 5 | 1.27mi |
| 1103 W 20th St Unit 1005 Yuma, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $1,000 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1103 W 20th St Unit 1045 Yuma, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 633 | $1,000 | $1.58 | 14d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 531 S 1st Ave Unit 2 Yuma, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $750 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2100 S Avenue A Yuma, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 594 | $1,010 | $1.70 | 14d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2044 S 11th Ave Unit 1 Yuma, AZ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $900 | $1.38 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $200 · $2,400/yr
- Likely covers
- landscapingpool
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $65,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $65,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $65,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $65,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $65,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-04-23$65,000 Active
-
2024-03-19price $69,900
-
2024-03-06price $72,900
-
2024-01-08$79,900 Active
-
2010-01-29soldstatus $47,000
-
2003-11-24soldstatus $30,000
-
1997-05-15soldstatus $24,500
-
1996-07-10soldstatus $23,000
-
1996-07-10soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $282 · $23/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $429 · $36/mo
- Expected delta
- +$147/yr (+$12/mo · 52.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AO · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,110
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$282
- − Insurance
- −$1,792
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,049
- − Management
- −$1,049
- − HOA
- −$2,400
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $1,007
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$242
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,551/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Yuma Union High School District (4507)
- NCES district ID
- 0409630
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,512
- Composite
- 12.86/100
- National rank
- #9592
- State rank
- #212 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Yuma
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #6635
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Yuma, AZ
- County
- Yuma County · 149,809 people
- City population
- 149,809
- Metro
- Yuma, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 72,960
- Household income
- $57,874
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2195.0
Population outlook (Yuma County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 211,633 people
- By 2030
- 214,114 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 217,856 · +2.9%
- By 2050
- 220,276 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 222,359 · +5.1%
- By 2100
- 198,880 · -6.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 70% Two or more races 29% White 24% Asian 2% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 67%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 48% English-only · Spanish 50% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Yuma
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.3% · R 59.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.6pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -20.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.4 2020: R+6.2 2016: R+5.5 2012: R+16.1 2008: R+13.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -197.00%
- Current HPI
- 220.8058
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.04%
- Metro
- Yuma, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
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Price history
+182.6% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Listed $65,000 YAR
- 2024-03-19 Price Changed $69,900 YAR
- 2024-03-06 Price Changed $72,900 YAR
- 2024-01-08 Listed $79,900 YAR
- 2010-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
- 2003-11-24 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 1997-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $24,500 Public Records
- 1996-07-10 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 1996-07-10 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $282 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…